Prediction of Toby Alex Kodat vs Juan Estevez at M15 Lima 12-06-25

• When examining second serve points, Toby Alex Kodat outperforms Juan Estevez, securing 45.32% compared to Estevez's 39.25%. Could this edge on second serves influence the match outcome? It very well might, as second serve performance is crucial.
• In return games, Juan Estevez holds a slight advantage, winning 47.14% of second serve points over Kodat's 45.55% and 32.44% of first serve points to Kodat's 29.73%.
• Both players exhibit similar resilience under pressure, with Kodat saving 52.57% of breakpoints and Estevez close behind at 51.78%.
• Estevez has a stronger overall match win percentage over the past year, boasting 61.19% compared to Kodat's 57.14%.
• Clay is the preferred surface for both, each winning 59% of matches. Yet, Estevez shows a consistent win rate with a 60% capability on clay.
• Toby Alex Kodat typically competes in higher-level matches, as indicated by his 63.64% win rate in Challengers/ITF tournaments, while Juan Estevez dominates Futures/Satellite events with a 69.09% win rate.
• Performance against different opponent quality levels reveals Kodat faces more competitive opponents, with an average rank of 364.05 compared to Estevez's 480.88.
• Kodat demonstrates superior performance in deciding sets, winning 54% compared to Estevez's 24%, suggesting a possible advantage in tightly contested matches.

Editorial Prediction (December 6, 2025, UTC):

As we examine the upcoming match between Toby Alex Kodat and Juan Estevez, several noteworthy elements emerge. Kodat's second serve proficiency could prove pivotal, as it traditionally correlates strongly with match outcomes. In contrast, Estevez's return game expertise, especially against second serves, adds an intriguing layer of competitiveness to the encounter.

A glance at their performance under pressure shows a similar level of breakpoint salvation, suggesting a closely contested match in high-stakes moments. Estevez has shown more consistency over the past year and thrives on clay, but it's crucial to note that Kodat plays more frequently at a higher tournament level, often facing more challenging opponents.

In scenarios where matches go the distance, Kodat holds a decisive edge in deciding set performance, hinting at a potential advantage if the match requires resilience and endurance.

Considering all these factors, Toby Alex Kodat appears to be the most likely winner of their upcoming tennis match.