Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula Prediction Head To Head Summary
Rybakina vs Pegula Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Rybakina has a 64.94% chance to win this match.
Rybakina → 1.54. Pegula → 2.69.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Rybakina vs Pegula Upcoming Match Details:
Rybakina will play Pegula on I.hard court in the Semifinals at the WTA WTA Finals event in Riyadh Women’s Singles 2025 on 7th November 2025.
Head-to-Head: Rybakina 2-3 Pegula
The current Head to Head score is 2-3. Rybakina comes into this match with a ranking of 6 , while Pegula is ranked 5.
Rybakina vs Pegula Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Pegula has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Rybakina has won 42% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Pegula has won 30% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Rybakina has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 51% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Pegula has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Rybakina has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Pegula performs best on Hard, winning 68% (W/L 286/137) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 34/26). Rybakina performs best on I.hard, winning 74% (W/L 67/24), and performs worse on Hard, winning 69% (W/L 187/84).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Jessica Pegula has converted 38% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Elena Rybakina has converted 31% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Elena Rybakina played Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Robin round at the WTA Finals – Riyadh and won 6-4 6-4 in 01:13:39 . Jessica Pegula played Jasmine Paolini in the Robin round at the WTA Finals – Riyadh and won 6-2 6-3 in 01:03:33.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Rybakina Vs Pegula
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Rybakina has won 14 titles in her career, while Jessica Pegula has won 10 events. Rybakina has won 53% (39028 of 74093) of points played in her entire career, and Pegula has achieved 52% (43387 of 83431). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Rybakina has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (92 of 166), whereas Jessica Pegula has won 57% (105 of 183). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Elena Rybakina has an 52.28% probability of winning this match.
Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Elena Rybakina To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Elena Rybakina has a 52.28% chance of winning and Jessica Pegula has a 47.72% chance of taking the victory. We tip Rybakina to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
To see all live tennis scores for the WTA Finals – Riyadh.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Elena Rybakina
- Rybakina vs Anisimova H2H, could play in The Final
- Rybakina vs Sabalenka H2H, could play in The Final
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jessica Pegula
- Pegula vs Anisimova H2H, could play in The Final
- Pegula vs Sabalenka H2H, could play in The Final
