Prediction of Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musetti at Hellenic Championship - Athens 11-07-25
Wojtek Kolan
Published on 07 Nov at 01:04 AM UTC
HEAD TO HEAD
S. Korda vs L. Musetti
USA
2
Win
Played
2
Win
ITA
2
Win
Played
2
Win
S. Korda Vs L. Musetti Picks
Based on the implied probability from the match winner, Lorenzo Musetti has a 50.89% chance to get the victory.
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| Match | Bookie Prediction | Bookie Odds |
|---|---|---|
| S. Korda | 49.11% | 1.99 |
| L. Musetti | 50.89% | 1.92 |
Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast.
| Market | Bookie Prediction | Bookie Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 21 | 62.5% | 1.6 |
| Over 20 | 62.5% | 1.6 |
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Head-to-head: Korda 2 - 2 Musetti
The overall set record between the players shows Sebastian Korda leading with six wins compared to Lorenzo Musetti's four wins across ten sets. Their most recent encounter occurred at the Moselle Open in Metz on September 21, 2022, during the second round on indoor hard courts, where Korda emerged victorious with a score of 6-3, 7-6(6).
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Korda | 2 |
| Musetti | 2 |
Last 4 H2H Matches:
(R2) Moselle Open - Metz(09-21-22)
(R2) Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid(05-04-22)
(Robin) Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan(11-11-21)
S. Korda Vs L. Musetti Best Odds
1x2
Games O/U
S. Korda vs L. Musetti H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $5,626,445 | Career Prize Money | $7,627,940 |
| 60.45% (266-174) | Career Total W/L | 59.51% (266-181) |
| 0 | Clay | 2 |
| 2 | Indoor | 0 |
| 4 | Titles | 6 |
| 2 | Total H2H Matches | 2 |
| 56.41% (22-17) | YTD Win/Loss | 69.35% (43-19) |
S. Korda vs L. Musetti Match Preview:
- In recent months, Sebastian Korda has a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 47.10% of such points compared to Lorenzo Musetti's 46.61%.
- Why is second serve performance significant? It shows consistency and resilience, crucial factors for predicting match outcomes.
- Sebastian Korda also surpasses Musetti in winning points on opponents' second serves, with 43.37% compared to Musetti's 42.67%.
- Who performs better under pressure? Korda has saved a higher percentage of breakpoints, 55.61% versus Musetti's 50.65%.
- Overall match performance in the past year favors Musetti, who has a higher win percentage at 68.25% compared to Korda's 58.54%.
- Musetti excels on clay with a 64% win rate, whereas Korda's strongest surface is grass.
- What surfaces present challenges for Korda? His lower win percentage is on clay, while Musetti struggles with indoor hard courts.
- Korda and Musetti are evenly matched head-to-head, with each player winning two prior encounters.
- Yet, Korda won their most recent match, suggesting he might have an advantage.
- On average, Korda faces higher-ranked opponents, potentially sharpening his competitive edge.
- If this match goes into a decisive set, Korda has the upper hand with a 63% success rate compared to Musetti's 56%.
- Consider overall trends and conditions: Which player is currently in form at this event?
Editorial Prediction (November 7, 2025, UTC):
As we anticipate the upcoming match between Sebastian Korda and Lorenzo Musetti, several factors should be considered to predict the likely winner. Both players have demonstrated strengths and weaknesses, evidenced by various performance metrics.
Through detailed comparative analysis, Sebastian Korda appears to have a slight upper hand in several key areas. His slight advantage in second serve performance and the ability to save breakpoints showcase his consistency and resilience on the court.
Although Musetti boasts a superior overall win percentage in the last year, Korda's recent victory in their latest head-to-head encounter and stronger performance in decisive sets indicate that he may have the mental edge in crucial moments.
Ultimately, taking into account these performance patterns and recent form, Sebastian Korda is more likely to emerge victorious in this encounter.
Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musetti Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
S. Korda vs L. Musetti H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2 | H2H Matches Won | 2 |
| 6 | Sets Won | 4 |
| 45 | Games Won | 41 |
| 15 | Aces (Total) | 9 |
| 9 | Total Double Faults | 7 |
| 1:38:58 | Average Match Time | 1:38:58 |
| 63% (170/270) | 1st Serve % | 65% (175/269) |
| 72% (123/170) | 1st Serve Win % | 69% (121/175) |
| 50% (50/100) | 2nd Serve Win % | 51% (48/94) |
| 41% (9/22) | Break Pts Won % | 47% (9/19) |
| 37% (100/269) | Return Points Win % | 36% (97/270) |
| 33% (1/3) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 67% (2/3) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best‑of‑5 Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (2/2) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (2/2) |
| 0% (0/2) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/2) |
| 0% (0/2) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/2) |
S. Korda Vs L. Musetti Current Event Stats
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matches Played | 2 |
| 0:58:01 | Last Match Time | 1:21:20 |
| 4:53:21 | Total Time | 3:46:45 |
| 1.08 | Aces Per Game | 0.68 |
| 39 | Total Aces | 17 |
| 0.06 | Double Faults Count | 0.12 |
| 2 | Total Double Faults | 3 |
| 65% (137/211) | First Serve | 71% (108/153) |
| 80% (109/137) | 1st Serve Win % | 75% (81/108) |
| 66% (49/74) | 2nd Serve Win % | 58% (26/45) |
| 47% (8/17) | Break Points Converted | 26% (5/19) |
| 78% (7/9) | Break Points Saved | 60% (3/5) |
| 95% (35/37) | Service Hold % | 92% (23/25) |
| 78% (29/37) | Opponent Hold % | 80% (20/25) |
| 38% (82/215) | Return Points Win % | 40% (72/180) |
| 56.34% (240/426) | Total Points Won | 53.75% (179/333) |
| 0% (0/0) | Tiebreak Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (2/2) | Deciding Set Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 0.00 | Tiebreaks Per Match | 0.50 |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (2/2) | 1st Set Lose Count % | 100% (1/1) |
Currently displayed stats include matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer. Who do you back to make it through to the next round? We have predictions for every match in Hellenic Championship - Athens.
Recent Performance Stats
S. Korda Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellenic Championship - Athens - 03-11-2025 | ||||
QF  Miomir KecmanovicM. Kecmanovic | W | 6-3 6-2 | ||
R2  Damir DzumhurD. Dzumhur | W | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
R1  Alexei PopyrinA. Popyrin | W | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
R1 Lorenzo SonegoL. Sonego | L | 6-2 6-3 | ||
Q3  Valentin RoyerV. Royer | W | 6-2 5-7 6-4 | ||
L. Musetti Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellenic Championship - Athens - 03-11-2025 | ||||
QF Alexandre MullerA. Muller | W | 6-2 6-4 | ||
R2  Stan WawrinkaS. Wawrinka | W | 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 | ||
| Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
R2 Lorenzo SonegoL. Sonego | L | 3-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025 | ||||
SF  Alexander ZverevA. Zverev | L | 6-4 7-5 | ||
QF Corentin MoutetC. Moutet | W | 6-3 6-4 | ||
Where To Watch Korda vs Musetti?
When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Korda Vs Musetti is now available here.
S. Korda vs L. Musetti Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 62.34% (48/29) | YTD Win/Loss | 48.15% (39/42) |
| 55.84% (110/87) | Sets Win/Loss | 48.24% (96/103) |
| 51.85% (979/909) | Games Win/Loss | 49.39% (938/961) |
| 0.61 | Aces Per Game | 0.39 |
| 561 | Aces Total | 359 |
| 0.17 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.17 |
| 158 | Total Double Faults | 159 |
| 1:44:23 | Average Match Time | 1:43:25 |
| 267.82 | Average Opponent Rank | 292.27 |
| 64% (3658/5706) | 1st Serve % | 64% (3732/5851) |
| 73% (2668/3658) | 1st Serve Win % | 71% (2651/3732) |
| 53% (1085/2048) | 2nd Serve Win % | 52% (1093/2119) |
| 37% (201/543) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 36% (168/466) |
| 37% (2283/6101) | Return Points Win % | 35% (2091/5918) |
| 61% (43/71) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 49% (37/75) |
| 80% (4/5) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 33% (2/6) |
| 65% (28/43) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 49% (21/43) |
| 70% (26/37) | Deciding Set Win % | 50% (14/28) |
| 86% (43/37) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 78% (37/29) |
| 14% (43/6) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 22% (37/8) |
| 32% (34/11) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 23% (44/10) |
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