Sebastian Ofner vs Reilly Opelka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When evaluating second serve success in recent months, Opelka leads slightly, capturing 48.59% of points compared to Ofner’s 47.28%. Could this marginal advantage influence the outcome? Not by itself, but it could make a difference in critical moments.
• In return games, Ofner shows superiority, winning 45.86% of second serve return points, while Opelka manages 39.92%. For first serve returns, Ofner again leads with 21.1%, ahead of Opelka’s 18.21%.
• Under pressure, Opelka holds the edge, saving 65.42% of breakpoints compared to Ofner’s 54.2%. Does this indicate better mental toughness in tight situations? It seems likely.
• Analyzing overall performance over the past year, Ofner boasts a higher win rate, at 58.33%, while Opelka stands at 50.91%.
• Opelka excels on indoor hard surfaces with a 67% win rate, whereas Ofner is stronger on grass with 59% victories. Will surface play a key role in their next match? That depends on where they meet.
• On the main tour, Ofner has a slightly better winning percentage, at 58.33% compared to Opelka’s 53.33%. Could this improve his chances? It’s a solid indicator of form.
• In direct encounters, Ofner has beaten Opelka once out of one meeting, showcasing an edge in head-to-head play. The match was settled in straight sets.
• Facing higher-ranked opponents, Opelka’s competition averaged a rank of 101.36, whereas Ofner’s was at 135.28, implying Opelka has been tested against tougher opponents.
• In deciding sets, Opelka has been more successful, winning 58% of them in the last year, surpassing Ofner’s 50% rate.
• Break point conversion statistics favor Ofner, who has converted 28.21% of opportunities, compared to Opelka’s 24.3%.

Editorial Prediction (July 27, 2025, UTC):

As we anticipate the upcoming match, several key statistics provide insight into which player might prevail. Although Opelka has shown better performance on the second serve and in saving breakpoints, Ofner excels in returning games and has a slight head-to-head advantage.

Their past encounter saw Ofner claim victory in straight sets, suggesting a psychological edge. Additionally, Ofner's ability to convert breakpoint opportunities effectively could prove decisive in tight scenarios.

Despite Opelka’s experience against tougher opponents and his success in deciding set situations, Ofner's current form on the main tour gives him a slight edge in overall performance.

Considering all factors and recent performance trends, Sebastian Ofner appears to be the more likely winner for the upcoming match.