Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal Prediction – ATP Rio de Janeiro – 17th February 2025 Best Bets

Sebastian Baez and Sumit Nagal Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baez vs Nagal Upcoming Match Details:

Baez will play Nagal on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Rio Open event in Rio de Janeiro Men’s Singles 2025 on 17th February 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baez 1-0 Nagal

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Baez comes into this match with a ranking of 31 , while Nagal is ranked 129.

Baez vs Nagal Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Nagal has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Baez has won 50% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Nagal has won 30% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baez has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 50% and 50% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Nagal has been saving 55% of his breakpoints, and Baez has saved 61% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Overall performance: In recent matches Nagal has won 25% of matches played (W/L 5/15) with Baez winning 29% (W/L 5/12).
• Surface prediction: Nagal performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 228/136) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/2). Baez performs best on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 216/91), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 6% (W/L 1/17).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Sumit Nagal has converted 41% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sebastian Baez has converted 37% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Sebastian Baez played Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Second round at the Argentina Open – Buenos Aires and lost 6-3 6-4 in 01:29:23 . Sumit Nagal played Corentin Moutet in the First round at the Argentina Open – Buenos Aires and lost 7-5 6-2 in 01:52:38.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Sebastian Baez and Sumit Nagal

Of their last 10 matches played, Baez has won 4, while Nagal has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Baez has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points , while Nagal has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baez Vs Nagal

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baez has won 17 titles in his career, while Sumit Nagal has won 17 events. Baez has won 52% (29555 of 57368) of points played in his entire career, and Nagal has achieved 51% (36062 of 70424). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baez has won 49% of tie breaks in his entire career (60 of 122), whereas Sumit Nagal has won 57% (82 of 143). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Sebastian Baez has an 77.46% probability of winning this match.

Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Sebastian Baez To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sebastian Baez has a 77.46% chance of winning and Sumit Nagal has a 22.54% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baez to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Sebastian Baez vs Sumit Nagal

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Baez

• Baez vs Monteiro H2H (5-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Baez vs Acosta H2H (4-2) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Baez vs Baena H2H (2-0) , could play in The Second round
• Baez vs Navone H2H (1-0) , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sumit Nagal

• Nagal vs Monteiro H2H (1-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Nagal vs Acosta H2H (2-2) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Nagal vs Baena H2H (0-0) , could play in The Second round
• Nagal vs Navone H2H (0-1) , could play in The Second round