They have played 12 sets in total, with Yannick Hanfmann winning 7 and Nicolas Jarry winning 5. The last match between Yannick Hanfmann and Nicolas Jarry was at the Terra Wortmann Open - Halle, 15-06-2025, Round: Q3, Surface: Grass, with Yannick Hanfmann getting the victory 6-3 6-3.
Second serve performance over the past six months shows Jarry winning 50.61% of points, slightly outperforming Hanfmann's 47.53%. Does this give Jarry an edge? Yes, as second serve performance often correlates with match outcomes.
Analyzing return game stats, Hanfmann secures 45.43% of his opponent's second serves compared to Jarry's 43.33%. Who returns first serves better? Again, Hanfmann leads with 26.51% against Jarry's 23.3%.
Under pressure, Jarry has saved 67.46% of breakpoints, which surpasses Hanfmann’s 52.13%. This could be critical in tight match situations.
Performance over the last year reveals Jarry winning 33.33% of his matches, while Hanfmann claims 47.06%, suggesting Hanfmann has been more successful recently.
Both players excel on clay, with Jarry at 64% and Hanfmann at 62% win percentages, indicating a near even match on this surface.
When considering play on the Main tour last year, Hanfmann had a 50% success rate in his matches compared to Jarry’s 36.84%, hinting at Hanfmann's experience and potential edge.
Their head-to-head record is tied at 2 wins each, and sets are split evenly, reflecting their competitive nature against each other.
Two previous matches went to deciding sets with an even outcome. If this match goes the distance, Hanfmann's 64% deciding set win rate may provide an advantage over Jarry’s 39%.
In extreme pressure scenarios, Jarry has won both tiebreaks against Hanfmann, indicating composure under stress.
Both players have faced opponents of varying ranks in the past year, with Jarry's average opponent ranking higher (91.49) compared to Hanfmann (171.78), suggesting tougher competition for Jarry.
Conversion of break points is higher for Hanfmann at 32.7%, surpassing Jarry's 27.12%, which could be pivotal during crucial points.
Editorial Prediction (June 15, 2025, UTC):
The head-to-head record indicates a highly competitive match, with both Jarry and Hanfmann winning an equal number of matches and sets. Jarry's ability to win more tiebreaks suggests a mental edge in close games.
However, Hanfmann's superior performance on the return, especially against first serves, and his higher general win percentage over the past year point towards an edge.
Given Hanfmann's better recent performance against the broader field and his more favorable pressure stats, he is slightly favored in this matchup. Yet, Jarry's steadfastness under pressure cannot be underestimated.
Overall, considering the current dynamics and past performances, Yannick Hanfmann is slightly more likely to emerge victorious in their upcoming encounter.
Yannick Hanfmann vs Nicolas Jarry Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
Y. Hanfmann vs N. Jarry H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions