Ye Hongyu vs Zhou Mingzhou Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Ye Hongyu demonstrates slightly superior performance on second serves, securing 43.32% of points, compared to 41.48% by Zhou Mingzhou. Could this provide Ye Hongyu an advantage?
• Zhou Mingzhou excels in returning, winning 48.11% of their opponent's second serve points, surpassing Ye Hongyu's 41.17%. Does this hint at Zhou's stronger return game?
• In terms of first serve return, Zhou again edges out with a 23.67% win rate over Ye's 22.41%.
• Ye Hongyu shows better breakpoint resilience, saving 53.06% compared to Zhou Mingzhou's 47.69%—a significant stat in pressurized moments.
• Over the last year, Ye Hongyu has a higher match win rate at 48.89%, while Zhou Mingzhou's win rate is 39.39%, suggesting a more consistent performance from Ye.
• Ye Hongyu performs best on indoor hard surfaces, boasting a 60% win rate, whereas Zhou Mingzhou fares best on clay with the same win percentage.
• Both players competed mostly in Futures/ITF $10K events last year, yet Ye Hongyu's win record is better at 48.89% compared to Zhou's 39.39%.
• Historically, Ye Hongyu leads their direct encounters, winning their sole match against Zhou Mingzhou with a decisive 6-3 6-1 score on a hard surface.
• The average rank of Ye Hongyu's opponents in the past year was 18.47, much higher than Zhou Mingzhou's 129, indicating a tougher competition for Ye Hongyu.
• If a match extends to a deciding set, Ye Hongyu holds a 50% success rate, while Zhou Mingzhou's rate is 36%, potentially favoring Ye in long matches.

Editorial Prediction (October 20, 2025, UTC):

Ye Hongyu's slight edge in second serve win percentages suggests a small advantage in service games. With Zhou Mingzhou showing strength in return games, the outcome may largely depend on service returns and breakpoint opportunities.

Although Zhou excels at returning second serves, Ye's greater ability to save breakpoints under pressure gives them a competitive edge during critical points. This skill could turn the tides in close sets.

Considering their head-to-head record, Ye Hongyu has dominated with comprehensive wins over Zhou Mingzhou. The on-ground reality is supported by Ye's ability to handle tougher opponents and perform under pressure.

Given Ye Hongyu’s consistency and overall stronger past performance, especially on preferred surfaces, he appears to be the likely winner of this upcoming match.