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Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Rafael Nadal Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Mcdonald vs Nadal analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Rafael Nadal Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Mcdonald has won 39.19% of points on his second serve, while Nadal has won 51.98%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Mcdonald, in recent form, has won 50% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nadal has won 57.21%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.56% and 32.72% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Mcdonald has saved 42.31% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nadal has saved 51.52% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Mcdonald has won 50% of matches played (W/L 21/ 21), with Nadal winning 66.67% (W/L 6/ 3) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Mcdonald has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 30/ 22), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 42% (W/L 22/ 31). Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 505/ 55), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38).
  • Player level: In the last year, Mcdonald has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 54.55% of matches (W/L 12/ 10), where as Nadal has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60% of matches (W/L 3/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Mcdonald winning 1 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Mcdonald winning 3 and Nadal winning 3. The last match between Mcdonald and Nadal was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 18-01-2023, Second, Hard with Mackenzie Mcdonald getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:6:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Mcdonald and Nadal have played a deciding set 0 times, with Mcdonald winning 0 times and Nadal 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Mcdonald winning 0, and Nadal 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Mcdonald has played against opponents with an average rank of 132.5 while Nadal has played against players with an average rank of 105.67.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Mcdonald has won 36% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nadal has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Mcdonald has converted 33.33% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nadal has converted 48.48% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Mcdonald 1 - 1 Nadal

Mackenzie Mcdonald

5

Total

0

Mast

3

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

2

Minor

76

Rank

37

High

29

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

1

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

512

Rank

1

High

37

Age

L

Plays

Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

1

Total

1

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L W L W L W L L L L

Form

L W W L W L W W W L

56% (287-227)

Career Total W/L

82% (1118-239)

0% (0-3)

YTD W/L

67% (6-3)

$3,126,495

Career Prize Money

$96,503,585

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Mcdonald VS Nadal H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Mackenzie Mcdonald Rafael Nadal
All H2H Matches 1 1
Sets Won 3 3
Games Won 23 31
Aces (Total) 15 7
DFs (Total) 4 6
Avg Match Time 2:6:0 2:6:0
1st Serve % 66% (103/155) 66% (114/174)
1st Serve Win% 59% (61/103) 68% (77/114)
2nd Serve Win% 54% (28/52) 53% (32/60)
BPs Won% (Total) 63% (5/8) 75% (9/12)
Return Points W% 37% (65/174) 43% (66/155)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)

Mcdonald VS Nadal H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-4 7-5
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66% ( 63 of 95)
1st Serve %
64% ( 65 of 102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
63% ( 20 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 102)
107
Total Points Won
90
6-1 6-0 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Mackenzie Mcdonald
68% ( 49 of 72)
1st Serve %
67% ( 40 of 60)
1
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
2
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve Won
45% ( 18 of 40)
61% ( 14 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 8 of 20)
88% ( 7 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
29% ( 21 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 34 of 60)
85
Total Points Won
47

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Mackenzie Mcdonald Rafael Nadal
YTD W/L 0% (0/3) 67% (6/3)
Sets Win/Loss 22% (2/7) 65% (13/7)
Games Win/Loss 39% (30/46) 58% (111/79)
Hard Win/Loss 0% (0/3) 67% (2/1)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 67% (4/2)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.22 0.2
Aces Total 8 18
DFs per game 0.32 0.15
DFs Total 12 14
Avg Match Time 1:53:41 1:58:57
Avg Opp Rank 310 105.67
1st Serve % 66% (144/218) 69% (394/571)
1st Serve W% 63% (90/144) 72% (283/394)
2nd Serve W% 39% (29/74) 52% (92/177)
BPs Won% Total 33% (8/24) 48% (32/66)
Return Pts W% 38% (89/234) 42% (256/611)
Slam W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 75% (3/1)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/2) 60% (3/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 67% (6/9)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 33% (1/3)
Deciding Set W% 0% (0/1) 50% (1/2)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 86% (7/6)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 14% (7/1)
1st set L, W 0% (3/0) 0% (2/0)

