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Aryna Sabalenka vs Tatjana Maria Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sabalenka vs Maria analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Aryna Sabalenka vs Tatjana Maria Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sabalenka has won 47.43% of points on his second serve, while Maria has won 44.8%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 57.89% of his opponent's second serve points, while Maria has won 54.19%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.13% and 38.04% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Sabalenka has saved 59.29% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Maria has saved 46.24% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Sabalenka has won 75.81% of matches played (W/L 47/ 15), with Maria winning 50.77% (W/L 33/ 32) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 61% (W/L 69/ 44). Maria has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 66% (W/L 63/ 32), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 50% (W/L 196/ 193).
  • Player level: In the last year, Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/ 9), where as Maria has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 48.39% of matches (W/L 15/ 16). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Sabalenka winning 3 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Sabalenka winning 6 and Maria winning 2. The last match between Sabalenka and Maria was at the Shenzhen Open - Shenzhen, 31-12-2018, First, Hard with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:43:5.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Sabalenka and Maria have played a deciding set 2 times, with Sabalenka winning 2 times and Maria 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Sabalenka winning 0, and Maria 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 62.66 while Maria has played against players with an average rank of 174.71.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sabalenka has won 44% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Maria has won 42% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Sabalenka has converted 46% of breakpoint opportunities, and Maria has converted 46.77% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Sabalenka 3 - 0 Maria

Aryna Sabalenka

20

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

2

Slam

7

Main

2

Minor

2

Rank

1

High

25

Age

R

Plays

3

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

67

Rank

42

High

36

Age

R

Plays

Tatjana Maria

21

Total

0

Mast

17

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

1

Minor

3

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W L W W L W L W L

Form

W L L L W W L W L W

68% (383-180)

Career Total W/L

56% (615-481)

75% (15-5)

YTD W/L

48% (11-12)

$18,896,949

Career Prize Money

$2,286,652

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Sabalenka VS Maria H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Aryna Sabalenka Tatjana Maria
All H2H Matches 3 0
Sets Won 6 2
Games Won 44 27
Aces (Total) 7 10
DFs (Total) 8 12
Avg Match Time 1:43:5 1:43:5
1st Serve % 61% (141/230) 51% (127/247)
1st Serve Win% 70% (98/141) 64% (81/127)
2nd Serve Win% 51% (45/89) 38% (46/120)
BPs Won% (Total) 57% (17/30) 44% (8/18)
Return Points W% 49% (120/247) 38% (87/230)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (2/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 100% (2/2)
1st set L, W 100% (2/2) 0% (1/0)

Sabalenka VS Maria H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
3-6 6-3 6-1
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Tatjana Maria
61% ( 49 of 80)
1st Serve %
61% ( 48 of 79)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
4
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 9 of 31)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
44% ( 35 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 41 of 79)
86
Total Points Won
73
4-6 6-1 6-2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Tatjana Maria
67% ( 54 of 81)
1st Serve %
52% ( 43 of 83)
2
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
3
76% ( 41 of 54)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 28 of 43)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 16 of 40)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
33% ( 27 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 39 of 83)
93
Total Points Won
71
6-3 7-5
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Tatjana Maria
55% ( 38 of 69)
1st Serve %
42% ( 36 of 85)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
74% ( 28 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 24 of 36)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 21 of 49)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
36% ( 25 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 40 of 85)
84
Total Points Won
70

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Aryna Sabalenka Tatjana Maria
YTD W/L 75% (15/5) 48% (11/12)
Sets Win/Loss 73% (33/12) 47% (26/29)
Games Win/Loss 59% (240/165) 48% (236/254)
Hard Win/Loss 78% (14/4) 43% (6/8)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (1/1) 57% (4/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (1/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.54 0.32
Aces Total 105 75
DFs per game 0.33 0.31
DFs Total 64 74
Avg Match Time 1:33:17 1:46:2
Avg Opp Rank 76.35 171.26
1st Serve % 63% (802/1274) 55% (894/1614)
1st Serve W% 72% (578/802) 64% (570/894)
2nd Serve W% 48% (226/472) 45% (322/720)
BPs Won% Total 46% (80/174) 46% (85/184)
Return Pts W% 46% (605/1310) 43% (695/1609)
Slam W/L 100% (7/0) 50% (1/1)
Masters W/L 50% (3/3) 43% (3/4)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 71% (5/2) 50% (6/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 74% (14/19) 45% (10/22)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 80% (4/5) 29% (2/7)
Deciding Set W% 20% (1/5) 50% (5/10)
1st set W, W 81% (16/13) 64% (11/7)
1st set W, L 13% (16/2) 36% (11/4)
1st set L, W 25% (4/1) 25% (12/3)

Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Marketa Vondrousova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
62% ( 59 of 95)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 78)
5
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
9
58% ( 34 of 59)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 27 of 44)
47% ( 17 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 13 of 34)
88% ( 7 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
46% ( 44 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 38 of 78)
89
Total Points Won
84
L
3-6 6-3 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
66% ( 70 of 106)
1st Serve %
66% ( 59 of 90)
4
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
5
70% ( 49 of 70)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 40 of 59)
44% ( 16 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
39% ( 41 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 35 of 90)
100
Total Points Won
96
W
7-6(4) 4-6 3-3 ret. H2H
R3
cross
Anhelina Kalinina
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
67% ( 55 of 82)
1st Serve %
66% ( 50 of 76)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
6
60% ( 33 of 55)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 31 of 50)
37% ( 10 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 8 of 26)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
48% ( 39 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 37 of 76)
80
Total Points Won
78
L
6-4 1-6 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve %
59% ( 44 of 74)
3
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
4
77% ( 30 of 39)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 27 of 44)
58% ( 7 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 14 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 33 of 74)
70
Total Points Won
55
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Emma Navarro
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
60% ( 54 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 42 of 73)
2
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
65% ( 35 of 54)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
56% ( 20 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
39% ( 35 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 28 of 73)
83
Total Points Won
80
L
6-3 3-6 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Emma Raducanu
63% ( 47 of 75)
1st Serve %
62% ( 36 of 58)
8
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
74% ( 35 of 47)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 24 of 36)
54% ( 15 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
10% ( 1 of 10)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 22 of 58)
72
Total Points Won
61
W
6-3 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Peyton Stearns
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
64% ( 75 of 117)
10
Aces
3
9
Double Faults
4
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 47 of 75)
43% ( 18 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 19 of 42)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
37% ( 40 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 51 of 117)
120
Total Points Won
106
W
6-7(2) 6-2 7-6(6) H2H
R2
cross
Donna Vekic
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54% ( 59 of 109)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 91)
14
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
8
63% ( 37 of 59)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 31 of 52)
54% ( 27 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 16 of 39)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
41% ( 45 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 44 of 91)
108
Total Points Won
92
L
6-7(5) 6-3 6-0 H2H
F
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Qinwen Zheng
67% ( 38 of 57)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
3
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
6
84% ( 32 of 38)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 20 of 27)
42% ( 8 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
30% ( 17 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 22 of 51)
62
Total Points Won
46
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Cori Gauff
76% ( 50 of 66)
1st Serve %
57% ( 48 of 84)
4
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
8
70% ( 35 of 50)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 31 of 48)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 14 of 36)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
35% ( 23 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 39 of 84)
82
Total Points Won
68
W
7-6(2) 6-4 H2H

Tatjana Maria Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Peyton Stearns
58% ( 66 of 114)
1st Serve %
75% ( 85 of 114)
9
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 50 of 66)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 44 of 85)
38% ( 18 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
69% ( 20 of 29)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
40% ( 46 of 114)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 50 of 114)
118
Total Points Won
110
W
6-7(4) 6-2 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Elise Mertens
Player
Tatjana Maria
56% ( 35 of 62)
1st Serve %
56% ( 35 of 62)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
80% ( 28 of 35)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 19 of 35)
41% ( 11 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 8 of 27)
80% ( 8 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
37% ( 23 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 35 of 62)
74
Total Points Won
50
L
6-1 4-6 6-0 H2H
Rubber 2
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Laura Pigossi
61% ( 48 of 79)
1st Serve %
75% ( 75 of 100)
4
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
65% ( 31 of 48)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 43 of 75)
42% ( 13 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
75% ( 6 of 8)
44% ( 35 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 48 of 100)
92
Total Points Won
87
W
2-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Player
Tatjana Maria
65% ( 51 of 78)
1st Serve %
54% ( 45 of 83)
0
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
61% ( 31 of 51)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 22 of 45)
33% ( 9 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 17 of 38)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
54% ( 7 of 13)
49% ( 38 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 44 of 83)
84
Total Points Won
77
L
1-6 6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Julia Riera
65% ( 59 of 91)
1st Serve %
56% ( 38 of 68)
1
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
9
56% ( 33 of 59)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 11 of 30)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
46% ( 42 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 39 of 68)
88
Total Points Won
71
W
2-6 6-0 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Anna Bondar
38% ( 29 of 76)
1st Serve %
40% ( 19 of 47)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
3
55% ( 16 of 29)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
60% ( 28 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 25 of 47)
69
Total Points Won
54
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Anna Bondar
Player
Tatjana Maria
56% ( 63 of 113)
1st Serve %
58% ( 56 of 97)
6
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
0
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 39 of 56)
54% ( 27 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
40% ( 45 of 113)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 34 of 97)
102
Total Points Won
108
L
0-6 7-6(3) 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Emiliana Arango
Player
Tatjana Maria
87% ( 54 of 62)
1st Serve %
42% ( 22 of 52)
0
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
61% ( 33 of 54)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
75% ( 6 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
37% ( 23 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 28 of 52)
67
Total Points Won
47
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Tatjana Maria
66% ( 39 of 59)
1st Serve %
43% ( 26 of 60)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
7
62% ( 24 of 39)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 15 of 26)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 13 of 34)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 22 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 32 of 60)
69
Total Points Won
50
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Tatjana Maria
Player
Arantxa Rus
56% ( 35 of 63)
1st Serve %
67% ( 51 of 76)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
8
86% ( 30 of 35)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 31 of 51)
39% ( 11 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
35% ( 22 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 36 of 76)
77
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(5) 6-2 H2H

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