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Robin Montgomery vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Montgomery vs Sabalenka analysis and find out who is favored!

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Robin Montgomery vs Aryna Sabalenka Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Montgomery 0 - 1 Sabalenka

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Montgomery has won 50.27% of points on their second serve, while Sabalenka has won 49.68%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Montgomery, in recent form, has won 52.35% of their opponent's second serve points, while Sabalenka has won 55.93%. The same stats for first serve returns are 35.21% and 37.88% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Montgomery has saved 64.87% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sabalenka has saved 58.82% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Montgomery has won 65.38% of matches played (W/L 34/ 18), with Sabalenka winning 75.76% (W/L 50/ 16) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Montgomery has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 78% (W/L 14/ 4), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 26/ 20). Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 83/ 47).
  • Player level: In the last year, Montgomery has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 64.29% of matches (W/L 18/ 10), where as Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 68.75% of matches (W/L 22/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Montgomery winning 0 times and Sabalenka being victorious 1 times. They have played 3 sets in total, with Montgomery winning 1 and Sabalenka winning 2. The last match between Montgomery and Sabalenka was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 28-04-2024, Third, Clay with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-1 6-7(5) 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:29:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Montgomery and Sabalenka have played a deciding set 1 times, with Montgomery winning 0 times and Sabalenka 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Montgomery winning 1, and Sabalenka 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Montgomery has played against opponents with an average rank of 209.04 while Sabalenka has played against players with an average rank of 76.12.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Montgomery has won 53% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sabalenka has won 52% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Montgomery has converted 38.55% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sabalenka has converted 46.77% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Robin Montgomery

3

Total

0

Mast

3

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

0

Minor

161

Rank

143

High

19

Age

Plays

0

Total

1

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

3

Rank

1

High

26

Age

R

Plays

Aryna Sabalenka

20

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

2

Slam

7

Main

2

Minor

0

Total

1

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W L W W L W W W W

Form

W W L W W W W L W L

63% (115-69)

Career Total W/L

68% (398-184)

69% (29-13)

YTD W/L

77% (30-9)

$316,291

Career Prize Money

$20,189,224

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Montgomery VS Sabalenka H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Robin Montgomery Aryna Sabalenka
All H2H Matches 0 1
Sets Won 1 2
Games Won 12 18
Aces (Total) 6 8
DFs Total 4 4
Avg Match Time 2:29:0 2:29:0
1st Serve % 55% (53/96) 71% (72/101)
1st Serve Win% 66% (35/53) 71% (51/72)
2nd Serve Win% 49% (21/43) 62% (18/29)
BPs Won% (Total) 33% (1/3) 50% (4/8)
Return Points W% 32% (32/101) 42% (40/96)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)

Montgomery VS Sabalenka H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-1 6-7(5) 6-4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Robin Montgomery
71% ( 72 of 101)
1st Serve %
55% ( 53 of 96)
8
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
4
71% ( 51 of 72)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 35 of 53)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 21 of 43)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
32% ( 32 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 40 of 96)
109
Total Points Won
88

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Robin Montgomery Aryna Sabalenka
YTD W/L 69% (29/13) 77% (30/9)
Sets Win/Loss 66% (65/34) 72% (65/25)
Games Win/Loss 53% (497/432) 59% (485/344)
Hard Win/Loss 63% (5/3) 78% (14/4)
Clay Win/Loss 63% (12/7) 79% (15/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 67% (2/1) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 83% (10/2) 50% (1/1)
Aces pg 0.45 0.42
Aces Total 204 170
DFs per game 0.4 0.27
DFs Total 183 109
Avg Match Time 1:45:16 1:38:12
Avg Opp Rank 188.05 90.1
1st Serve % 63% (1853/2949) 63% (1647/2604)
1st Serve W% 70% (1297/1853) 70% (1161/1647)
2nd Serve W% 50% (551/1096) 50% (479/957)
BPs Won% Total 39% (133/345) 47% (156/330)
Return Pts W% 42% (1321/3162) 45% (1211/2690)
Slam W/L 86% (6/1) 92% (11/1)
Masters W/L 57% (4/3) 72% (13/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 75% (6/2) 67% (6/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 65% (13/7) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 69% (29/42) 78% (29/37)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 73% (8/11) 70% (7/10)
Deciding Set W% 53% (8/15) 54% (7/13)
1st set W, W 89% (27/24) 86% (28/24)
1st set W, L 11% (27/3) 11% (28/3)
1st set L, W 33% (15/5) 45% (11/5)

