Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur Prediction – ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – 18th April 2025 Best Bets

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur Prediction – ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell  – 18th April 2025 Best Bets

Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur Prediction Head To Head Summary

Alcaraz Vs Minaur H2H Summary Stats 18th April 2025

Alcaraz vs Minaur Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Alcaraz has a 78.13% chance to win this match.

Alcaraz → 1.28. Minaur → 4.15.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Alcaraz vs Minaur Upcoming Match Details:

Alcaraz will play Minaur on Clay court in the Quarterfinals at the ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell event in Barcelona Men’s Singles 2025 on 18th April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Alcaraz 3-0 Minaur

The current Head to Head score is 3-0. Alcaraz comes into this match with a ranking of 2 , while Minaur is ranked 7.

Alcaraz vs Minaur Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

  • Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Minaur has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 42% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
  • Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Minaur has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Alcaraz has won 27%. The same stats for second serve return points are 42% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
  • Performance under pressure prediction: Minaur has been saving 47% of his breakpoints, and Alcaraz has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Surface prediction: Minaur performs best on Grass, winning 69% (W/L 51/23) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 70/52). Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 30/13).
  • In play break point conversion prediction: Alex De Minaur has converted 33% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Carlos Alcaraz has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
  • Last match played: In the match before this one, Carlos Alcaraz played Laslo Djere in the Second round at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – Barcelona and won 6-2 6-4 in 01:11:15 . Alex De Minaur played Jacob Fearnley in the Second round at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – Barcelona and won 6-1 6-2 in 01:02:54.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Alcaraz Vs Minaur Prediction Stats At Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell  Day 5

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur

Of their last 10 matches played, Alcaraz has won 8, while Minaur has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Alcaraz has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points , while Minaur has won 56% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points.

Megan@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Alcaraz Vs Minaur

Alcaraz Vs Minaur Prediction H2H & All Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell  Day 5 Predictions

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Alcaraz has won 26 titles in his career, while Alex De Minaur has won 12 events. Alcaraz has won 53% (32118 of 60324) of points played in his entire career, and Minaur has achieved 52% (45247 of 87621). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Alcaraz has won 65% of tie breaks in his entire career (106 of 163), whereas Alex De Minaur has won 56% (120 of 216). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 59.18% probability of winning this match.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Carlos Alcaraz has a 59.18% chance of winning and Alex De Minaur has a 40.82% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – Barcelona, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Carlos Alcaraz

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Alex De Minaur

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur Prediction – ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell – 18th April 2025 Best Bets