Colton Smith vs Alexander Shevchenko Prediction &#8211; ATP &#8211; 11th March 2025 Best Bets

Colton Smith and Alexander Shevchenko Prediction Head To Head Summary

Smith vs Shevchenko Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Shevchenko has a 50.99% win this match.

Smith → 1.69. Shevchenko → 2.11.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Smith vs Shevchenko Upcoming Match Details:

Smith will play Shevchenko on Hard court in the First round at the ATP Phoenix Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 11th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Smith 0-0 Shevchenko

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Smith comes into this match with a ranking of 261 , while Shevchenko is ranked 98.

Smith vs Shevchenko Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Shevchenko has won 42% of points on his second serve, while Smith has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Shevchenko has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Smith has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 39% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Shevchenko has been saving 51% of his breakpoints, and Smith has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Surface prediction: Shevchenko performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 175/105) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 20% (W/L 1/4). Smith performs best on I.hard, winning 75% (W/L 18/6), and performs worse on Hard, winning 73% (W/L 29/11).
In play break point conversion prediction: Alexander Shevchenko has converted 38% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Colton Smith has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Colton Smith played Alex Michelsen in the Second round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and lost 6-3 6-4 in 01:48:20 . Alexander Shevchenko played Rinky Hijikata in the First round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and lost 6-1 6-3 in 01:04:26.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Smith Vs Shevchenko Prediction Stats At Phoenix Challenger Day 2

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Colton Smith and Alexander Shevchenko

Of their last 10 matches played, Smith has won 8, while Shevchenko has won 3. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Smith has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points , while Shevchenko has won 47% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Smith Vs Shevchenko

Smith Vs Shevchenko Prediction H2H & All Phoenix Challenger Day 2 Predictions

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Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Smith has won 2 titles in his career, while Alexander Shevchenko has won 7 events. Smith has won 53% (4206 of 7945) of points played in his entire career, and Shevchenko has achieved 51% (29812 of 58643). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Smith has won 39% of tie breaks in his entire career (9 of 23), whereas Alexander Shevchenko has won 55% (79 of 143). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alexander Shevchenko has an 50.99% probability of winning this match.

Colton Smith vs Alexander Shevchenko Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Alexander Shevchenko To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Colton Smith has a 49.01% chance of winning and Alexander Shevchenko has a 50.99% chance of taking the victory. We tip Shevchenko to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Colton Smith vs Alexander Shevchenko

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Phoenix Challenger, go here.