The current Head to Head score is 2-0. Alcaraz comes into this match with a ranking of 3 , while Minaur is ranked 8.
Alcaraz vs Minaur Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Minaur has won 55% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 58% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Minaur has won 30% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Alcaraz has won 34%. The same stats for second serve return points are 55% and 52% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Minaur has been saving 60% of his breakpoints, and Alcaraz has saved 66% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Minaur has won 69% of matches played (W/L 22/10) with Alcaraz winning 77% (W/L 24/7).
Surface prediction: Minaur performs best on Grass, winning 69% (W/L 51/23) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 65/51). Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 65% (W/L 24/13).
In play break point conversion prediction: Alex De Minaur has converted 48% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Carlos Alcaraz has converted 39% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Carlos Alcaraz played Hubert Hurkacz in the Semifinals at the ABN AMRO Open – Rotterdam and won 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 in 02:20:41 . Alex De Minaur played Mattia Bellucci in the Semifinals at the ABN AMRO Open – Rotterdam and won 6-1 6-2 in 01:07:09.
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur
Of their last 10 matches played, Alcaraz has won 9, while Minaur has won 9. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on I.hard . In recent matches, Alcaraz has won 57% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points , while Minaur has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points.
Megan@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Alcaraz Vs Minaur
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Alcaraz has won 23 titles in his career, while Alex De Minaur has won 12 events. Alcaraz has won 53% (30477 of 57334) of points played in his entire career, and Minaur has achieved 52% (43369 of 84124). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Alcaraz has won 63% of tie breaks in his entire career (98 of 155), whereas Alex De Minaur has won 58% (118 of 205). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 71.42% probability of winning this match.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Carlos Alcaraz has a 71.42% chance of winning and Alex De Minaur has a 28.58% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Value Bets For Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.
To see all live tennis scores for the ABN AMRO Open – Rotterdam, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