Robin Montgomery Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Robin Montgomery
Player
Olivia Gadecki
71% ( 57 of 80)
1st Serve %
59% ( 33 of 56)
10
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
9
70% ( 40 of 57)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 24 of 33)
43% ( 10 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
38% ( 30 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 21 of 56)
71
Total Points Won
65
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Robin Montgomery
Player
Valentina Ryser
75% ( 57 of 76)
1st Serve %
59% ( 47 of 80)
3
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
2
67% ( 38 of 57)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 30 of 47)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 11 of 33)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
37% ( 28 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 39 of 80)
87
Total Points Won
69
W
7-6(3) 6-2 H2H
Q2
cross
Robin Montgomery
Player
Kamilla Rakhimova
67% ( 83 of 124)
1st Serve %
71% ( 90 of 127)
20
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
2
81% ( 67 of 83)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 65 of 90)
56% ( 23 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 21 of 37)
0% ( 0 of 1)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
27% ( 34 of 124)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 41 of 127)
131
Total Points Won
120
W
7-6(0) 6-7(4) 7-6(4) H2H
Q1
cross
Robin Montgomery
Player
Vitalia Diatchenko
67% ( 52 of 78)
1st Serve %
68% ( 54 of 80)
9
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
3
69% ( 36 of 52)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 38 of 54)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
20% ( 2 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
33% ( 26 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 29 of 80)
81
Total Points Won
77
W
1-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Alycia Parks
Player
Robin Montgomery
48% ( 52 of 109)
1st Serve %
69% ( 70 of 101)
17
Aces
3
16
Double Faults
7
77% ( 40 of 52)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 50 of 70)
60% ( 34 of 57)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
32% ( 35 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 36 of 101)
110
Total Points Won
100
L
6-7(7) 6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Robin Montgomery
Player
Renata Zarazua
65% ( 51 of 79)
1st Serve %
66% ( 68 of 103)
6
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
61% ( 31 of 51)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 40 of 68)
43% ( 12 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
33% ( 6 of 18)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
46% ( 36 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 48 of 103)
91
Total Points Won
91
W
6-4 3-6 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Robin Montgomery
Player
Beatrice Ricci
69% ( 27 of 39)
1st Serve %
53% ( 25 of 47)
12
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
5
85% ( 23 of 27)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 14 of 25)
75% ( 9 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
23% ( 5 of 22)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
18% ( 7 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
60% ( 28 of 47)
60
Total Points Won
26
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Robin Montgomery
55% ( 36 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 42 of 69)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
6
67% ( 24 of 36)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
59% ( 17 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 12 of 27)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
37% ( 24 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 32 of 69)
73
Total Points Won
61
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Robin Montgomery
Player
Jule Niemeier
69% ( 42 of 61)
1st Serve %
56% ( 39 of 70)
7
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
5
81% ( 34 of 42)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 25 of 39)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 8)
30% ( 18 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 31 of 70)
74
Total Points Won
57
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Robin Montgomery
Player
Magda Linette
68% ( 86 of 126)
1st Serve %
65% ( 73 of 112)
8
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
4
73% ( 63 of 86)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 56 of 73)
63% ( 25 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 14)
30% ( 38 of 126)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 38 of 112)
126
Total Points Won
112
W
6-7(4) 6-3 7-5 H2H

Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Anna Kalinskaya
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
60% ( 15 of 25)
1st Serve %
47% ( 8 of 17)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
80% ( 12 of 15)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 5 of 8)
40% ( 4 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
36% ( 9 of 25)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 10 of 17)
26
Total Points Won
16
L
5-1 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
54% ( 26 of 48)
1st Serve %
61% ( 28 of 46)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
73% ( 19 of 26)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 14 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
56
Total Points Won
38
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Mirra Andreeva
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
49% ( 46 of 93)
1st Serve %
53% ( 57 of 107)
4
Aces
3
7
Double Faults
6
57% ( 26 of 46)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 30 of 57)
49% ( 23 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 24 of 50)
57% ( 8 of 14)
Break Points Won
100% ( 6 of 6)
47% ( 44 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 53 of 107)
102
Total Points Won
98
L
6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Emma Navarro
60% ( 26 of 43)
1st Serve %
73% ( 45 of 62)
7
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
65% ( 11 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 3 of 17)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 10 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 31 of 62)
64
Total Points Won
41
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
69% ( 35 of 51)
1st Serve %
60% ( 40 of 67)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
63% ( 22 of 35)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
39% ( 7 of 18)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
41% ( 21 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 37 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
51
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Moyuka Uchijima
62% ( 29 of 47)
1st Serve %
74% ( 39 of 53)
2
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
76% ( 22 of 29)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 21 of 39)
72% ( 13 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 27 of 53)
62
Total Points Won
38
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Erika Andreeva
64% ( 32 of 50)
1st Serve %
59% ( 23 of 39)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 8 of 16)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
34% ( 17 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
56
Total Points Won
33
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54% ( 31 of 57)
1st Serve %
59% ( 32 of 54)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
32% ( 18 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 27 of 54)
66
Total Points Won
45
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
60% ( 35 of 58)
1st Serve %
53% ( 33 of 62)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 22 of 33)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
33% ( 19 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 28 of 62)
67
Total Points Won
53
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve %
73% ( 46 of 63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
50% ( 6 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
27% ( 13 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 26 of 63)
62
Total Points Won
50
W
6-2 6-4 H2H

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