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Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Pegula vs Sabalenka analysis and find out who is favored!
Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Pegula 2 - 6 Sabalenka
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Pegula has won 50.86% of points on their second serve, while Sabalenka has won 51.79%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Pegula, in recent form, has won 56.75% of their opponent's second serve points, while Sabalenka has won 57.89%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.98% and 35.54% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Pegula has saved 59.71% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sabalenka has saved 63.31% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Pegula has won 76.56% of matches played (W/L 49/ 15), with Sabalenka winning 78.46% (W/L 51/ 14) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Pegula has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 248/ 123), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 29/ 21). Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 72% (W/L 253/ 97), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 83/ 47).
- Player level: In the last year, Pegula has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 75.86% of matches (W/L 22/ 7), where as Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 73.53% of matches (W/L 25/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 8 times before with Pegula winning 2 times and Sabalenka being victorious 6 times. They have played 17 sets in total, with Pegula winning 4 and Sabalenka winning 13. The last match between Pegula and Sabalenka was at the U.S. Open - New York, 07-09-2024, Final, Hard with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 7-5 7-5.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:25:40.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Pegula and Sabalenka have played a deciding set 1 times, with Pegula winning 1 times and Sabalenka 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Pegula winning 0, and Sabalenka 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Pegula has played against opponents with an average rank of 66.13 while Sabalenka has played against players with an average rank of 35.18.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Pegula has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sabalenka has won 59% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Pegula has converted 44.89% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sabalenka has converted 44.2% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
3
Rank
3
High
30
Age
R
Plays
2
Total6
2
Hard3
0
Clay3
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
2
Rank
1
High
26
Age
R
Plays
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
Form
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
64% (430-241)
Career Total W/L
69% (414-186)
75% (36-12)
YTD W/L
81% (46-11)
$11,183,183
Career Prize Money
$24,363,913
2
YTD Titles
3
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
The Best Odds For Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka For Any Market:
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Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Pegula VS Sabalenka
| stats | Jessica Pegula | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Sets Won | 4 | 13 |
| Games Won | 64 | 94 |
| Aces (Total) | 22 | 45 |
| DFs Total | 30 | 40 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:25:40 | 1:25:40 |
| 1st Serve % | 60% (324/537) | 59% (302/509) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 59% (192/324) | 68% (206/302) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 41% (87/213) | 49% (102/207) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 43% (22/51) | 49% (37/76) |
| Return Points W% | 39% (201/509) | 48% (258/537) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 25% (2/8) | 75% (6/8) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (2/2) | 100% (6/6) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (2/0) | 0% (6/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (6/0) | 0% (2/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-5 7-5 |
Stats 
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
60%
(
49 of
82)
1st Serve %
67%
(
57 of
85)
6
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
4
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
37 of
57)
42%
(
14 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
21%
(
6 of
28)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
44%
(
36 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
42 of
85)
88
Total Points Won
79
|
||||
| 6-3 7-5 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
67%
(
34 of
51)
1st Serve %
59%
(
42 of
71)
10
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
5
91%
(
31 of
34)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
28 of
42)
65%
(
11 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
18%
(
9 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
30 of
71)
72
Total Points Won
50
|
||||
| 6-4 6-3 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66%
(
39 of
59)
1st Serve %
62%
(
38 of
61)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
67%
(
26 of
39)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
20 of
38)
60%
(
12 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
11 of
23)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
36%
(
21 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
30 of
61)
68
Total Points Won
52
|
||||
| 6-3 7-5 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
58%
(
35 of
60)
1st Serve %
52%
(
41 of
79)
5
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
5
80%
(
28 of
35)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
21 of
41)
44%
(
11 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
17 of
38)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
35%
(
21 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
41 of
79)
80
Total Points Won
59
|
||||
| 6-1 6-4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
57%
(
32 of
56)
1st Serve %
60%
(
28 of
47)
9
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
