Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston Prediction – ATP Gonet Geneva Open – 19th May 2025 Best Bets

Matteo Arnaldi and Hugo Gaston Prediction Head To Head Summary

Arnaldi vs Gaston Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Arnaldi has a 70.92% chance to win this match.

Arnaldi → 1.41. Gaston → 3.13.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Arnaldi vs Gaston Upcoming Match Details:

Arnaldi will play Gaston on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Gonet Geneva Open event in Geneva Men’s Singles 2025 on 19th May 2025.

Head-to-Head: Arnaldi 0-0 Gaston

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Arnaldi comes into this match with a ranking of 39 , while Gaston is ranked 74.

Arnaldi vs Gaston Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Gaston has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Arnaldi has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Gaston has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Arnaldi has won 27%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Gaston has been saving 55% of his breakpoints, and Arnaldi has saved 54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Gaston performs best on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 135/89) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 44% (W/L 7/9). Arnaldi performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 129/68), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 38% (W/L 15/25).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Hugo Gaston has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Matteo Arnaldi played Roberto Bautista Agut in the First round at the Internazionali BNL d’Italia – Rome and lost 6-4 6-3 in 01:54:34 . Hugo Gaston played Terence Atmane in the Second round at the Bordeaux Challenger and lost 1-6 6-3 6-3 in 01:40:47.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Matteo Arnaldi and Hugo Gaston

Of their last 10 matches played, Arnaldi has won 5, while Gaston has won 3. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Arnaldi has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points , while Gaston has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Arnaldi Vs Gaston

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Arnaldi has won 6 titles in his career, while Hugo Gaston has won 8 events. Arnaldi has won 51% (25706 of 50785) of points played in his entire career, and Gaston has achieved 50% (31513 of 62717). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Arnaldi has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (67 of 118), whereas Hugo Gaston has won 58% (87 of 151). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Matteo Arnaldi has an 77.34% probability of winning this match.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Matteo Arnaldi To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Matteo Arnaldi has a 77.34% chance of winning and Hugo Gaston has a 22.66% chance of taking the victory. We tip Arnaldi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Gonet Geneva Open – Geneva, go here.