Get all the information around betting market for the Madison Keys vs Lucia Bronzetti sporting event for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid 2025 on the April 24, 2025, in the following analysis. We reveal the Madison Keys vs Lucia Bronzetti picks, betting tips & odds markets for this encounter in the breakdown beneath.
Who The Odds Favor: Madison Keys to triumph
- Derived via the bookies odds, Madison Keys are the favorite to win in this match with a 76.43% probability to win. An accurate prediction? Yes, because Bookmakers know their data:
Madison Keys → 1.28
Lucia Bronzetti → 4.15Prediction Chance Of Win Lucia Bronzetti 23.57 % Madison Keys 76.43 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.
- Based on the odds for total games, the most likely outcome over 21 with odds of 1.16 and an implied probability of 86.21%. It indicates that the game is expected to be closely contested, possibly featuring long rallies.
over 21 → 1.16
Prediction Over/Under over_21 86.21 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.
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H2H-Based Prediction: Madison Keys to triumph
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Madison Keys | 2 |
| Lucia Bronzetti | 0 |
Head To Head: Madison Keys (2 – 0) Lucia Bronzetti.
Madison Keys to win. What’s the reasoning? In the last 2 direct matches between these two sides, Madison Keys are up 2 – 0. Our head to head data starts from the encounter between them in 2023. This implies that Madison Keys should win in this upcoming fixture. Their most recent meeting took place on the Tue, 31 Dec 24, when Madison Keys achieved a 6-6 – 4-4 victory.
Lucia Bronzetti have never won against Madison Keys indicating they have a low probability.
Form-Based Prediction: Madison Keys to win
Considering recent form heading into this fixture, Madison Keys suffered a defeat facing Anna Kalinskaya with a result of 2-4/6-6. Lucia Bronzetti suffered a defeat up against Naomi Osaka with a score of 6-2-6/4-6-4. Madison Keys have got the victory in 7 of their last 10 games vs all teams, while Lucia Bronzetti prevailed in 3 of their recent 10 fixtures against all teams, indicating maybe Madison Keys are in the better form heading into this match.
Recent Form Prediction: Madison Keys
- Madison Keys has won 7 of the last 10 matches he has played, while Lucia Bronzetti has secured 4 victories over the same range.
- Madison Keys has been winning 43% of his own second serve points, and 49% of his opponents, while Lucia Bronzetti has won 44% of his second serve points and 51% of his opponents.
- Madison Keys comes into this match having won a 0 battle vs Anna Kalinskaya in which he managed to win 0% of return points (0/0), hitting 0 aces himself during the match.
- Lucia Bronzetti comes into this match having won a 2 hours 20 min battle vs Naomi Osaka in which he managed to win 42% of return points (38/91), hitting 0 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Madison Keys has been holding serve 0% of the time (0/0), while Lucia Bronzetti has held his serve 71% of the time (10/14.
Career Performance Prediction: Madison Keys
- Madison Keys has a career high ranking of 5, while Lucia Bronzetti has a career high rank of 59.
- Madison Keys has claimed 14 Career titles and career earnings of $1,99,46,732, versus 7 trophies for Lucia Bronzetti and $12,63,739 prize money.
- Madison Keys has a 49% deciding set win % (23/47), compared to 57% for Lucia Bronzetti (53/93)
- The 1st serve of Madison Keys has resulted in him winning 64% of points, and Lucia Bronzetti has won 59% of his first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 48% for Madison Keys and 46% for Lucia Bronzetti.
- After losing the first set, Madison Keys manages to turn the match around and win it 14% of the time, and Lucia Bronzetti has a 22% record in eventually winning the match.
