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Sloane Stephens vs Madison Keys Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Stephens vs Keys analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Sloane Stephens vs Madison Keys Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Stephens has won 48.71% of points on his second serve, while Keys has won 45.93%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Stephens, in recent form, has won 54.33% of his opponent's second serve points, while Keys has won 44.16%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.45% and 30.8% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Stephens has saved 62% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Keys has saved 51.28% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Stephens has won 58.33% of matches played (W/L 28/ 20), with Keys winning 66.67% (W/L 24/ 12) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Stephens has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 120/ 69), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 52% (W/L 15/ 14). Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 46/ 17), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15).
  • Player level: In the last year, Stephens has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 52.94% of matches (W/L 9/ 8), where as Keys has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 10/ 3). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Stephens winning 5 times. They have played 17 sets in total, with Stephens winning 12 and Keys winning 5. The last match between Stephens and Keys was at the U.S. Open - New York, 30-08-2021, First, Hard with Sloane Stephens getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:42:3.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Stephens and Keys have played a deciding set 3 times, with Stephens winning 1 times and Keys 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Stephens winning 1, and Keys 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Stephens has played against opponents with an average rank of 105.08 while Keys has played against players with an average rank of 110.47.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Stephens has won 44% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Stephens has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Stephens has converted 43.36% of breakpoint opportunities, and Keys has converted 28.57% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Stephens 5 - 2 Keys

Sloane Stephens

9

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

1

Slam

5

Main

0

Minor

44

Rank

3

High

30

Age

R

Plays

5

Total

2

3

Hard

0

2

Clay

2

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

20

Rank

7

High

29

Age

R

Plays

Madison Keys

11

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

7

Main

1

Minor

5

Total

2

3

Hard

0

2

Clay

2

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W L L W L W L W W

Form

W W W W L L L L W L

57% (352-262)

Career Total W/L

63% (361-208)

54% (7-6)

YTD W/L

50% (1-1)

$14,133,796

Career Prize Money

$14,517,837

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Stephens VS Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Sloane Stephens Madison Keys
All H2H Matches 5 2
Sets Won 12 5
Games Won 89 74
Aces (Total) 3 36
DFs (Total) 15 18
Avg Match Time 1:42:3 1:42:3
1st Serve % 65% (342/523) 64% (347/538)
1st Serve Win% 63% (217/342) 63% (220/347)
2nd Serve Win% 50% (90/181) 43% (82/191)
BPs Won% (Total) 42% (30/71) 43% (22/51)
Return Points W% 44% (236/538) 41% (216/523)
Best of 3 Sets W% 71% (5/7) 29% (2/7)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Deciding Set Win% 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
1st set W, W 83% (6/5) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 17% (6/1) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 17% (6/1)

Recent Form Is Very Important In Predicting An Upcoming H2H. Recent Matches With Stats…

Stephens VS Keys H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 1-6 7-6(7)
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Madison Keys
77% ( 80 of 104)
1st Serve %
64% ( 57 of 89)
1
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
0
59% ( 47 of 80)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 42 of 57)
54% ( 13 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
42% ( 44 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 31 of 89)
91
Total Points Won
102
4-6 6-2 7-5
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Sloane Stephens
63% ( 69 of 109)
1st Serve %
65% ( 60 of 92)
3
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
5
57% ( 39 of 69)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 33 of 60)
50% ( 20 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 12 of 32)
62% ( 8 of 13)
Break Points Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
46% ( 50 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 47 of 92)
106
Total Points Won
95
6-4 6-4
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Madison Keys
54% ( 36 of 67)
1st Serve %
56% ( 40 of 71)
0
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 29 of 40)
61% ( 19 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 13 of 31)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
30% ( 20 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 29 of 71)
76
Total Points Won
62
7-6(6) 4-6 6-2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Sloane Stephens
62% ( 58 of 94)
1st Serve %
65% ( 68 of 104)
6
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
1
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 38 of 68)
33% ( 12 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 13 of 36)
47% ( 7 of 15)
Break Points Won
55% ( 6 of 11)
46% ( 43 of 94)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 53 of 104)
104
Total Points Won
94
6-4 6-4
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Madison Keys
63% ( 35 of 56)
1st Serve %
71% ( 48 of 68)
0
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 31 of 48)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 9 of 20)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 16 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 28 of 68)
68
Total Points Won
56
6-3 6-0
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Madison Keys
75% ( 33 of 44)
1st Serve %
73% ( 40 of 55)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
73% ( 24 of 33)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
64% ( 7 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
30% ( 13 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 29 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
39
6-4 6-2
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Madison Keys
54% ( 30 of 56)
1st Serve %
67% ( 35 of 52)
1
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
3
67% ( 20 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
41% ( 23 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 26 of 52)
59
Total Points Won
49

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Sloane Stephens Madison Keys
YTD W/L 54% (7/6) 50% (1/1)
Sets Win/Loss 55% (17/14) 40% (2/3)
Games Win/Loss 52% (148/137) 44% (22/28)
Hard Win/Loss 54% (7/6) 50% (1/1)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.06 0.08
Aces Total 8 2
DFs per game 0.18 0.38
DFs Total 25 9
Avg Match Time 1:45:51 2:3:5
Avg Opp Rank 75.62 105
1st Serve % 73% (718/982) 61% (115/190)
1st Serve W% 60% (433/718) 61% (70/115)
2nd Serve W% 48% (127/264) 45% (34/75)
BPs Won% Total 42% (48/115) 29% (6/21)
Return Pts W% 44% (420/961) 41% (69/170)
Slam W/L 67% (2/1) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 60% (3/2) 50% (1/1)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 40% (2/3) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 54% (7/13) 50% (1/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (1/2) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set W% 40% (2/5) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 75% (8/6) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 25% (8/2) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 20% (5/1) 0% (1/0)

