Prediction of Stefan Storch vs Thanapet Chanta at M15 Phan Thiet 12-04-25

• The recent second serve performance shows Thanapet Chanta slightly leads with 42.90% of points won, compared to Stefan Storch's 41.57%. Could this small edge indicate a potential advantage for Chanta?
• In return games, Chanta's performance is notably stronger, with a 43.83% win rate on opponent's second serves versus Storch's 38.24%. This gives Chanta a more favorable outlook.
• For first serve returns, Chanta also shows superior stats at 27.39% compared to Storch's 25.70%. How critical is this slight advantage in determining the match outcome?
• Under pressure, Chanta excels by saving 55.24% of breakpoints, a significant edge over Storch's 38.96%. Could Chanta's ability to handle pressure better sway the match in their favor?
• Looking at their overall performance, Chanta has a higher match win percentage this past year, achieving 56.52% against Storch's 52.94%.
• Surface performance reveals that Storch's best is on Hard courts with a 57% win rate, whereas Chanta's success is on Indoor hard surfaces at 57%. How will the playing surface affect their upcoming match?
• Both players have primarily competed in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments. Chanta shines with a 60.47% win advantage over Storch's 52.94% in the same tier.
• Interestingly, although Chanta faces lower-ranked average opponents (404.24), their higher win rate might suggest efficient match play.
• In matches decided in the final set, Chanta has been slightly more successful, winning 54% compared to Storch’s 50%.

Editorial Prediction (December 3, 2025, UTC):

Based on recent statistics, Thanapet Chanta appears to hold a marginal edge in several key performance areas, such as return games, breakpoint saves, and win percentages in deciding sets. This could suggest that Chanta is currently more adept at capitalizing on pressure situations and managing match momentum.

While Stefan Storch shows strong capabilities on Hard surfaces, and faces higher-ranked opponents on average, Thanapet Chanta's overall superior performance in the same tournament level and slightly better form in crucial match segments tip the balance.

Analyzing these factors collectively, Thanapet Chanta is poised as the likely victor in this upcoming tennis encounter.