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Carlos Alcaraz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Alcaraz vs Tsitsipas analysis and find out who is favored!

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Alcaraz 6 - 0 Tsitsipas

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alcaraz has won 58.4% of points on their second serve, while Tsitsipas has won 55.1%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 54.6% of their opponent's second serve points, while Tsitsipas has won 50.14%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.43% and 28.86% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Alcaraz has saved 66.98% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Tsitsipas has saved 62.96% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Alcaraz has won 80.3% of matches played (W/L 53/ 13), with Tsitsipas winning 66.2% (W/L 47/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/ 3), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 17/ 10). Tsitsipas has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 76% (W/L 195/ 61), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 26/ 19).
  • Player level: In the last year, Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 90.48% of matches (W/L 19/ 2), where as Tsitsipas has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 65.38% of matches (W/L 17/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Alcaraz winning 6 times and Tsitsipas being victorious 0 times. They have played 18 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 15 and Tsitsipas winning 3. The last match between Alcaraz and Tsitsipas was at the French Open - Paris, 04-06-2024, Quarterfinals, Clay with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-3 7-6(3) 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:19:14.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Alcaraz and Tsitsipas have played a deciding set 2 times, with Alcaraz winning 2 times and Tsitsipas 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Alcaraz winning 4, and Tsitsipas 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 50.71 while Tsitsipas has played against players with an average rank of 76.41.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alcaraz has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Tsitsipas has won 54% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Alcaraz has converted 42.82% of breakpoint opportunities, and Tsitsipas has converted 41.45% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Carlos Alcaraz

23

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

4

Slam

7

Main

3

Minor

2

Rank

1

High

21

Age

R

Plays

6

Total

0

2

Hard

0

4

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

12

Rank

3

High

26

Age

R

Plays

Stefanos Tsitsipas

17

Total

3

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

7

Main

5

Minor

6

Total

0

2

Hard

0

4

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W W W W W W W W

Form

W W L L W L L W L W

79% (279-72)

Career Total W/L

68% (503-242)

84% (49-9)

YTD W/L

68% (38-18)

$24,879,380

Career Prize Money

$20,548,005

4

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Alcaraz VS Tsitsipas H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Carlos Alcaraz Stefanos Tsitsipas
All H2H Matches 6 0
Sets Won 15 3
Games Won 104 77
Aces (Total) 16 33
DFs Total 9 18
Avg Match Time 2:19:14 2:19:14
1st Serve % 70% (374/532) 59% (335/567)
1st Serve Win% 71% (266/374) 69% (230/335)
2nd Serve Win% 61% (97/158) 44% (103/232)
BPs Won% (Total) 51% (28/55) 41% (15/37)
Return Points W% 41% (234/567) 32% (169/532)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (4/4) 0% (0/4)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
1st set W, W 100% (6/6) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (6/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (6/0)

Alcaraz VS Tsitsipas H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 7-6(3) 6-4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
73% ( 61 of 84)
1st Serve %
61% ( 60 of 98)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
74% ( 45 of 61)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
74% ( 17 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
26% ( 22 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 39 of 98)
101
Total Points Won
81
6-2 6-1 7-6(5)
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
77% ( 58 of 75)
1st Serve %
59% ( 56 of 95)
6
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
5
79% ( 46 of 58)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 34 of 56)
65% ( 11 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 16 of 39)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
24% ( 18 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 45 of 95)
102
Total Points Won
68
6-3 6-4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
77% ( 37 of 48)
1st Serve %
57% ( 30 of 53)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 21 of 30)
73% ( 8 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
21% ( 10 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 21 of 53)
59
Total Points Won
42
6-4 5-7 6-2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
72% ( 60 of 83)
1st Serve %
57% ( 50 of 87)
1
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
2
72% ( 43 of 60)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 33 of 50)
61% ( 14 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
31% ( 26 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 37 of 87)
94
Total Points Won
76
7-5 6-3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
69% ( 50 of 72)
1st Serve %
59% ( 46 of 78)
1
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
74% ( 37 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 34 of 46)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 9 of 32)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
35% ( 25 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 35 of 78)
82
Total Points Won
68
6-3 4-6 7-6(2) 0-6 7-6(5)
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
64% ( 108 of 170)
1st Serve %
60% ( 93 of 156)
2
Aces
15
2
Double Faults
5
60% ( 65 of 108)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 69 of 93)
60% ( 37 of 62)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 30 of 63)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
40% ( 68 of 170)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 57 of 156)
159
Total Points Won
167

