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Prediction of Carlos Alcaraz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Head-to-Head, Best Odds & Picks At Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

Recent Form Stats

Carlos Alcaraz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Alcaraz 6 - 0 Tsitsipas

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alcaraz has won 57.4% of points on their second serve, while Tsitsipas has won 54.68%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 52.89% of their opponent's second serve points, while Tsitsipas has won 47.25%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.22% and 27.05% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Alcaraz has saved 64.9% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Tsitsipas has saved 64.77% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Alcaraz has won 79.41% of matches played (W/L 54/ 14), with Tsitsipas winning 66.18% (W/L 45/ 23) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/ 3), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 60% (W/L 18/ 12). Tsitsipas has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 76% (W/L 195/ 61), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 26/ 19).
  • Player level: In the last year, Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 76.19% of matches (W/L 16/ 5), where as Tsitsipas has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 68% of matches (W/L 17/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Alcaraz winning 6 times and Tsitsipas being victorious 0 times. They have played 18 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 15 and Tsitsipas winning 3. The last match between Alcaraz and Tsitsipas was at the French Open - Paris, 04-06-2024, Quarterfinals, Clay with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-3 7-6(3) 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:19:14.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Alcaraz and Tsitsipas have played a deciding set 2 times, with Alcaraz winning 2 times and Tsitsipas 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Alcaraz winning 4, and Tsitsipas 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 53.09 while Tsitsipas has played against players with an average rank of 70.51.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alcaraz has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Tsitsipas has won 71% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Alcaraz has converted 41.43% of breakpoint opportunities, and Tsitsipas has converted 40.44% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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The Best Odds For Carlos Alcaraz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas For Any Market:

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Alcaraz VS Tsitsipas H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Carlos Alcaraz Stefanos Tsitsipas
All H2H Matches 6 0
Sets Won 15 3
Games Won 104 77
Aces (Total) 16 33
DFs Total 9 18
Avg Match Time 2:19:14 2:19:14
1st Serve % 70% (374/532) 59% (335/567)
1st Serve Win% 71% (266/374) 69% (230/335)
2nd Serve Win% 61% (97/158) 44% (103/232)
BPs Won% (Total) 51% (28/55) 41% (15/37)
Return Points W% 41% (234/567) 32% (169/532)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (4/4) 0% (0/4)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
1st set W, W 100% (6/6) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (6/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (6/0)

Alcaraz VS Tsitsipas H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 7-6(3) 6-4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
73% ( 61 of 84)
1st Serve %
61% ( 60 of 98)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
74% ( 45 of 61)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
74% ( 17 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
26% ( 22 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 39 of 98)
101
Total Points Won
81
6-2 6-1 7-6(5)
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
77% ( 58 of 75)
1st Serve %
59% ( 56 of 95)
6
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
5
79% ( 46 of 58)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 34 of 56)
65% ( 11 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 16 of 39)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
24% ( 18 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 45 of 95)
102
Total Points Won
68
6-3 6-4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
77% ( 37 of 48)
1st Serve %
57% ( 30 of 53)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 21 of 30)
73% ( 8 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
21% ( 10 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 21 of 53)
59
Total Points Won
42
6-4 5-7 6-2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
72% ( 60 of 83)
1st Serve %
57% ( 50 of 87)
1
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
2
72% ( 43 of 60)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 33 of 50)
61% ( 14 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
31% ( 26 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 37 of 87)
94
Total Points Won
76
7-5 6-3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
69% ( 50 of 72)
1st Serve %
59% ( 46 of 78)
1
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
74% ( 37 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 34 of 46)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 9 of 32)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
35% ( 25 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 35 of 78)
82
Total Points Won
68
6-3 4-6 7-6(2) 0-6 7-6(5)
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
64% ( 108 of 170)
1st Serve %
60% ( 93 of 156)
2
Aces
15
2
Double Faults
5
60% ( 65 of 108)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 69 of 93)
60% ( 37 of 62)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 30 of 63)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
40% ( 68 of 170)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 57 of 156)
159
Total Points Won
167

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Carlos Alcaraz Stefanos Tsitsipas
YTD W/L 81% (52/12) 67% (45/22)
Sets Win/Loss 75% (126/41) 63% (105/62)
Games Win/Loss 59% (939/652) 55% (913/757)
Hard Win/Loss 81% (22/5) 54% (13/11)
Clay Win/Loss 81% (17/4) 79% (22/6)
Indoor Hard W/L 71% (5/2) 73% (8/3)
Grass Win/Loss 89% (8/1) 50% (2/2)
Aces pg 0.36 0.54
Aces Total 284 440
DFs per game 0.16 0.24
DFs Total 127 197
Avg Match Time 1st Match 1:51:18
Avg Opp Rank 56.09 71.37
1st Serve % 65% (3115/4758) 61% (3177/5218)
1st Serve W% 73% (2284/3115) 75% (2367/3177)
2nd Serve W% 58% (949/1643) 54% (1104/2042)
BPs Won% Total 42% (245/581) 42% (179/429)
Return Pts W% 42% (2197/5243) 36% (1786/4991)
Slam W/L 90% (19/2) 67% (8/4)
Masters W/L 76% (16/5) 68% (17/8)
Cups W/L 100% (4/0) 100% (2/0)
Main Tour W/L 73% (8/3) 63% (15/9)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 78% (32/41) 67% (37/55)
Best of 5 Sets W% 90% (19/21) 67% (8/12)
TBs Win% (Total) 57% (16/28) 56% (18/32)
Deciding Set W% 73% (8/11) 71% (10/14)
1st set W, W 96% (46/44) 90% (40/36)
1st set W, L 4% (46/2) 10% (40/4)
1st set L, W 41% (17/7) 33% (27/9)

