Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In terms of second serve performance over the last six months, Daniil Medvedev has secured 42.55% of points, slightly trailing Tommy Paul who has achieved 43.82%. This statistic often plays a crucial role in determining the likely outcome of a match. Meanwhile, examining the return game metrics, Medvedev has demonstrated an ability to win 46.06% of his opponent's second serve points, compared to Paul's 45.06%. On first serve returns, Medvedev records a 24.65% success rate, while Paul edges ahead with 25.65%.

When analyzing their performance under pressure, Medvedev has saved 57.26% of breakpoints in recent encounters, compared to Paul who managed 54.96%. Such statistics provide valuable insights for in-game betting predictions. Over the last year, Medvedev has won 65.22% of matches with a win-loss record of 45-24. In contrast, Paul has achieved a 71.43% win rate, finishing with a 45-18 record, offering a comprehensive overview of their head-to-head dynamics.

Medvedev shows a preference for hard courts, posting a career win percentage of 76%, while his performance on clay stands at 65%. Paul, contrastingly, performs best on grass with a 67% win ratio, slightly underperforming on indoor hard courts with 63%. Regarding the level of competition, Medvedev has played mostly in Masters series events over the past year, holding a 66.67% win percentage, while Paul has predominantly participated in Main tour events, boasting a 77.27% success rate.

Their head-to-head record reveals that Medvedev has triumphed in 3 out of their 4 encounters, winning 7 out of 11 sets played. Despite their overall match history, Paul managed a recent victory at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. Typically, their matches average a duration of 1:49:1, and they have faced a deciding set once, with Medvedev emerging victorious.

A critical aspect of match prediction lies in opponent quality; Medvedev’s opponents have had an average ranking of 51.1 over the last 12 months, compared to Paul’s average opponent rank of 78.4. In terms of deciding set performances against all opponents, Medvedev claims a 53% win rate over the last 12 months, slightly lagging behind Paul's 55% success rate.

Analyzing their breakpoint conversion rates, Medvedev has utilized 27.63% of his attempts, whereas Paul has been more effective, converting 31.78% of his chances. This is pivotal for live betting strategies, especially when breakpoint opportunities arise during a match.

Evaluating these statistics collectively provides a nuanced prediction for the forthcoming match. While both players have their strengths, Medvedev’s historical head-to-head dominance and his ability to perform under pressure might give him a slight edge, yet Paul's current form suggests it will be a closely contested battle.