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Carlos Alcaraz Stefanos Tsitsipas
YTD W/L 84% (49/9) 68% (38/18)
Sets Win/Loss 77% (119/35) 65% (91/50)
Games Win/Loss 60% (871/585) 55% (768/622)
Hard Win/Loss 83% (20/4) 55% (12/10)
Clay Win/Loss 81% (17/4) 79% (22/6)
Indoor Hard W/L 100% (4/0) 100% (2/0)
Grass Win/Loss 89% (8/1) 50% (2/2)
Aces pg 0.33 0.53
Aces Total 240 363
DFs per game 0.16 0.25
DFs Total 118 167
Avg Match Time 2:2:9 1:51:49
Avg Opp Rank 50.67 77.7
1st Serve % 65% (2869/4383) 61% (2642/4331)
1st Serve W% 73% (2096/2869) 74% (1959/2642)
2nd Serve W% 58% (879/1514) 54% (917/1690)
BPs Won% Total 43% (235/549) 42% (158/377)
Return Pts W% 43% (2033/4783) 37% (1527/4175)
Slam W/L 90% (19/2) 67% (8/4)
Masters W/L 81% (13/3) 68% (13/6)
Cups W/L 100% (4/0) 100% (2/0)
Main Tour W/L 73% (8/3) 63% (12/7)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 83% (29/35) 68% (30/44)
Best of 5 Sets W% 90% (19/21) 67% (8/12)
TBs Win% (Total) 58% (15/26) 60% (15/25)
Deciding Set W% 80% (8/10) 60% (6/10)
1st set W, W 95% (43/41) 89% (35/31)
1st set W, L 5% (43/2) 11% (35/4)
1st set L, W 50% (14/7) 33% (21/7)

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Juncheng Shang
50% ( 24 of 48)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 13 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 27 of 51)
62
Total Points Won
37
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
60% ( 74 of 123)
1st Serve %
55% ( 71 of 129)
6
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
4
73% ( 54 of 74)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 47 of 71)
55% ( 27 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 31 of 58)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
34% ( 42 of 123)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 51 of 129)
132
Total Points Won
120
W
6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3) H2H
SF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
68% ( 36 of 53)
1st Serve %
64% ( 42 of 66)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 23 of 42)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
32% ( 17 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 31 of 66)
67
Total Points Won
52
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Karen Khachanov
63% ( 33 of 52)
1st Serve %
65% ( 53 of 82)
2
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 34 of 53)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 11 of 29)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 14 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 37 of 82)
75
Total Points Won
59
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
56% ( 23 of 41)
1st Serve %
58% ( 25 of 43)
4
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
100% ( 23 of 23)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 15 of 25)
50% ( 9 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 5 of 18)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
22% ( 9 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 23 of 43)
55
Total Points Won
29
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
61% ( 34 of 56)
1st Serve %
44% ( 24 of 55)
5
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
6
74% ( 25 of 34)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 20 of 24)
82% ( 18 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 17 of 31)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
23% ( 13 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 18 of 55)
61
Total Points Won
50
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
Robin
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Taylor Fritz
73% ( 41 of 56)
1st Serve %
68% ( 44 of 65)
1
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
4
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
47% ( 7 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 10 of 21)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
29% ( 16 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 27 of 65)
67
Total Points Won
54
W
6-2 7-5 H2H
Robin
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Ben Shelton
78% ( 46 of 59)
1st Serve %
71% ( 50 of 70)
0
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
78% ( 36 of 46)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 33 of 50)
62% ( 8 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 12 of 20)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
25% ( 15 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 25 of 70)
69
Total Points Won
60
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
Rubber 2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Ugo Humbert
61% ( 31 of 51)
1st Serve %
69% ( 40 of 58)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
81% ( 25 of 31)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 6)
24% ( 12 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 24 of 58)
63
Total Points Won
46
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
Rubber 2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Tomas Machac
56% ( 28 of 50)
1st Serve %
63% ( 47 of 75)
5
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
3
86% ( 24 of 28)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 29 of 47)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
24% ( 12 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
70
Total Points Won
55
W
6-7(3) 6-1 ret. H2H

