Shunsuke Nakagawa vs Ryusuke Horiuchi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Ryusuke Horiuchi has shown stronger second serve performance, winning 47.73% of those points, compared to Shunsuke Nakagawa's 40.13%. Could this offer Horiuchi a serving advantage?
• The return game is a key area where Horiuchi excels, securing 55.56% of his opponent's second serve points in recent form, whereas Nakagawa manages 44.49%. How significant is this gap?
• For first serve returns, Horiuchi has a slight edge at 29.20% versus Nakagawa's 27.07%. Though a small difference, it may influence the match's dynamics.
• Under pressure, Horiuchi appears more resilient, saving 61.29% of breakpoints against Nakagawa's 47.09%, highlighting a potential edge in crucial moments.
• Match win rates over the past year are remarkably similar, with Horiuchi at 62.07% and Nakagawa at 62.00%. Does this suggest an evenly matched contest?
• Both players fare best on hard courts, winning 48% of matches, indicating neither holds a clear advantage on this surface.
• Level of play is close too, with Nakagawa slightly ahead at 65.96% win rate in $10K events against Horiuchi's 62.07%.
• Horiuchi has faced stiffer competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 213.24 compared to Nakagawa's 407.78 ranking, possibly enhancing his match preparedness.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Nakagawa holds a marginal edge, having won 56% of such sets recently, slightly higher than Horiuchi's 50% success rate.
• The past player performance can guide predictions, yet current event performance and specific event success should also be considered.

Editorial Prediction (October 22, 2025, UTC):

In evaluating the upcoming match between Ryusuke Horiuchi and Shunsuke Nakagawa, several factors suggest a complex and competitive encounter. Horiuchi's superior second serve performance and return game prowess could potentially tip the scales in his favor, offering substantial points against Nakagawa.

Furthermore, Horiuchi's ability to save a higher percentage of breakpoints suggests he might maintain composure and resilience during high-pressure scenarios. His experience against higher-ranked opponents could provide him with an edge in adapting to challenging situations.

While both players display strength on hard courts and similar win rates over the past year, the nuances in performance under pressure and competitive exposure lean towards Horiuchi as having a slight advantage. Consequently, based on the current data and performance analysis, Ryusuke Horiuchi is predicted to emerge as the likely winner of this match against Shunsuke Nakagawa.