H. Rune
To Win
M. Arnaldi
To Win
Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
By Wojtek Kolan
Form
W W L L W W L W L L
Form
L W W L L L W L L WH2H: Arnaldi 1 - 0 Gaston
They have played 3 sets in total, with Arnaldi winning 2 and Gaston winning 1. The last match between Arnaldi and Gaston was at the Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva, 19-05-2025, Round: First, Surface: Clay, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4.
| Players | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | 1 |
| Hugo Gaston | 0 |
LAST H2H MATCH: Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva(19-05-2025)
Matteo Arnaldi
Hugo Gaston
6
7
6
4
6
4
| Arnaldi | Stats | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| 52% (15-14) | YTD Win/Loss | 42% (13-18) |
| 1 | Head-to-Head | 0 |
| 41 | Ranking | 87 |
| 30 | Highest Rank | 58 |
| 24 | Age | 24 |
| - | Plays | L |
| 6 | Titles | 8 |
| 61% (231-148) | Career Total W/L | 55% (255-205) |
| $2,356,275 | Career Prize Money | $1,681,325 |
| 1 | Clay H2H | 0 |
Upcoming Match
16 Jun 2025 / First
ODDS
Today’s Tennis Tips:
Aliassime VS Djere PREDICTION Grass
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle atp
17 Jun 2025 / First
ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE
Rune VS Arnaldi PREDICTION Grass
cinch Championships - London atp
15 Jun 2025 / First
ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 |
Stats 
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Hugo Gaston
61%
(
58 of
95)
1st Serve %
54%
(
51 of
95)
8
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
74%
(
43 of
58)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
33 of
51)
49%
(
18 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
25 of
44)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
36%
(
34 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
37 of
95)
98
Total Points Won
92
|
||||
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches | 0 |
| 2 | Sets Won | 1 |
| 18 | Games Won | 15 |
| 8 | Aces (Total) | 0 |
| 4 | Total Double Faults | 1 |
| 2:24:33 | Average Match Time | 2:24:33 |
| 61% (58/95) | 1st Serve % | 54% (51/95) |
| 74% (43/58) | 1st Serve Win % | 65% (33/51) |
| 49% (18/37) | 2nd Serve Win % | 57% (25/44) |
| 56% (5/9) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 38% (3/8) |
| 39% (37/95) | Return Points Win % | 36% (34/95) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (1/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
Arnaldi vs Gaston Match Preview :
- Is Arnaldi's second serve stronger than Gaston's in recent months? Yes, Arnaldi has won 47.72% of second serve points compared to Gaston's 43.03%.
- Return game strength shows Gaston winning 45.76% of second serve return points, slightly ahead of Arnaldi's 42.74%.
- Arnaldi slightly outperforms Gaston on first serve returns, winning 27.16% compared to Gaston’s 24.68%.
- Who's better at saving breakpoints? Gaston edges out with 54.66% saved compared to Arnaldi's 53.89%.
- In the past year, Arnaldi has a marginally better win rate (51.02%) than Gaston (50%).
- Clay is the favored surface for both: Arnaldi has a 65% win rate, while Gaston records 60% on this surface.
- Arnaldi competes mostly at the Masters level with a 57.14% win rate, whereas Gaston has a slightly lower record on the Main tour at 48.15%.
- On average, Arnaldi faces tougher opponents with a ranking of 61.61, in comparison to Gaston's opponents ranked at 111.78 on average.
- If the match reaches a deciding set, Gaston has a superior record, winning 64% compared to Arnaldi’s 44%.
- Gaston has a higher breakpoint conversion rate in recent form at 30.6%, over Arnaldi's 26.95%.
Editorial Prediction (May 18, 2025, UTC):
In examining the recent performance data, Arnaldi shows superiority in his second serve point wins, suggesting a slight advantage when under control of the serve. However, Gaston's stronger return game, particularly on second serves, provides a significant counterbalance. This makes the match hinged on pivotal moments rather than consistent serve dominance.
While both players demonstrate competency on clay, Arnaldi's slightly higher win percentage could give him a narrow edge here. Arnaldi consistently faces top-tier opponents, indicating readiness for high-level play which might benefit him under pressure. Nevertheless, Gaston's aptitude for converting breakpoints and his better record in deciding sets suggests he has the poise to capitalize on crucial moments.
Though both have strengths in different areas, it may come down to who handles the key points better under pressure. Therefore, the prediction is nuanced, yet leaning toward Gaston as the more likely victor, given his ability to convert opportunities and his track record in tight-set scenarios.