6
72%
(
23 of
32)
1st Serve Won
46%
(
13 of
28)
42%
(
10 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
6 of
19)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
41%
(
23 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
60%
(
28 of
47)
61
Total Points Won
42
|
||||
| 6-1 6-2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
61%
(
28 of
46)
1st Serve %
61%
(
25 of
41)
8
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
1
86%
(
24 of
28)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
14 of
25)
50%
(
9 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
5 of
16)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
28%
(
13 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
22 of
41)
55
Total Points Won
32
|
||||
| 6-3 6-1 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
56%
(
33 of
59)
1st Serve %
55%
(
31 of
56)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
55%
(
18 of
33)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
11 of
25)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
41%
(
24 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
31 of
56)
66
Total Points Won
49
|
||||
| 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
62%
(
61 of
99)
1st Serve %
56%
(
53 of
94)
5
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
8
64%
(
39 of
61)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
30 of
53)
45%
(
17 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
19 of
41)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
31%
(
4 of
13)
43%
(
43 of
99)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
45 of
94)
101
Total Points Won
92
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Jessica Pegula | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 75% (36/12) | 81% (46/11) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 68% (80/37) | 76% (98/31) |
| Games Win/Loss | 55% (637/513) | 59% (708/484) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 79% (26/7) | 83% (30/6) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 67% (4/2) | 79% (15/4) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 67% (6/3) | 50% (1/1) |
| Aces pg | 0.27 | 0.47 |
| Aces Total | 153 | 271 |
| DFs per game | 0.19 | 0.3 |
| DFs Total | 107 | 174 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:45:17 | 1:37:10 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 64.79 | 38.09 |
| 1st Serve % | 61% (2259/3699) | 62% (2356/3782) |
| 1st Serve W% | 68% (1526/2259) | 71% (1673/2356) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 49% (705/1440) | 51% (732/1426) |
| BPs Won% Total | 46% (213/465) | 45% (223/493) |
| Return Pts W% | 45% (1733/3835) | 45% (1751/3885) |
| Slam W/L | 73% (8/3) | 95% (18/1) |
| Masters W/L | 80% (12/3) | 77% (20/6) |
| Cups W/L | 100% (2/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 70% (14/6) | 67% (8/4) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 75% (36/48) | 82% (45/55) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 61% (11/18) | 73% (8/11) |
| Deciding Set W% | 62% (13/21) | 56% (9/16) |
| 1st set W, W | 88% (33/29) | 91% (43/39) |
| 1st set W, L | 12% (33/4) | 7% (43/3) |
| 1st set L, W | 47% (15/7) | 43% (14/6) |
Jessica Pegula Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
60%
(
49 of
82)
1st Serve %
67%
(
57 of
85)
6
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
4
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
37 of
57)
42%
(
14 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
21%
(
6 of
28)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
44%
(
36 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
42 of
85)
88
Total Points Won
79
|
7-5 7-5 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Karolina Muchova
67%
(
59 of
88)
1st Serve %
62%
(
53 of
86)
1
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
3
58%
(
34 of
59)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
34 of
53)
52%
(
15 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
14 of
33)
38%
(
5 of
13)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
44%
(
39 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
38 of
86)
87
Total Points Won
87
|
1-6 6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Iga Swiatek
65%
(
35 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
41 of
60)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
23 of
41)
53%
(
10 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
9 of
19)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
31%
(
17 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
28 of
60)
65
Total Points Won
49
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Diana Shnaider
53%
(
35 of
66)
1st Serve %
63%
(
44 of
70)
6
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
80%
(
28 of
35)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
26 of
44)
39%
(
12 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
10 of
26)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
39%
(
26 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
34 of
70)
74
Total Points Won
62
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
57%
(
28 of
49)
1st Serve %
58%
(
35 of
60)
3
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
6
89%
(
25 of
28)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
18 of
35)
57%
(
12 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
12 of
25)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
24%
(
12 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
30 of
60)
67
Total Points Won
42
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Sofia Kenin
66%
(
46 of
70)
1st Serve %
64%
(
44 of
69)
6
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
6
65%
(
30 of
46)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
26 of
44)
54%
(
13 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
11 of
25)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
39%
(
27 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
32 of
69)
75
Total Points Won
64
|
7-6(4) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Shelby Rogers
59%
(
44 of
74)
1st Serve %
50%
(
25 of
50)
3
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
0
75%
(
33 of
44)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
