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Rafael Nadal vs Casper Ruud Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nadal vs Ruud analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Rafael Nadal vs Casper Ruud Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nadal has won 51.98% of points on his second serve, while Ruud has won 54.92%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nadal, in recent form, has won 57.21% of his opponent's second serve points, while Ruud has won 49.9%. The same stats for first serve returns are 32.72% and 31.2% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nadal has saved 51.52% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Ruud has saved 67.61% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nadal has won 66.67% of matches played (W/L 6/ 3), with Ruud winning 72.15% (W/L 57/ 22) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 505/ 55), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38). Ruud has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 226/ 100), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 36% (W/L 4/ 7).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2), where as Ruud has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 75% of matches (W/L 27/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Nadal winning 2 times. They have played 5 sets in total, with Nadal winning 5 and Ruud winning 0. The last match between Nadal and Ruud was at the Nitto ATP Finals - Turin, 17-11-2022, Robin, I.hard with Rafael Nadal getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:0:21.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nadal and Ruud have played a deciding set 0 times, with Nadal winning 0 times and Ruud 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Nadal winning 0, and Ruud 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 105.67 while Ruud has played against players with an average rank of 137.19.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nadal has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Ruud has won 55% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nadal has converted 48.48% of breakpoint opportunities, and Ruud has converted 40.88% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Nadal 2 - 0 Ruud

Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

512

Rank

1

High

37

Age

L

Plays

2

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

6

Rank

2

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Casper Ruud

14

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

11

Main

2

Minor

2

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L W W L W L W W W L

Form

W L W W W W W W W L

82% (1118-239)

Career Total W/L

65% (388-206)

67% (6-3)

YTD W/L

79% (31-8)

$96,503,585

Career Prize Money

$10,535,790

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Nadal VS Ruud H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Rafael Nadal Casper Ruud
All H2H Matches 2 0
Sets Won 5 0
Games Won 32 16
Aces (Total) 17 4
DFs (Total) 4 1
Avg Match Time 2:0:21 2:0:21
1st Serve % 66% (80/122) 66% (97/146)
1st Serve Win% 88% (70/80) 62% (60/97)
2nd Serve Win% 52% (22/42) 39% (19/49)
BPs Won% (Total) 53% (10/19) 40% (2/5)
Return Points W% 46% (67/146) 25% (30/122)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (2/0)

Nadal VS Ruud H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-5 7-5
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
67% ( 41 of 61)
1st Serve %
70% ( 46 of 66)
16
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
93% ( 38 of 41)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
18% ( 11 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 23 of 66)
73
Total Points Won
54
6-3 6-3 6-0
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Casper Ruud
64% ( 39 of 61)
1st Serve %
64% ( 51 of 80)
1
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
82% ( 32 of 39)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 27 of 51)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 9 of 29)
50% ( 8 of 16)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
31% ( 19 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 44 of 80)
86
Total Points Won
55

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Rafael Nadal Casper Ruud
YTD W/L 67% (6/3) 79% (31/8)
Sets Win/Loss 65% (13/7) 72% (67/26)
Games Win/Loss 58% (111/79) 57% (508/376)
Hard Win/Loss 67% (2/1) 77% (17/5)
Clay Win/Loss 67% (4/2) 81% (13/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.2 0.45
Aces Total 18 196
DFs per game 0.15 0.14
DFs Total 14 59
Avg Match Time 1:58:57 1:46:14
Avg Opp Rank 105.67 117.79
1st Serve % 69% (394/571) 66% (1772/2697)
1st Serve W% 72% (283/394) 74% (1317/1772)
2nd Serve W% 52% (92/177) 55% (508/925)
BPs Won% Total 48% (32/66) 41% (112/274)
Return Pts W% 42% (256/611) 38% (1030/2684)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 67% (2/1)
Masters W/L 75% (3/1) 73% (11/4)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 60% (3/2) 85% (17/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (6/9) 81% (29/36)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 67% (2/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 58% (7/12)
Deciding Set W% 50% (1/2) 80% (8/10)
1st set W, W 86% (7/6) 100% (28/28)
1st set W, L 14% (7/1) 0% (28/0)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 27% (11/3)

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Rafael Nadal
71% ( 46 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89% ( 41 of 46)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 17 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 72)
76
Total Points Won
61
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pedro Cachin
78% ( 59 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 74 of 122)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 39 of 74)
35% ( 6 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
50% ( 9 of 18)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 65 of 122)
109
Total Points Won
89
W
6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Darwin Blanch
62% ( 24 of 39)
1st Serve %
69% ( 27 of 39)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
73% ( 11 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
53
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
76% ( 35 of 46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
58
Total Points Won
34
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
80% ( 12 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
13% ( 6 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 21 of 54)
61
Total Points Won
39
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66% ( 63 of 95)
1st Serve %
64% ( 65 of 102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
63% ( 20 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 102)
107
Total Points Won
90
L
6-4 6-4 7-5 H2H

Casper Ruud Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Casper Ruud
59% ( 41 of 69)
1st Serve %
82% ( 59 of 72)
3
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
0
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 35 of 59)
50% ( 14 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
69% ( 9 of 13)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 23 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 72)
74
Total Points Won
67
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Cameron Norrie
67% ( 33 of 49)
1st Serve %
70% ( 37 of 53)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
70% ( 23 of 33)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 20 of 37)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 4 of 16)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
33% ( 16 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 29 of 53)
62
Total Points Won
40
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Miomir Kecmanovic
58% ( 31 of 53)
1st Serve %
66% ( 27 of 41)
4
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
68% ( 21 of 31)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
42% ( 22 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
55
Total Points Won
39
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
F
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
80% ( 45 of 56)
1st Serve %
57% ( 35 of 61)
2
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
78% ( 35 of 45)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 22 of 35)
64% ( 7 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
25% ( 14 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 61)
68
Total Points Won
49
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
59% ( 42 of 71)
1st Serve %
64% ( 41 of 64)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
79% ( 33 of 42)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 30 of 41)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
32% ( 23 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 22 of 64)
70
Total Points Won
65
W
7-6(6) 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 25 of 51)
67
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Jordan Thompson
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve %
54% ( 27 of 50)
1
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
1
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 18 of 27)
85% ( 11 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
18% ( 8 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 22 of 50)
59
Total Points Won
36
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Alexandre Muller
54% ( 30 of 56)
1st Serve %
57% ( 40 of 70)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
73% ( 22 of 30)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 19 of 40)
46% ( 12 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
39% ( 22 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 37 of 70)
71
Total Points Won
55
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
F
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Casper Ruud
48% ( 35 of 73)
1st Serve %
65% ( 36 of 55)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
60% ( 21 of 35)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 24 of 36)
68% ( 26 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 8)
36% ( 26 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 24 of 55)
71
Total Points Won
57
L
6-1 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Novak Djokovic
56% ( 44 of 78)
1st Serve %
58% ( 46 of 79)
4
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
64% ( 28 of 44)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
44% ( 34 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 29 of 79)
73
Total Points Won
84
W
6-4 1-6 6-4 H2H

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