Sumit Nagal vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance: Daniel Merida Aguilar has a slight edge with 43.73% of points won compared to Sumit Nagal's 41.74% over the last 6 months.
• Return game stats: Aguilar also slightly edges out in return performance, winning 50.20% of second serve returns compared to Nagal's 49.02%.
• First serve return effectiveness: Nagal has a slight advantage in first serve return stats with 31.47% versus Aguilar’s 30.59%.
• Under pressure: Both players are nearly equal in saving breakpoints, with Nagal at 52.09% and Aguilar at 52.05%.
• Overall performance: Aguilar has outperformed with a 67.11% win rate this past year, significantly higher than Nagal’s 52.31%.
• Preferred surface: Both players favor clay courts equally with 62% win rates, but Nagal struggles on grass, having never won a match.
• Competition level: Aguilar has performed better in Challengers/ITF tournaments with a 62.50% win rate compared to Nagal’s 57.78%.
• Head-to-head record: Nagal leads with 1-0 having won both previous sets against Aguilar.
• Opponent quality: Nagal generally faces more highly ranked opponents, with an average opponent rank of 273.66 compared to Aguilar's 324.95.
• Deciding set performance: Aguilar excels in deciding sets, winning 72% compared to Nagal's 52% in the past year.

Editorial Prediction (October 7, 2025, UTC):

As we assess the upcoming match between Sumit Nagal and Daniel Merida Aguilar, it's clear both have their strengths. Aguilar has shown better performance in second serve points and return games in recent months, slightly outpacing Nagal in these categories.

Although Aguilar enjoys a higher overall win rate and excels in deciding sets, Nagal has previously won their only head-to-head encounter on clay, which is each player's top surface.

Considering their past match, current form, and each player's statistical edge, Daniel Merida Aguilar appears to be the likely favorite to win given his momentum this past year and ability to excel under pressure.