Sloane Stephens Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Sorana Cirstea
69% ( 42 of 61)
1st Serve %
51% ( 29 of 57)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
74% ( 31 of 42)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 16 of 29)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
34% ( 21 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 29 of 57)
69
Total Points Won
49
W
6-0 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Mayar Sherif
76% ( 47 of 62)
1st Serve %
64% ( 44 of 69)
0
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
72% ( 34 of 47)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 26 of 44)
40% ( 6 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 10 of 25)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
35% ( 22 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
73
Total Points Won
58
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Anastasija Sevastova
Player
Sloane Stephens
74% ( 49 of 66)
1st Serve %
78% ( 39 of 50)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
4
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
47% ( 8 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
41% ( 27 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
68
Total Points Won
48
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Tereza Martincova
71% ( 48 of 68)
1st Serve %
74% ( 46 of 62)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
5
65% ( 31 of 48)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 6 of 16)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
35% ( 24 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 32 of 62)
76
Total Points Won
54
W
6-4 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Sloane Stephens
63% ( 42 of 67)
1st Serve %
73% ( 58 of 80)
1
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 30 of 58)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
42% ( 28 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 41 of 80)
80
Total Points Won
67
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Clara Burel
71% ( 58 of 82)
1st Serve %
60% ( 59 of 99)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
8
60% ( 35 of 58)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 39 of 59)
46% ( 11 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 14 of 40)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
44% ( 36 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 46 of 99)
92
Total Points Won
89
W
6-4 1-6 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Sorana Cirstea
Player
Sloane Stephens
65% ( 39 of 60)
1st Serve %
78% ( 49 of 63)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
72% ( 28 of 39)
1st Serve Won
41% ( 20 of 49)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
71% ( 10 of 14)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 20 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 33 of 63)
73
Total Points Won
50
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Anna Kalinskaya
Player
Sloane Stephens
69% ( 81 of 118)
1st Serve %
75% ( 82 of 110)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
65% ( 53 of 81)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 52 of 82)
59% ( 22 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
8% ( 1 of 13)
36% ( 43 of 118)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 46 of 110)
121
Total Points Won
107
L
6-7(8) 6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Daria Kasatkina
76% ( 73 of 96)
1st Serve %
71% ( 65 of 91)
1
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
66% ( 48 of 73)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 44 of 65)
48% ( 11 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
39% ( 37 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 36 of 91)
95
Total Points Won
92
W
4-6 6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Olivia Gadecki
74% ( 32 of 43)
1st Serve %
65% ( 26 of 40)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
75% ( 24 of 32)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
55% ( 6 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
30% ( 13 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 23 of 40)
53
Total Points Won
30
W
6-3 6-1 H2H

Madison Keys Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 36 of 55)
1st Serve %
56% ( 32 of 57)
0
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
1
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 29 of 57)
65
Total Points Won
47
L
6-4 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Hailey Baptiste
62% ( 83 of 133)
1st Serve %
51% ( 59 of 115)
2
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
9
64% ( 53 of 83)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 39 of 59)
46% ( 23 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 26 of 56)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
43% ( 57 of 133)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 50 of 115)
126
Total Points Won
122
W
6-4 4-6 7-6(4) H2H
Robin
cross
Caroline Garcia
Player
Madison Keys
54% ( 36 of 67)
1st Serve %
74% ( 49 of 66)
5
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
1
83% ( 30 of 36)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 36 of 49)
68% ( 21 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 11 of 17)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
24% ( 16 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 19 of 66)
70
Total Points Won
63
L
6-3 7-6(3) H2H
Robin
cross
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Player
Madison Keys
68% ( 47 of 69)
1st Serve %
67% ( 37 of 55)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
68% ( 32 of 47)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 25 of 37)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
33% ( 23 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 22 of 55)
68
Total Points Won
56
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Emma Navarro
Player
Madison Keys
64% ( 46 of 72)
1st Serve %
64% ( 44 of 69)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
61% ( 28 of 46)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
58% ( 15 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
40% ( 29 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 32 of 69)
75
Total Points Won
66
L
6-2 7-6(5) H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 64 of 98)
1st Serve %
69% ( 76 of 110)
12
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
3
64% ( 41 of 64)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 47 of 76)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
55% ( 6 of 11)
39% ( 38 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 47 of 110)
107
Total Points Won
101
L
0-6 7-6(1) 7-6(5) H2H
QF
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Marketa Vondrousova
70% ( 54 of 77)
1st Serve %
59% ( 27 of 46)
4
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
69% ( 37 of 54)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 16 of 27)
48% ( 11 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 9 of 19)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 9)
38% ( 29 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 21 of 46)
69
Total Points Won
54
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Jessica Pegula
70% ( 31 of 44)
1st Serve %
55% ( 32 of 58)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
77% ( 24 of 31)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 9 of 26)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
30% ( 13 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 31 of 58)
62
Total Points Won
40
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
71% ( 57 of 80)
1st Serve %
59% ( 58 of 98)
4
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
6
79% ( 45 of 57)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 39 of 58)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 16 of 40)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
29% ( 23 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 43 of 98)
100
Total Points Won
78
W
5-7 6-2 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Yanina Wickmayer
76% ( 35 of 46)
1st Serve %
59% ( 22 of 37)
4
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 13 of 22)
73% ( 8 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 11 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
53
Total Points Won
30
W
6-1 6-2 H2H

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