Yuki Naito vs Lia Karatancheva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance highlights Lia Karatancheva winning 42.55% of points compared to Yuki Naito's 32.82%. Is second serve performance a key predictor? Yes, it often correlates with match outcomes.
• When returning, Karatancheva holds a slight edge on second serve returns, winning 52.49% of points against opponents, while Naito returns 51.71%.
• For first serve returns, Naito marginally outperforms Karatancheva, with 37.52% over 36.55%.
• Under pressure, Karatancheva has saved 46.88% of breakpoints; Naito slightly trails at 45.10%.
• Overall performance in the past year sees Naito with a higher win rate of 58.21%, against Karatancheva’s 52.94%.
• Both players excel on clay surfaces, each achieving a 55% win rate, but how do they fare on their weaker surfaces? Karatancheva has a 45% on I.hard and Naito has a 47% on Hard.
• When competing at Challengers/ITF tournaments, Karatancheva’s win rate is 56.25% compared to Naito’s 52.17%.
• In terms of opponent quality, Karatancheva has faced players with a higher average rank (326.99) compared to Naito's (477.6).
• Naito exhibits strong deciding set performance, winning 64% of such sets, whereas Karatancheva wins 35% over the past 12 months.

Editorial Prediction (October 28, 2025, UTC):

Lia Karatancheva demonstrates a strong second serve performance, offering a significant advantage in her recent matches. Coupled with an edge in saving breakpoints, she poses a resilient challenge during crucial points.

Yuki Naito, however, has shown overall higher match win percentages in the past year and excels remarkably in deciding sets, which could provide her the upper hand in extended matches.

Both players thrive on clay; hence, surface advantage is neutral. Yet, Karatancheva encounters more formidable opponents on average, perhaps preparing her better under pressure.

Given the combination of higher match win rates, superior performance in deciding sets, and marginally better first serve return stats, Yuki Naito emerges as the likely victor for this match-up.