Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Mia Ristic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows Kotliar winning 35.87% of points, while Ristic achieves 37.76%. Does a minor edge here favor Ristic? Yes, slightly.
• Kotliar dominates in recent return game stats, winning 51.69% of opponent's second serve points compared to Ristic's 49.32%. A clear advantage for Kotliar on returns.
• For first serve returns, Kotliar again leads with 41.97% over Ristic's 37.79%. An additional edge for Kotliar in the return game.
• Under pressure, Ristic excels with a 48.59% success in saving breakpoints, compared to Kotliar's 43.5%. A potential advantage for Ristic during crucial moments.
• Overall match performance in the past year shows Kotliar with a win rate of 63.38%, slightly edging out Ristic at 62.5%. A marginal advantage in consistency to Kotliar.
• Kotliar's strongest surface is clay with a 62% win rate, whereas Ristic performs best on hard courts with a 68% win rate. Which surface will the match be played on?
• Kotliar frequently competes in lower-level tournaments, winning 71.43% of them, while Ristic competes mostly in higher-level events with a 63.41% win rate. Does tournament level influence potential outcomes? It might affect expectations based on experience with high-caliber opponents.
• Considering opponent quality, Kotliar's opponents have an average rank of 425.59, whereas Ristic faces opponents with an average rank of 338.26. Ristic’s experience against tougher opponents could offer a competitive edge.
• If the match enters a deciding set, Ristic holds a slight advantage, having won 54% of such sets compared to Kotliar's 50% over the past year.
• On break point conversion, Kotliar converts 45.65% of opportunities, outperforming Ristic's 42.35%. Ristic could struggle to close out games effectively under pressure.

Editorial Prediction (August 28, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the key statistical insights from both players' recent performances reveals a competitive match-up with distinct strengths and weaknesses on both sides.

While Ristic has a slight advantage on second serve points won, Kotliar's superior return game and first serve return stats suggest he could leverage returns effectively to gain the upper hand. Breakpoint conversion also tilts in favor of Kotliar, potentially allowing him to capitalize on more opportunities to shift momentum.

Despite Ristic's experience with higher-ranked opponents and a better track record saving break points under pressure, Kotliar's consistent match performance over the last year and stronger clay performance, if the match is on a similar surface, provide a compelling case.

Considering the overall analysis, Kotliar is favored to win the upcoming match, with his comprehensive return game and efficiency in converting break points serving as decisive factors.