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Prediction of Reilly Opelka [105th] vs Matteo Arnaldi [42nd] Head-to-Head At The

By Wojtek Kolan

Head-To-Head: Opelka 1 - 0 Arnaldi

They have played 2 sets in total, with Opelka winning 2 and Arnaldi winning 0. The last match between Opelka and Arnaldi was at the Brisbane International - Brisbane, 02-01-2025, Second, Hard with Reilly Opelka getting the victory 7-6(9) 7-6(4).

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Reilly Opelka 1
Matteo Arnaldi 0
Opelka vs Arnaldi H2H Profile
Opelka Stats Arnaldi
58% (11-8) YTD Win/Loss 47% (8-9)
1 Head-to-Head 0
105 Ranking 42
17 Highest Rank 30
27 Age 24
R Plays -
8 Titles 6
56% (236-183) Career Total W/L 61% (224-143)
$3,342,250 Career Prize Money $2,239,275
1 Hard H2H 0

Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)

Opelka VS Arnaldi H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(9) 7-6(4)
cross
Reilly Opelka
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
67% ( 58 of 86)
1st Serve %
53% ( 40 of 75)
25
Aces
8
6
Double Faults
2
84% ( 49 of 58)
1st Serve Won
85% ( 34 of 40)
46% ( 13 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 21 of 35)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
28% ( 24 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
27% ( 20 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
79

Opelka VS Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Opelka Vs Arnaldi H2H Stats
Reilly Opelka Opelka Stats Matteo Arnaldi Arnaldi
1 H2H Matches 0
2 Sets Won 0
14 Games Won 12
25 Aces (Total) 8
6 Total Double Faults 2
1:56:38 Average Match Time 1:56:38
67% (58/86) 1st Serve % 53% (40/75)
84% (49/58) 1st Serve Win % 85% (34/40)
46% (13/28) 2nd Serve Win % 60% (21/35)
50% (1/2) Break Points Won % (Total) 50% (1/2)
27% (20/75) Return Points Win % 28% (24/86)
100% (1/1) Best of 3 Sets Win % 0% (0/1)
0% (0/0) Best of 5 Sets Win % 0% (0/0)
100% (2/2) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 0% (0/2)
0% (0/0) Deciding Set Win % 0% (0/0)
100% (1/1) 1st Set Won, Won Match 0% (0/0)
0% (1/0) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 0% (0/0)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 0% (1/0)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Reilly Opelka vs Matteo Arnaldi Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Opelka 1 - 0 Arnaldi

Editorial Prediction:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Opelka has won 49.07% of points on their second serve, while Arnaldi has won 49.09%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Opelka, in recent form, has won 39.51% of their opponent's second serve points, while Arnaldi has won 42.56%. The same stats for first serve returns are 18.73% and 26.81% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Opelka has saved 59.14% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Arnaldi has saved 54.86% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Opelka has won 51.35% of matches played (W/L 19/ 18), with Arnaldi winning 48.98% (W/L 24/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Opelka has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 67% (W/L 46/ 23), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 40% (W/L 10/ 15). Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 125/ 66), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 38% (W/L 15/ 25).
  • Player level: In the last year, Opelka has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 54.55% of matches (W/L 12/ 10), where as Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 52.63% of matches (W/L 10/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Opelka winning 1 times and Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Opelka winning 2 and Arnaldi winning 0. The last match between Opelka and Arnaldi was at the Brisbane International - Brisbane, 02-01-2025, Second, Hard with Reilly Opelka getting the victory 7-6(9) 7-6(4).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:56:38.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Opelka and Arnaldi have played a deciding set 0 times, with Opelka winning 0 times and Arnaldi 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Opelka winning 2, and Arnaldi 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Opelka has played against opponents with an average rank of 82.32 while Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 64.51.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Opelka has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Arnaldi has won 40% in all matches played on tour.
  • Current event H2H stats: Past player performance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below (if they have played a match in the current event). Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Opelka has converted 20.63% of breakpoint opportunities, and Arnaldi has converted 28.81% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
  • Reilly Opelka Recent Matches Played

    OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
    R1
    cross
    Stefanos Tsitsipas
    Player
    Reilly Opelka
    50% ( 24 of 48)
    1st Serve %
    61% ( 33 of 54)
    2
    Aces
    4
    1
    Double Faults
    3
    75% ( 18 of 24)
    1st Serve Won
    58% ( 19 of 33)
    75% ( 18 of 24)
    2nd Serve Won
    33% ( 7 of 21)
    44% ( 4 of 9)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 3)
    25% ( 12 of 48)
    Rtn Points Won
    52% ( 28 of 54)
    64
    Total Points Won
    38
    L
    6-2 6-2 H2H
    R3
    cross
    Tomas Machac
    Player
    Reilly Opelka
    67% ( 39 of 58)
    1st Serve %
    75% ( 44 of 59)
    8
    Aces
    19
    1
    Double Faults
    2
    90% ( 35 of 39)
    1st Serve Won
    77% ( 34 of 44)
    68% ( 13 of 19)
    2nd Serve Won
    40% ( 6 of 15)
    100% ( 1 of 1)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 0)
    17% ( 10 of 58)
    Rtn Points Won
    32% ( 19 of 59)
    67
    Total Points Won
    50
    L
    7-6(1) 6-3 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Reilly Opelka
    Player
    Holger Rune
    68% ( 63 of 93)
    1st Serve %
    63% ( 59 of 93)
    21
    Aces
    1
    4
    Double Faults
    5
    76% ( 48 of 63)
    1st Serve Won
    76% ( 45 of 59)
    67% ( 20 of 30)
    2nd Serve Won
    59% ( 20 of 34)
    33% ( 1 of 3)
    Break Points Won
    50% ( 1 of 2)
    27% ( 25 of 93)
    Rtn Points Won
    30% ( 28 of 93)
    96
    Total Points Won
    90
    W
    4-6 6-3 7-6(5) H2H
    R1
    cross
    Reilly Opelka
    Player
    Christopher Eubanks
    64% ( 42 of 66)
    1st Serve %
    69% ( 45 of 65)
    15
    Aces
    6
    5
    Double Faults
    0
    93% ( 39 of 42)
    1st Serve Won
    82% ( 37 of 45)
    54% ( 13 of 24)
    2nd Serve Won
    45% ( 9 of 20)
    25% ( 1 of 4)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 1)
    21% ( 14 of 66)
    Rtn Points Won
    29% ( 19 of 65)
    71
    Total Points Won
    60
    W
    6-3 7-6(4) H2H
    R2
    cross
    Hugo Gaston
    Player
    Reilly Opelka
    61% ( 39 of 64)
    1st Serve %
    61% ( 46 of 76)
    3
    Aces
    15
    3
    Double Faults
    3
    85% ( 33 of 39)
    1st Serve Won
    76% ( 35 of 46)
    56% ( 14 of 25)
    2nd Serve Won
    43% ( 13 of 30)
    33% ( 2 of 6)
    Break Points Won
    50% ( 1 of 2)
    27% ( 17 of 64)
    Rtn Points Won
    37% ( 28 of 76)
    75
    Total Points Won
    65
    L
    7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Reilly Opelka
    Player
    Arthur Rinderknech
    64% ( 78 of 122)
    1st Serve %
    67% ( 70 of 105)
    26
    Aces
    11
    3
    Double Faults
    3
    72% ( 56 of 78)
    1st Serve Won
    77% ( 54 of 70)
    52% ( 23 of 44)
    2nd Serve Won
    54% ( 19 of 35)
    67% ( 2 of 3)
    Break Points Won
    10% ( 1 of 10)
    35% ( 43 of 122)
    Rtn Points Won
    30% ( 32 of 105)
    111
    Total Points Won
    116
    W
    4-6 7-5 7-5 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Roman Safiullin
    Player
    Reilly Opelka
    70% ( 44 of 63)
    1st Serve %
    63% ( 40 of 63)
    2
    Aces
    12
    4
    Double Faults
    5
    77% ( 34 of 44)
    1st Serve Won
    78% ( 31 of 40)
    53% ( 10 of 19)
    2nd Serve Won
    30% ( 7 of 23)
    50% ( 3 of 6)
    Break Points Won
    25% ( 1 of 4)
    30% ( 19 of 63)
    Rtn Points Won
    40% ( 25 of 63)
    69
    Total Points Won
    57
    L
    7-5 6-4 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Brandon Nakashima
    Player
    Reilly Opelka
    68% ( 45 of 66)
    1st Serve %
    55% ( 58 of 105)
    14
    Aces
    17
    1
    Double Faults
    6
    84% ( 38 of 45)
    1st Serve Won
    72% ( 42 of 58)
    76% ( 16 of 21)
    2nd Serve Won
    45% ( 21 of 47)
    38% ( 3 of 8)
    Break Points Won
    100% ( 1 of 1)
    18% ( 12 of 66)
    Rtn Points Won
    40% ( 42 of 105)
    96
    Total Points Won
    75
    L
    3-6 7-5 6-2 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Reilly Opelka
    Player
    Christopher Eubanks
    64% ( 43 of 67)
    1st Serve %
    68% ( 40 of 59)
    13
    Aces
    3
    2
    Double Faults
    0
    81% ( 35 of 43)
    1st Serve Won
    73% ( 29 of 40)
    67% ( 16 of 24)
    2nd Serve Won
    68% ( 13 of 19)
    100% ( 1 of 1)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 1)
    24% ( 16 of 67)
    Rtn Points Won
    29% ( 17 of 59)
    68
    Total Points Won
    58
    W
    6-3 7-6(7) H2H
    QF
    cross
    Tommy Paul
    Player
    Reilly Opelka
    63% ( 41 of 65)
    1st Serve %
    64% ( 50 of 78)
    3
    Aces
    9
    6
    Double Faults
    2
    83% ( 34 of 41)
    1st Serve Won
    66% ( 33 of 50)
    63% ( 15 of 24)
    2nd Serve Won
    54% ( 15 of 28)
    29% ( 2 of 7)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 0)
    25% ( 16 of 65)
    Rtn Points Won
    38% ( 30 of 78)
    79
    Total Points Won
    64
    L
    7-6(3) 6-2 H2H

    Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

    OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
    R1
    cross
    Sebastian Korda
    Player
    Matteo Arnaldi
    69% ( 52 of 75)
    1st Serve %
    62% ( 46 of 74)
    5
    Aces
    0
    2
    Double Faults
    0
    69% ( 36 of 52)
    1st Serve Won
    63% ( 29 of 46)
    65% ( 15 of 23)
    2nd Serve Won
    57% ( 16 of 28)
    67% ( 4 of 6)
    Break Points Won
    33% ( 2 of 6)
    32% ( 24 of 75)
    Rtn Points Won
    39% ( 29 of 74)
    80
    Total Points Won
    69
    L
    3-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Richard Gasquet
    Player
    Matteo Arnaldi
    48% ( 48 of 99)
    1st Serve %
    53% ( 50 of 95)
    1
    Aces
    5
    5
    Double Faults
    3
    71% ( 34 of 48)
    1st Serve Won
    68% ( 34 of 50)
    57% ( 29 of 51)
    2nd Serve Won
    47% ( 21 of 45)
    50% ( 5 of 10)
    Break Points Won
    27% ( 3 of 11)
    36% ( 36 of 99)
    Rtn Points Won
    42% ( 40 of 95)
    103
    Total Points Won
    91
    L
    6-3 4-6 6-4 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Tomas Machac
    Player
    Matteo Arnaldi
    69% ( 53 of 77)
    1st Serve %
    61% ( 45 of 74)
    5
    Aces
    6
    6
    Double Faults
    3
    68% ( 36 of 53)
    1st Serve Won
    64% ( 29 of 45)
    54% ( 13 of 24)
    2nd Serve Won
    52% ( 15 of 29)
    60% ( 3 of 5)
    Break Points Won
    33% ( 2 of 6)
    36% ( 28 of 77)
    Rtn Points Won
    41% ( 30 of 74)
    79
    Total Points Won
    72
    L
    6-2 1-6 6-3 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Player
    Yibing Wu
    55% ( 50 of 91)
    1st Serve %
    74% ( 84 of 114)
    16
    Aces
    5
    3
    Double Faults
    0
    82% ( 41 of 50)
    1st Serve Won
    67% ( 56 of 84)
    59% ( 24 of 41)
    2nd Serve Won
    50% ( 15 of 30)
    17% ( 2 of 12)
    Break Points Won
    100% ( 2 of 2)
    29% ( 26 of 91)
    Rtn Points Won
    38% ( 43 of 114)
    108
    Total Points Won
    97
    W
    7-6(3) 4-6 6-3 H2H
    R3
    cross
    Brandon Nakashima
    Player
    Matteo Arnaldi
    60% ( 27 of 45)
    1st Serve %
    57% ( 32 of 56)
    4
    Aces
    2
    0
    Double Faults
    5
    89% ( 24 of 27)
    1st Serve Won
    72% ( 23 of 32)
    72% ( 13 of 18)
    2nd Serve Won
    38% ( 9 of 24)
    50% ( 3 of 6)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 1)
    18% ( 8 of 45)
    Rtn Points Won
    43% ( 24 of 56)
    61
    Total Points Won
    40
    L
    6-2 6-4 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Player
    Andrey Rublev
    43% ( 30 of 70)
    1st Serve %
    54% ( 33 of 61)
    0
    Aces
    2
    0
    Double Faults
    5
    57% ( 17 of 30)
    1st Serve Won
    61% ( 20 of 33)
    55% ( 22 of 40)
    2nd Serve Won
    36% ( 10 of 28)
    60% ( 6 of 10)
    Break Points Won
    36% ( 4 of 11)
    44% ( 31 of 70)
    Rtn Points Won
    51% ( 31 of 61)
    70
    Total Points Won
    61
    W
    6-4 7-5 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Player
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    58% ( 61 of 106)
    1st Serve %
    58% ( 53 of 92)
    7
    Aces
    5
    6
    Double Faults
    1
