Varvara Lepchenko vs Ana Bogdan Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Lepchenko has a slight edge with a 42.83% success rate compared to Bogdan's 38.83% over the last six months. Does this point towards a stronger second serve for Lepchenko? Yes, it suggests better performance.
• Return Game Stats: Bogdan leads slightly in returning second serves, winning 46.63% compared to Lepchenko's 45.55%. Both have similar first serve return success; Bogdan at 34.31% and Lepchenko at 33.92%.
• Handling Pressure: Lepchenko has shown greater resilience by saving 48.54% of breakpoints, compared to Bogdan's 45.16%.
• Overall Performance: In the past year, Lepchenko has won 59.3% of their matches, surpassing Bogdan's 46.67% win rate. Does this imply Lepchenko's higher overall form? Yes, the numbers indicate consistent performance.
• Surface Strengths: Both players excel on Clay with Bogdan at 62% and Lepchenko at 58%. On Grass, Lepchenko has a weaker record of 39%, while Bogdan sits at 53%.
• Player Level: Bogdan’s main tour match win rate stands at 57.89%, whereas Lepchenko, mostly playing Challengers/ITF tournaments, has a 60.42% victory rate.
• Head-to-Head Matchup: Bogdan leads their direct encounters, having won their sole match on Clay in Budapest, without dropping a set.
• Opponent Quality: Bogdan has played against stronger opponents with an average rank of 163.57, compared to Lepchenko's 207.94.
• Deciding Set Performance: In close matches, Lepchenko has a slight advantage, winning 54% of deciding sets, over Bogdan's 50% in the past year.
• Break Point Conversion: Bogdan slightly outperforms in converting break points with a 35.48% success rate, while Lepchenko has 33.61%.

Editorial Prediction (June 3, 2025, UTC):

As we evaluate the performance data, certain patterns and strengths become apparent in both players. Lepchenko has a marginal advantage in second serve points and handling pressure, which could be crucial in tight situations. Despite similar strength on their best surface, Clay, past matches indicate Bogdan's dominance in direct head-to-head encounters.

Bogdan's history of playing stronger opponents might provide an edge in facing the challenging moments of the match. Meanwhile, Lepchenko's resilience in deciding sets and slightly higher match win rate over the past year speak to their broader success on court.

With these data points considered, and despite Lepchenko's strengths, the head-to-head success and the quality of opponents faced suggest that Bogdan holds a slight advantage heading into this match. Therefore, Bogdan is predicted to be the likely winner of the upcoming tennis match.