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
Robin
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
68% ( 50 of 74)
1st Serve %
66% ( 29 of 44)
5
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
68% ( 34 of 50)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 17 of 29)
58% ( 14 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
35% ( 26 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 19 of 44)
67
Total Points Won
51
L
6-1 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Ugo Humbert
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
56% ( 54 of 96)
1st Serve %
61% ( 46 of 75)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
5
72% ( 39 of 54)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 38 of 46)
60% ( 25 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
33% ( 32 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 25 of 75)
89
Total Points Won
82
L
6-1 3-6 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Nicolas Jarry
70% ( 42 of 60)
1st Serve %
59% ( 34 of 58)
9
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
1
76% ( 32 of 42)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 22 of 34)
50% ( 9 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
32% ( 19 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 26 of 58)
67
Total Points Won
51
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
58% ( 54 of 93)
1st Serve %
67% ( 45 of 67)
5
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
1
72% ( 39 of 54)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 34 of 45)
54% ( 21 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
35% ( 33 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 21 of 67)
81
Total Points Won
79
L
7-6(5) 7-5 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Gael Monfils
69% ( 41 of 59)
1st Serve %
70% ( 49 of 70)
5
Aces
10
0
Double Faults
1
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 36 of 49)
78% ( 14 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 10 of 21)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
22% ( 13 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 24 of 70)
70
Total Points Won
59
W
6-4 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Yibing Wu
61% ( 43 of 70)
1st Serve %
71% ( 49 of 69)
11
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
1
81% ( 35 of 43)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 36 of 49)
56% ( 15 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
29% ( 20 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 23 of 69)
73
Total Points Won
66
W
7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Juncheng Shang
50% ( 24 of 48)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 13 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 27 of 51)
62
Total Points Won
37
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
60% ( 74 of 123)
1st Serve %
55% ( 71 of 129)
6
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
4
73% ( 54 of 74)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 47 of 71)
55% ( 27 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 31 of 58)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
34% ( 42 of 123)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 51 of 129)
132
Total Points Won
120
W
6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3) H2H
SF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
68% ( 36 of 53)
1st Serve %
64% ( 42 of 66)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 23 of 42)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
32% ( 17 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 31 of 66)
67
Total Points Won
52
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Karen Khachanov
63% ( 33 of 52)
1st Serve %
65% ( 53 of 82)
2
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 34 of 53)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 11 of 29)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 14 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 37 of 82)
75
Total Points Won
59
W
7-5 6-2 H2H

Stefanos Tsitsipas Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
70% ( 43 of 61)
1st Serve %
49% ( 34 of 70)
9
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 24 of 34)
72% ( 13 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 22 of 36)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 14 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 24 of 70)
71
Total Points Won
60
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Francisco Cerundolo
63% ( 58 of 92)
1st Serve %
54% ( 55 of 101)
9
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
84% ( 49 of 58)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 40 of 55)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 26 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 37 of 101)
103
Total Points Won
90
W
6-7(1) 6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Alejandro Tabilo
59% ( 36 of 61)
1st Serve %
63% ( 30 of 48)
7
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
3
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 21 of 30)
56% ( 14 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
33% ( 20 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
59
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
57% ( 45 of 79)
1st Serve %
66% ( 52 of 79)
11
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
80% ( 36 of 45)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 35 of 52)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 16 of 27)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 26 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 28 of 79)
81
Total Points Won
77
W
4-6 6-3 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Arthur Fils
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
61% ( 33 of 54)
1st Serve %
63% ( 46 of 73)
10
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
2
88% ( 29 of 33)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 37 of 46)
76% ( 16 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 12 of 27)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
17% ( 9 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 24 of 73)
69
Total Points Won
58
L
7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Botic Van De Zandschulp
65% ( 51 of 79)
1st Serve %
70% ( 54 of 77)
8
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
3
73% ( 37 of 51)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 39 of 54)
57% ( 16 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
33% ( 26 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 27 of 77)
80
Total Points Won
76
W
7-6(3) 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Francisco Cerundolo
61% ( 73 of 120)
1st Serve %
63% ( 70 of 111)
6
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
3
77% ( 56 of 73)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 43 of 70)
47% ( 22 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 26 of 41)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
35% ( 42 of 120)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 42 of 111)
120
Total Points Won
111
W
6-3 6-7(3) 7-6(4) H2H
QF
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
62% ( 32 of 52)
1st Serve %
57% ( 41 of 72)
8
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
1
91% ( 29 of 32)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 27 of 41)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 11 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 27 of 72)
68
Total Points Won
56
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Thiago Seyboth Wild
63% ( 66 of 104)
1st Serve %
59% ( 57 of 97)
5
Aces
14
6
Double Faults
2
80% ( 53 of 66)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 46 of 57)
55% ( 21 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
29% ( 30 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
27% ( 26 of 97)
100
Total Points Won
101
W
7-6(5) 4-6 7-5 H2H
R4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
67% ( 42 of 63)
1st Serve %
63% ( 52 of 83)
10
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
4
83% ( 35 of 42)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 37 of 52)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 13 of 31)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
24% ( 15 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 33 of 83)
81
Total Points Won
65
L
7-6(3) 6-3 H2H

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