43%
(
13 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
64%
(
16 of
25)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
38%
(
28 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
21 of
50)
67
Total Points Won
57
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
67%
(
34 of
51)
1st Serve %
59%
(
42 of
71)
10
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
5
91%
(
31 of
34)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
28 of
42)
65%
(
11 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
18%
(
9 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
30 of
71)
72
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
62%
(
60 of
97)
1st Serve %
56%
(
49 of
88)
5
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
8
67%
(
40 of
60)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
31 of
49)
49%
(
18 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
18 of
39)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
40%
(
39 of
97)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
39 of
88)
97
Total Points Won
88
|
6-2 3-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Leylah Annie Fernandez
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
69%
(
96 of
140)
3
Aces
5
7
Double Faults
6
63%
(
49 of
78)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
57 of
96)
46%
(
19 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
18 of
44)
47%
(
7 of
15)
Break Points Won
40%
(
6 of
15)
43%
(
51 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
65 of
140)
133
Total Points Won
126
|
7-5 6-7(1) 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
view more
Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
60%
(
49 of
82)
1st Serve %
67%
(
57 of
85)
6
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
4
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
37 of
57)
42%
(
14 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
21%
(
6 of
28)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
44%
(
36 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
42 of
85)
88
Total Points Won
79
|
7-5 7-5 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Emma Navarro
68%
(
47 of
69)
1st Serve %
75%
(
47 of
63)
8
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
1
74%
(
35 of
47)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
32 of
47)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
4 of
16)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
35%
(
24 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
27 of
63)
72
Total Points Won
60
|
6-3 7-6(2) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Qinwen Zheng
71%
(
41 of
58)
1st Serve %
44%
(
19 of
43)
3
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
73%
(
30 of
41)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
14 of
19)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
8 of
24)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
33%
(
19 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
21 of
43)
60
Total Points Won
41
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elise Mertens
58%
(
37 of
64)
1st Serve %
46%
(
31 of
67)
6
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
73%
(
27 of
37)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
24 of
31)
59%
(
16 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
12 of
36)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
8)
33%
(
21 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
31 of
67)
74
Total Points Won
57
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
63%
(
45 of
72)
1st Serve %
60%
(
44 of
73)
5
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
4
69%
(
31 of
45)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
24 of
44)
52%
(
14 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
14 of
29)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
38%
(
27 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
35 of
73)
80
Total Points Won
65
|
2-6 6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Lucia Bronzetti
73%
(
30 of
41)
1st Serve %
56%
(
27 of
48)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
77%
(
23 of
30)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
17 of
27)
82%
(
9 of
11)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
8 of
21)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
22%
(
9 of
41)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
23 of
48)
55
Total Points Won
34
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Priscilla Hon
60%
(
36 of
60)
1st Serve %
49%
(
26 of
53)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
72%
(
26 of
36)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
17 of
26)
58%
(
14 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
33%
(
20 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
25 of
53)
65
Total Points Won
48
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
67%
(
34 of
51)
1st Serve %
59%
(
42 of
71)
10
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
5
91%
(
31 of
34)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
28 of
42)
65%
(
11 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
18%
(
9 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
30 of
71)
72
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Iga Swiatek
52%
(
33 of
63)
1st Serve %
57%
(
40 of
70)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
67%
(
22 of
33)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
27 of
40)
53%
(
16 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
20%
(
6 of
30)
33%
(
5 of
15)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
40%
(
25 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
37 of
70)
75
Total Points Won
58
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
68%
(
34 of
50)
1st Serve %
45%
(
21 of
47)
5
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
6
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
15 of
21)
69%
(
11 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
11 of
26)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
24%
(
12 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
21 of
47)
59
Total Points Won
38
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
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