Pegula vs Sabalenka Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Sabalenka to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Sabalenka has won 52% of points on his second serve, while Pegula has won 51% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Sabalenka has won 36% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Pegula has won 38%. The same stats for second serve return points are 57% and 57% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Sabalenka has been saving 64% of his breakpoints, and Pegula has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Sabalenka has won 79% of matches played (W/L 34/9) with Pegula winning 79% (W/L 30/8).
Surface prediction: Sabalenka performs best on Hard, winning 72% (W/L 252/97) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 83/47). Pegula performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 248/122), and performs worse on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 29/21).
In play break point conversion prediction: Aryna Sabalenka has converted 44% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Jessica Pegula has converted 44% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Jessica Pegula played Karolina Muchova in the Semifinals at the U.S. Open – New York and won 1-6 6-4 6-2 in 02:12:00 . Aryna Sabalenka played Emma Navarro in the Semifinals at the U.S. Open – New York and won 6-3 7-6(2) in 01:30:00.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka
Of their last 10 matches played, Pegula has won 9, while Sabalenka has won 10. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Pegula has won 49% of her own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points , while Sabalenka has won 52% of her own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points.
Lei@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Pegula Vs Sabalenka
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Pegula has won 7 titles in her career, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 24 events. Pegula has won 52% (37337 of 71936) of points played in her entire career, and Sabalenka has achieved 53% (41686 of 79354). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Pegula has won 59% of tie breaks in his entire career (95 of 161), whereas Aryna Sabalenka has won 58% (90 of 156). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Aryna Sabalenka has an 64.92% probability of winning this match.
Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Jessica Pegula has a 35.08% chance of winning and Aryna Sabalenka has a 64.92% chance of taking the victory. We tip Sabalenka to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Pegula vs Sabalenka
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka here.
To see the full prediction for Pegula vs Sabalenka at U.S. Open – New York, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com U.S. Open Day 13 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for ...
