Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Hurkacz shows stronger second serve performance, winning 49.72% of points compared to Paul's 45.64%. Does this suggest Hurkacz has an edge on serve? It likely does.
• On return games, Paul excels, capturing 46.48% of second serve points and 25.09% of first serve returns, surpassing Hurkacz who performs at 41.53% and 20.49% respectively.
• Under pressure, Hurkacz saves 60.5% of breakpoints, outperforming Paul who saves 50.86%. Can Hurkacz maintain this clutch performance in tight spots?
• Paul boasts a higher match win percentage over the last year with 71.21%, while Hurkacz has won 58.54% of his matches. This indicates Paul's recent form could be a deciding factor.
• Although Hurkacz's best surface is Hard, winning 67% of matches, Paul matches this win rate but on Grass. On I.hard, Paul shows superior performance at 63% compared to Hurkacz’s 54%.
• Both players have primarily competed at the Main tour level, with Paul achieving a more impressive 76% win rate against Hurkacz's 58.82%.
• In direct encounters, they are closely matched with Paul leading 2-1 in their three previous matches and each winning 4 sets.
• Paul has won both deciding sets they've played, indicating better performance in high-pressure moments during these matches.
• When it comes to break point conversion under recent conditions, Paul again leads, converting 31.33% compared to Hurkacz's 21.15%.

Editorial Prediction (May 14, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the current statistics between Hubert Hurkacz and Tommy Paul, it becomes challenging to overlook Paul's superior match-winning trend and his effectiveness on return games, particularly over the past year. These strengths might give him the upper hand in the upcoming match.

While Hurkacz does have the edge in terms of serving under pressure, Paul's knack for breaking serve and his ability to perform in deciding set situations could set the stage for another victory.

Given these dynamics, and despite Hurkacz's reliable serve, Tommy Paul appears to be the more rounded contender, especially if the match evolves into a tight contest progressing to a deciding set.

Considering these performance patterns and strengths, Tommy Paul is most likely to emerge victorious in their forthcoming clash.