The current Head to Head score is 2-1. Alcaraz comes into this match with a ranking of 2 , while Rune is ranked 13.
Alcaraz vs Rune Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Rune has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Rune has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Alcaraz has won 27%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Rune has been saving 53% of his breakpoints, and Alcaraz has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Surface prediction: Rune performs best on I.hard, winning 71% (W/L 70/28) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 57% (W/L 60/46). Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 30/13).
In play break point conversion prediction: Holger Rune has converted 34% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Carlos Alcaraz has converted 29% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Carlos Alcaraz played Arthur Fils in the Semifinals at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – Barcelona and won 6-2 6-4 in 01:15:35 . Holger Rune played Karen Khachanov in the Semifinals at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – Barcelona and won 6-3 6-2 in 01:07:20.
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Carlos Alcaraz and Holger Rune
Of their last 10 matches played, Alcaraz has won 9, while Rune has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Alcaraz has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points , while Rune has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points.
Alma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Alcaraz Vs Rune
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Alcaraz has won 26 titles in his career, while Holger Rune has won 17 events. Alcaraz has won 53% (32257 of 60572) of points played in his entire career, and Rune has achieved 51% (30410 of 59167). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Alcaraz has won 65% of tie breaks in his entire career (106 of 163), whereas Holger Rune has won 62% (96 of 155). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 74.06% probability of winning this match.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Carlos Alcaraz has a 74.06% chance of winning and Holger Rune has a 25.94% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – Barcelona, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
