What Time Will Katie Boulter Play Against Jasmine Paolini?
Boulter and Paolini are on the Day 4 Schedule at Rothesay International 2024 on Thursday, June 27, 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.
Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?
In the quarterfinal match between Katie Boulter of Great Britain (ranked 32nd) and Jasmine Paolini of Italy (ranked 7th), Boulter leads the head-to-head record 2-1. This is their fourth meeting. Boulter is aiming for her second grass semifinal of 2024, having previously achieved this in Nottingham, and her third overall semifinal of the year (the first being in San Diego). Yesterday, Boulter secured her sixth career Top 20 win by defeating Jelena Ostapenko, who is ranked 13th in the world. Notably, three out of Boulter’s six Top 20 wins have come on grass courts. The last time three British players (Boulter, Dart, and Raducanu) reached the quarterfinals at Eastbourne in the same year was in 1974 with Anne Hobbs, Virginia Wade, and Michelle Tyler. While Boulter currently holds the upper hand in the matchup against Paolini, the last two tour meetings between the two have been split, with Boulter emerging victorious most recently in Linz. Paolini obtained her first main-draw grass court win in the previous round due to her opponent, Elise Mertens, retiring. Paolini has a record of 9-10 in Tour-level quarterfinal matches.
In terms of Katie Boulter’s tournament history, this is her third appearance in the main draw at Eastbourne. Her previous best result was reaching the third round in 2022, where she ultimately lost to eventual champion Petra Kvitova. In this week’s tournament, Boulter has defeated Petra Martic and Jelena Ostapenko to reach her second quarterfinal of the 2024 grass season (the first being in Nottingham). She will face Jasmine Paolini, the 7th seed, in today’s quarterfinal. Boulter has three career wins against Top 10 players, with her most recent victory being against No. 5 Jessica Pegula at the United Cup in 2024. She has a 1-2 career record against players from Italy, with a 2024 record of 1-1 against them. Boulter has a career record of 19-22 against seeded opponents, and in 2024, she has an impressive record of 11-2 against them. Her record in WTA quarterfinal matches is 3-4. Boulter has also won two grass court titles, one in Nottingham in 2024 (defeating Pliskova in the final) and another in 2023 (defeating Burrage in the final). She is one of three players from the United Kingdom to reach the quarterfinals, alongside Dart and Raducanu. The best result by a player from the United Kingdom at Eastbourne was Virginia Wade winning the championship in 1975. This marks the second time that three players from the United Kingdom have reached the quarterfinals at Eastbourne, the first instance being in 1974 with Anne Hobbs, Virginia Wade, and Michelle Tyler. Boulter is currently ranked 32nd, a significant improvement from her ranking of 88 at the same time last year. In the previous year’s European grass swing, she won at Nottingham, reached the third round at Wimbledon, and exited in the first round at Eastbourne and Birmingham. Boulter is currently on a two-match winning streak, with her longest winning streak of her career being six matches in 2024.
Turning to Jasmine Paolini’s tournament history, this is her second appearance at Eastbourne, with her previous result being a first-round loss in 2023 to Ons Jabeur. In this week’s tournament, Paolini has defeated Elise Mertens to reach her first-ever quarterfinal on grass courts. She will face Katie Boulter in today’s quarterfinal match. Paolini has recorded 30 wins against Top 50 players throughout her career, with her most recent win being against No. 33 Elise Mertens in the previous round. She has a 1-1 career record against players from the United Kingdom, but in 2024, her record against them stands at 0-1. Her record in WTA quarterfinal matches is 9-10. This quarterfinal appearance at Eastbourne represents her best result on grass courts thus far, as she has never previously won a Tour-level match on this surface. Paolini is the only player from Italy to reach the quarterfinals at this tournament. The best result by an Italian player at Eastbourne was Rađa Reggi finishing as the runner-up in 1989. Paolini is currently ranked 7th, demonstrating significant progress from her ranking of 42 at the same time last year. This year has been a breakthrough for her, with her first 1000 title win at Dubai against Kalinskaya and her first Grand Slam singles final appearance (losing to Swiatek). In the previous year’s European grass swing, Paolini exited in the first round at Wimbledon, Eastbourne, and Birmingham. So far in 2024, she has won 22 matches and is ranked 9th on tour for match wins, following Emma Navarro, Victoria Azarenka, and Daria Kasatkina.
My Conclusion / Prediction:
My pick is that Boulter will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.
To find out who our model thinks will win for Katie Boulter vs Jasmine Paolini, have a look at the prediction here:
Matchstat.com Katie Boulter vs Jasmine Paolini prediction.