Mackenzie Mcdonald Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Juncheng Shang
Player
Mackenzie Mcdonald
58% ( 83 of 143)
1st Serve %
67% ( 78 of 117)
4
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
4
69% ( 57 of 83)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 52 of 78)
50% ( 30 of 60)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 20 of 39)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
28% ( 5 of 18)
39% ( 56 of 143)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 45 of 117)
132
Total Points Won
128
L
6-3 1-6 3-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Miomir Kecmanovic
Player
Mackenzie Mcdonald
72% ( 34 of 47)
1st Serve %
65% ( 36 of 55)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
68% ( 23 of 34)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 21 of 36)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
26% ( 5 of 19)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
36% ( 17 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 29 of 55)
59
Total Points Won
43
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Ofner
Player
Mackenzie Mcdonald
61% ( 27 of 44)
1st Serve %
65% ( 30 of 46)
6
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
47% ( 8 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 4 of 16)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
36% ( 16 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 25 of 46)
53
Total Points Won
37
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Mackenzie Mcdonald
58% ( 48 of 83)
1st Serve %
67% ( 60 of 90)
4
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
2
85% ( 41 of 48)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 38 of 60)
66% ( 23 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
23% ( 19 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 34 of 90)
98
Total Points Won
75
L
6-7(6) 7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Jeff Wolf
57% ( 35 of 61)
1st Serve %
46% ( 43 of 94)
9
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
5
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 35 of 43)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 21 of 51)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
30% ( 18 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 38 of 94)
81
Total Points Won
74
W
1-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Mackenzie Mcdonald
54% ( 22 of 41)
1st Serve %
73% ( 44 of 60)
6
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
1
95% ( 21 of 22)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 27 of 44)
79% ( 15 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
12% ( 5 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 60)
62
Total Points Won
39
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Max Purcell
55% ( 34 of 62)
1st Serve %
61% ( 50 of 82)
4
Aces
11
2
Double Faults
3
79% ( 27 of 34)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 35 of 50)
54% ( 15 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 11 of 32)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
32% ( 20 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 36 of 82)
78
Total Points Won
66
W
7-5 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Francisco Cerundolo
Player
Mackenzie Mcdonald
60% ( 55 of 91)
1st Serve %
71% ( 65 of 91)
3
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
0
76% ( 42 of 55)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 47 of 65)
42% ( 15 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
20% ( 2 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
37% ( 34 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 32 of 91)
89
Total Points Won
93
L
7-6(4) 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Corentin Moutet
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve %
80% ( 41 of 51)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 23 of 41)
50% ( 10 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 5 of 10)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
30% ( 19 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 23 of 51)
67
Total Points Won
47
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Mackenzie Mcdonald
68% ( 57 of 84)
1st Serve %
59% ( 52 of 88)
6
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
1
63% ( 36 of 57)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
52% ( 14 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
57% ( 4 of 7)
40% ( 34 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 41 of 88)
91
Total Points Won
81
L
2-6 7-6(4) 6-1 H2H

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Rafael Nadal
71% ( 46 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89% ( 41 of 46)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 17 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 72)
76
Total Points Won
61
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pedro Cachin
78% ( 59 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 74 of 122)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 39 of 74)
35% ( 6 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
50% ( 9 of 18)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 65 of 122)
109
Total Points Won
89
W
6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Darwin Blanch
62% ( 24 of 39)
1st Serve %
69% ( 27 of 39)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
73% ( 11 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
53
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jason Murray Kubler
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
76% ( 35 of 46)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
58
Total Points Won
34
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Dominic Thiem
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
90% ( 28 of 31)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
80% ( 12 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
13% ( 6 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 21 of 54)
61
Total Points Won
39
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Player
Rafael Nadal
66% ( 63 of 95)
1st Serve %
64% ( 65 of 102)
14
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
63% ( 20 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 102)
107
Total Points Won
90
L
6-4 6-4 7-5 H2H

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