Toby Alex Kodat vs Hayato Matsuoka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance indicates Kodat has an advantage, winning 48.85% of points compared to Matsuoka's 42.29%.
• Matsuoka has the edge in return game stats, winning 47.42% of second serve return points, while Kodat wins 42.99%.
• For first serve returns, Matsuoka outperforms Kodat with a 31.57% success rate against Kodat’s 28.88%.
• Under pressure, Kodat excels in breakpoint saves at 58.37%, better than Matsuoka's 48.71%.
• Considering past matches, Kodat boasts a higher win rate over the last year at 60.61% compared to Matsuoka's 51.72%.
• Matsuoka performs best on Hard courts (57% win rate), whereas Kodat excels on Clay (59% win rate). What does this mean for this match?
• Both players compete at different levels, with Matsuoka mostly at ITF $10K tournaments and Kodat at Challengers, slightly favoring Kodat's experience.
• In head-to-head against higher-ranked players, Matsuoka's opponents average a rank of 392.55, while Kodat’s are slightly lower at 410.85.
• Should the match reach a deciding set, Kodat is significantly stronger, having won 72% of such scenarios compared to Matsuoka’s 43%.
• Matsuoka's breakpoint conversion rate in recent form is 31.11%, but Kodat leads slightly with 36.94%.

Editorial Prediction (August 3, 2025, UTC):

Assessing recent performance trends, Kodat displays superior skill in second serve success, a critical factor in predicting match outcomes. Matsuoka, however, shows strength in returning both first and second serves.

Under pressure, Kodat is notably more resilient, affirming a stronger ability to save breakpoints, which could provide a crucial edge in tightly contested games.

Matsuoka’s advantage on Hard courts may be neutralized given Kodat's overall superior match-winning percentage and the level of competition faced. Additionally, Kodat's dominance in deciding sets suggests a robust mental fortitude that could tip the scales in their favor if the match becomes tightly contested.

Given these comparative statistics and recent form, Kodat is more likely to emerge victorious in the upcoming match against Matsuoka.