Alcaraz vs Djokovic Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Djokovic has won 56% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 58% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Djokovic has won 35% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Alcaraz has won 36%. The same stats for second serve return points are 54% and 56% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Djokovic has been saving 63% of his breakpoints, and Alcaraz has saved 62% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Djokovic has won 80% of matches played (W/L 20/5) with Alcaraz winning 85% (W/L 33/6).
Surface prediction: Djokovic performs best on Grass, winning 86% (W/L 124/20) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 200/52). Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 88% (W/L 23/3), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/10).
In play break point conversion prediction: Novak Djokovic has converted 43% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Carlos Alcaraz has converted 45% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Carlos Alcaraz played Daniil Medvedev in the Semifinals at the Wimbledon – London and won 6-7(1) 6-3 6-4 6-4 in 02:55:00 . Novak Djokovic played Lorenzo Musetti in the Semifinals at the Wimbledon – London and won 6-4 7-6(2) 6-4 in 02:48:00.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic
Of their last 10 matches played, Alcaraz has won 9, while Djokovic has won 9. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Grass . In recent matches, Alcaraz has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Djokovic has won 57% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Alcaraz Vs Djokovic
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Alcaraz has won 21 titles in his career, while Novak Djokovic has won 113 events. Alcaraz has won 53% (27436 of 51738) of points played in his entire career, and Djokovic has achieved 55% (110687 of 202838). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Alcaraz has won 65% of tie breaks in his entire career (90 of 138), whereas Novak Djokovic has won 66% (351 of 534). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Novak Djokovic has an 57.28% probability of winning this match.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Odds & Betting Tips – Our Prediction: Novak Djokovic To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Carlos Alcaraz has a 42.72% chance of winning and Novak Djokovic has a 57.28% chance of taking the victory. We tip Djokovic to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Alcaraz vs Djokovic
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic here.
To see the full prediction for Alcaraz vs Djokovic at Wimbledon – London, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Wimbledon Day 14 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Wimbledon – London, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