    67% ( 41 of 61)
    1st Serve Won
    70% ( 37 of 53)
    53% ( 24 of 45)
    2nd Serve Won
    49% ( 19 of 39)
    40% ( 4 of 10)
    Break Points Won
    20% ( 3 of 15)
    39% ( 41 of 106)
    Rtn Points Won
    39% ( 36 of 92)
    101
    Total Points Won
    97
    W
    6-3 5-7 6-4 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Alexander Zverev
    Player
    Matteo Arnaldi
    64% ( 63 of 98)
    1st Serve %
    64% ( 55 of 86)
    8
    Aces
    6
    1
    Double Faults
    1
    78% ( 49 of 63)
    1st Serve Won
    78% ( 43 of 55)
    60% ( 21 of 35)
    2nd Serve Won
    61% ( 19 of 31)
    50% ( 2 of 4)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 3)
    29% ( 28 of 98)
    Rtn Points Won
    28% ( 24 of 86)
    94
    Total Points Won
    90
    L
    6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 H2H
    SF
    cross
    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
    Player
    Matteo Arnaldi
    62% ( 41 of 66)
    1st Serve %
    49% ( 31 of 63)
    1
    Aces
    4
    1
    Double Faults
    2
    68% ( 28 of 41)
    1st Serve Won
    65% ( 20 of 31)
    48% ( 12 of 25)
    2nd Serve Won
    47% ( 15 of 32)
    67% ( 4 of 6)
    Break Points Won
    25% ( 2 of 8)
    39% ( 26 of 66)
    Rtn Points Won
    44% ( 28 of 63)
    68
    Total Points Won
    61
    L
    6-4 6-4 H2H
    QF
    cross
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Player
    Brandon Nakashima
    57% ( 34 of 60)
    1st Serve %
    69% ( 47 of 68)
    8
    Aces
    5
    0
    Double Faults
    2
    79% ( 27 of 34)
    1st Serve Won
    70% ( 33 of 47)
    81% ( 21 of 26)
    2nd Serve Won
    52% ( 11 of 21)
    50% ( 1 of 2)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 1)
    20% ( 12 of 60)
    Rtn Points Won
    35% ( 24 of 68)
    72
    Total Points Won
    56
    W
    7-6(2) 6-4 H2H
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    Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

    Opelka & Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
    Reilly Opelka Opelka Stats Matteo Arnaldi Arnaldi
    56% (236/183) Win/Loss 61% (224/143)
    55% (567/465) Sets Win/Loss 59% (522/363)
    51% (5507/5291) Games Win/Loss 53% (4436/3939)
    1.12 Aces Per Game 0.35
    5927 Aces Total 1419
    0.21 Double Faults Per Game 0.25
    1128 Total Double Faults 1021
    1:25:35 Average Match Time 1:43:35
    386.86 Average Opponent Rank 297.7
    63% (17587/28100) 1st Serve % 59% (14912/25248)
    79% (13913/17587) 1st Serve Win % 68% (10160/14912)
    54% (5728/10513) 2nd Serve Win % 50% (5185/10331)
    32% (492/1523) Break Points Won % (Total) 43% (1085/2510)
    29% (7981/27109) Return Points Win % 40% (9950/24709)
    58% (220/380) Best of 3 Sets Win % 62% (209/339)
    44% (15/34) Best of 5 Sets Win % 46% (11/24)
    54% (173/323) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 57% (67/118)
    54% (81/150) Deciding Set Win % 51% (62/122)
    82% (220/181) 1st Set Won, Won Match 83% (227/189)
    18% (220/39) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 17% (227/38)
    28% (199/55) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 24% (139/33)

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