Rublev vs Arnaldi Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Rublev to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Arnaldi has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Rublev has won 55% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Arnaldi has won 33% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Rublev has won 27%. The same stats for second serve return points are 50% and 52% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Arnaldi has been saving 62% of his breakpoints, and Rublev has saved 69% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Arnaldi has won 57% of matches played (W/L 20/15) with Rublev winning 62% (W/L 23/14).
Surface prediction: Arnaldi performs best on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 124/63) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/19). Rublev performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 183/92), and performs worse on Grass, winning 63% (W/L 25/15).
In play break point conversion prediction: Matteo Arnaldi has converted 40% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Andrey Rublev has converted 37% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Andrey Rublev played Jannik Sinner in the Quarterfinals at the National Bank Open – Montreal and won 6-3 1-6 6-2 in 01:47:25 . Matteo Arnaldi played Kei Nishikori in the Quarterfinals at the National Bank Open – Montreal and won 6-4 7-5 in 02:00:33.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Andrey Rublev and Matteo Arnaldi
Of their last 10 matches played, Rublev has won 7, while Arnaldi has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Rublev has won 58% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points , while Arnaldi has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points.
Amanda@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Rublev Vs Arnaldi
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Rublev has won 21 titles in his career, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 6 events. Rublev has won 52% (53419 of 103682) of points played in his entire career, and Arnaldi has achieved 51% (22564 of 44426). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Rublev has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (159 of 313), whereas Matteo Arnaldi has won 60% (56 of 93). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Andrey Rublev has an 78.55% probability of winning this match.
Andrey Rublev vs Matteo Arnaldi Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Andrey Rublev To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Andrey Rublev has a 78.55% chance of winning and Matteo Arnaldi has a 21.45% chance of taking the victory. We tip Rublev to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Rublev vs Arnaldi
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Andrey Rublev vs Matteo Arnaldi here.
To see the full prediction for Rublev vs Arnaldi at National Bank Open – Montreal, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com National Bank Open Day 8 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the National Bank Open – Montreal, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for ...