Shu Matsuoka vs Yusuke Kusuhara Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Kusuhara has slightly edged out Matsuoka in second serve performance, with a win rate of 43.35% compared to Matsuoka's 43.08%. It's a slim margin but could be pivotal.
• Both players show strong return game statistics. Kusuhara leads slightly, winning 45.77% of second serve return points, while Matsuoka wins 45.54%.
• Regarding first serve returns, Kusuhara outperforms Matsuoka, with 24.92% compared to 19.87%, a substantial difference in their direct match-up.
• Under pressure, Kusuhara saves 55.05% of breakpoints versus Matsuoka's 53.33%, indicating a minor advantage in high-stakes situations.
• In the last year, Kusuhara boasts a superior match win rate of 71.15%, dwarfing Matsuoka’s 53.33%. Does the overall winning percentage favor Kusuhara?
• Considering surfaces, Kusuhara excels on clay (67%), but struggles on indoor hard courts (40%), where Matsuoka performs better, holding a 56% win rate.
• Both players mainly compete at the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, but Kusuhara has a superior win rate of 72.55% compared to Matsuoka's 53.33%.
• In head-to-head history, Matsuoka leads with a 1-0 record, having won their last encounter comfortably on an indoor hard surface, 6-1, 6-3.
• Neither player has won in a deciding set situation, but Kusuhara has a 67% winning record in deciding sets against all players, whereas Matsuoka has won 0%.
• When it comes to breakpoint conversion, Kusuhara holds a slight edge, converting 27.08% of opportunities compared to Matsuoka's 23.53%.
• Both athletes have faced relatively strong opponents over the past year, with Matsuoka’s opponents having a slightly higher average ranking.

Editorial Prediction (July 4, 2025, UTC):

In this upcoming tennis match, many factors point towards an intriguing contest between Kusuhara and Matsuoka. Kusuhara has been more consistent across various parameters, including second serve and return performances, and demonstrates a clear advantage in breaking serve.

On the other hand, Matsuoka dominates their direct head-to-head history, having comfortably defeated Kusuhara in their previous encounter on a similar surface. Yet, Kusuhara has exhibited resilience in deciding sets within the past year, suggesting a potential edge if this match extends to a deciding set.

Considering all statistical angles, while Matsuoka has proven superiority in direct encounters on an indoor hard court, Kusuhara's comprehensive consistency and recent form slightly tilt the prediction in their favor. Kusuhara emerges as the likely winner, but the match could be closely contested depending on the dynamics of the day.