Arnaldi vs Gaston Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88
Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Jan-Lennard Struff
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57%
(
31 of
54)
1st Serve %
58%
(
38 of
65)
10
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
90%
(
28 of
31)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
26 of
38)
57%
(
13 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
14 of
27)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
24%
(
13 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
25 of
65)
66
Total Points Won
53
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
52%
(
64 of
122)
1st Serve %
47%
(
57 of
121)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
8
70%
(
45 of
64)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
38 of
57)
52%
(
30 of
58)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
23 of
64)
53%
(
10 of
19)
Break Points Won
56%
(
5 of
9)
39%
(
47 of
122)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
60 of
121)
135
Total Points Won
108
|
6-3 6-3 6-7(6) 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
59%
(
102 of
172)
1st Serve %
58%
(
80 of
137)
7
Aces
8
8
Double Faults
7
72%
(
73 of
102)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
57 of
80)
46%
(
32 of
70)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
32 of
57)
29%
(
5 of
17)
Break Points Won
20%
(
4 of
20)
39%
(
67 of
172)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
48 of
137)
153
Total Points Won
156
|
5-7 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
68%
(
39 of
57)
1st Serve %
69%
(
47 of
68)
2
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
1
64%
(
25 of
39)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
31 of
47)
78%
(
14 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
9 of
21)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
32%
(
18 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
28 of
68)
67
Total Points Won
58
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Fabian Marozsan
63%
(
47 of
75)
1st Serve %
57%
(
43 of
76)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
70%
(
33 of
47)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
31 of
43)
71%
(
20 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
16 of
33)
17%
(
1 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
29%
(
22 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
29 of
76)
82
Total Points Won
69
|
6-3 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Hugo Gaston
61%
(
58 of
95)
1st Serve %
54%
(
51 of
95)
8
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
74%
(
43 of
58)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
33 of
51)
49%
(
18 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
25 of
44)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
36%
(
34 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
37 of
95)
98
Total Points Won
92
|
6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Roberto Bautista Agut
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
68%
(
52 of
76)
1st Serve %
64%
(
35 of
55)
1
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
63%
(
33 of
52)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
22 of
35)
54%
(
13 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
5 of
20)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
39%
(
30 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
28 of
55)
74
Total Points Won
57
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jack Draper
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
67%
(
29 of
43)
1st Serve %
46%
(
26 of
57)
4
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
76%
(
22 of
29)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
14 of
26)
79%
(
11 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
15 of
31)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
28 of
57)
61
Total Points Won
39
|
6-0 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
Hugo Gaston Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 | w/o | H2H | |||
| R1 |
Stats
Hugo Gaston
Player
Ugo Blanchet
63%
(
91 of
145)
1st Serve %
52%
(
65 of
124)
1
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
3
63%
(
57 of
91)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
39 of
65)
48%
(
26 of
54)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
29 of
59)
62%
(
8 of
13)
Break Points Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
43%
(
62 of
145)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
56 of
124)
139
Total Points Won
130
|
2-6 6-0 2-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Hugo Gaston
61%
(
58 of
95)
1st Serve %
54%
(
51 of
95)
8
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
74%
(
43 of
58)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
33 of
51)
49%
(
18 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
25 of
44)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
36%
(
34 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
37 of
95)
98
Total Points Won
92
|
6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Terence Atmane
Player
Hugo Gaston
61%
(
51 of
83)
1st Serve %
71%
(
52 of
73)
5
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
67%
(
34 of
51)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
31 of
52)
50%
(
16 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
62%
(
13 of
21)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
40%
(
33 of
83)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
29 of
73)
79
Total Points Won
77
|
1-6 6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Hugo Gaston
Player
Sumit Nagal
71%
(
49 of
69)
1st Serve %
65%
(
45 of
69)
1
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
0
73%
(
36 of
49)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
29 of
45)
40%
(
8 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
8 of
24)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
10%
(
1 of
10)
36%
(
25 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
32 of
69)
76
Total Points Won
62
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Hugo Gaston
73%
(
51 of
70)
1st Serve %
66%
(
53 of
80)
4
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
78%
(
40 of
51)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
38 of
53)
63%
(
12 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
14 of
27)
13%
(
1 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
26%
(
18 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
28 of
80)
80
Total Points Won
70
|
7-6(4) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Borna Gojo
Player
Hugo Gaston
67%
(
40 of
60)
1st Serve %
64%
(
34 of
53)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
68%
(
27 of
40)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
21 of
34)
50%
(
10 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
11 of
19)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
38%
(
23 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
21 of
53)
58
Total Points Won
55
|
7-6(4) 2-1 ret. | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Sebastian Ofner
Player
Hugo Gaston
50%
(
35 of
70)
1st Serve %
51%
(
29 of
57)
6
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
80%
(
28 of
35)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
21 of
29)
57%
(
20 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
25%
(
2 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
5)
31%
(
22 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
22 of
57)
70
Total Points Won
57
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
view more
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 61% (231/148) | Win/Loss | 55% (255/205) |
| 59% (538/378) | Sets Win/Loss | 53% (590/526) |
| 53% (4587/4094) | Games Win/Loss | 51% (5263/5060) |
| 63% (80/47) | Hard Win/Loss | 50% (47/47) |
| 65% (132/70) | Clay Win/Loss | 60% (136/90) |
| 37% (15/26) | Indoor Hard W/L | 52% (65/59) |
| 44% (4/5) | Grass Win/Loss | 44% (7/9) |
| 0.35 | Aces Per Game | 0.23 |
| 1486 | Aces Total | 1163 |
| 0.25 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.21 |
| 1056 | Total Double Faults | 1070 |
| 1:44:23 | Average Match Time | 1:35:9 |
| 297.37 | Average Opponent Rank | 343.19 |
| 59% (15494/26280) | 1st Serve % | 56% (17715/31671) |
| 68% (10564/15494) | 1st Serve Win % | 67% (11828/17715) |
| 50% (5407/10781) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (7020/13956) |
| 43% (1115/2580) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 44% (1432/3235) |
| 40% (10287/25643) | Return Points Win % | 41% (12896/31505) |
| 60% (18/12) | Slam W/L | 50% (22/22) |
| 57% (29/22) | Masters W/L | 40% (19/28) |
| 80% (4/1) | Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) |
| 48% (28/30) | Main Tour W/L | 41% (35/51) |
| 60% (73/49) | Challenger W/L | 60% (105/69) |
| 70% (78/33) | Futures W/L | 68% (74/35) |
| 62% (215/349) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 56% (238/423) |
| 46% (12/26) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 37% (11/30) |
| 57% (69/121) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 58% (88/152) |
| 52% (65/125) | Deciding Set Win % | 58% (91/158) |
| 84% (231/193) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (246/203) |
| 16% (231/38) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 17% (246/43) |
| 24% (147/36) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 23% (214/49) |
Arnaldi vs. Gaston Prediction Form Trend:
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