Tommy Paul vs Tomas Machac Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Paul's recent second serve performance shows a win rate of 44.96% compared to Machac's 45.86%. Could this small edge influence match outcomes? Machac seems slightly favored.
• When it comes to returning games, Machac also leads with 47.3% of second serve return points won, against Paul's 46.73%. Additionally, Paul's first serve return rate is higher at 24.78%, surpassing Machac’s 21.83%.
• Under pressure, Paul saves 51.6% of breakpoints, slightly stronger than Machac's 49.03%, suggesting Paul’s resilience under stress.
• Overall, Paul has a better match win percentage over the past year at 71.21%, while Machac stands at 61.67%.
• On preferred surfaces, Paul excels on Grass (67% win rate), while Machac has a higher win rate on Hard courts at 69%.
• Recently, both players have shown strong performances on the Main tour with Paul's win rate at 76% narrowly edging out Machac's 67.86%.
• Head-to-head, Machac leads with two wins out of two meetings, winning four out of six sets, including their latest match on Hard courts.
• In deciding sets, they have faced off twice, with Machac prevailing both times.
• Their only tiebreak encounter also went in Machac's favor.
• Paul has faced slightly stronger opponents with an average ranking of 68.79 compared to Machac's 58.8.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Paul's tour-wide success rate is 63%, just ahead of Machac’s 62%.
• Machac shows stronger breakpoint conversion at 36.89%, significantly ahead of Paul's 31.62%.

Editorial Prediction (May 11, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing their performance stats, Tomas Machac appears to have a slight edge in various areas, notably in their direct head-to-head encounters, where he remains unbeaten against Paul.

While Paul displays resilience under pressure and has shown superior match win percentages over the past year, Machac’s consistent performance on Hard courts and better breakpoint conversion suggest his readiness to capitalize on opportunities.

The statistics lean towards Machac, particularly in return game strength and recent head-to-head success, including victories in deciding sets.

Based on these insights, Tomas Machac is predicted to be the likely winner of the upcoming match.