Stefanos Tsitsipas Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Kei Nishikori
57% ( 43 of 75)
1st Serve %
64% ( 43 of 67)
14
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
0
86% ( 37 of 43)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 35 of 43)
56% ( 18 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 14 of 24)
17% ( 1 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
27% ( 20 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
27% ( 18 of 67)
73
Total Points Won
69
W
7-6(6) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Alex Michelsen
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
65% ( 46 of 71)
1st Serve %
68% ( 45 of 66)
9
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
4
70% ( 32 of 46)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 25 of 45)
68% ( 17 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 10 of 21)
100% ( 5 of 5)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
31% ( 22 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 31 of 66)
80
Total Points Won
57
L
4-6 6-1 6-2 H2H
Robin
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Thanasi Kokkinakis
64% ( 35 of 55)
1st Serve %
64% ( 35 of 55)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
1
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 24 of 35)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 8 of 20)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
29% ( 16 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 23 of 55)
62
Total Points Won
48
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
49% ( 69 of 141)
1st Serve %
49% ( 66 of 134)
17
Aces
10
7
Double Faults
6
78% ( 54 of 69)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 47 of 66)
57% ( 41 of 72)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 37 of 68)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
33% ( 46 of 141)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 50 of 134)
145
Total Points Won
130
L
7-6(5) 4-6 6-3 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53% ( 48 of 91)
1st Serve %
55% ( 55 of 100)
5
Aces
5
7
Double Faults
7
83% ( 40 of 48)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 40 of 55)
49% ( 21 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 30 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 39 of 100)
100
Total Points Won
91
L
3-6 6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
56% ( 47 of 84)
1st Serve %
58% ( 62 of 106)
18
Aces
9
7
Double Faults
10
81% ( 38 of 47)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 46 of 62)
57% ( 21 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 17 of 44)
21% ( 3 of 14)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
30% ( 25 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 43 of 106)
102
Total Points Won
88
W
4-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Kei Nishikori
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
61% ( 34 of 56)
1st Serve %
72% ( 39 of 54)
2
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
1
79% ( 27 of 34)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 29 of 39)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
32% ( 18 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 19 of 54)
57
Total Points Won
53
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
71% ( 57 of 80)
1st Serve %
66% ( 47 of 71)
6
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
65% ( 37 of 57)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 29 of 47)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
38% ( 30 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 32 of 71)
82
Total Points Won
69
L
6-3 7-6(3) H2H
R3
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Sebastian Baez
61% ( 36 of 59)
1st Serve %
82% ( 46 of 56)
5
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
0
89% ( 32 of 36)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
26% ( 6 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
36% ( 21 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 29 of 56)
67
Total Points Won
48
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Daniel Evans
77% ( 30 of 39)
1st Serve %
59% ( 24 of 41)
2
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
90% ( 27 of 30)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 16 of 24)
60% ( 6 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
18% ( 7 of 40)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 20 of 41)
52
Total Points Won
28
W
6-1 6-2 H2H

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Potential H2H Matches This Week For Carlos Alcaraz

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

Alcaraz vs Vukic H2H Pick, could play in The Quarterfinals

Alcaraz vs Machac H2H Pick, could play in The Quarterfinals

Alcaraz vs Tabilo H2H Pick, could play in The Quarterfinals

Alcaraz vs Paul H2H Pick, could play in The Quarterfinals

Alcaraz vs Humbert H2H Pick, could play in The Fourth round

Alcaraz vs Monfils H2H Pick, could play in The Fourth round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Stefanos Tsitsipas

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

Shelton vs Tsitsipas H2H Prediction, could play in The Quarterfinals

Baena vs Tsitsipas H2H Prediction, could play in The Quarterfinals

Etcheverry vs Tsitsipas H2H Prediction, could play in The Quarterfinals

Sinner vs Tsitsipas H2H Prediction, could play in The Quarterfinals

Tsitsipas vs Medvedev H2H Prediction, could play in The Fourth round

Tsitsipas vs Arnaldi H2H Prediction, could play in The Fourth round

Today's H2H Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions

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