Sebastian Baez vs Holger Rune Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows Holger Rune has a slight edge over Sebastian Baez, winning 46.67% of points compared to Baez's 44.82%. Could this make a difference?
• In return games, Baez excels, winning 49.13% of opponent's second serve points compared to Rune's 43.58%, and also outperforms in first serve returns at 31.71% versus Rune’s 25.22%.
• Under pressure, Rune demonstrates resilience by saving 56.07% of breakpoints, outmatching Baez’s 50.00%.
• Rune boasts a superior yearly performance with a win rate of 63.49% over the last year, contrasting with Baez’s 42.55%.
• Assessing surfaces, Baez dominates on Clay with a 71% win rate, while Rune is equally strong on I.hard at 71%.
• Rune competes at a higher level, playing most of his matches in the Masters series and winning 65.38%, whereas Baez plays on the Main tour with a 55.56% success rate.
• Head-to-head, both players have evenly split wins in their 6 encounters, but Rune triumphed in their latest clay match.
• Rune has faced tougher opponents over the last year with an average rank of 63.89 compared to Baez’s 203.04.
• When it comes to deciding sets, Rune performs better with a 58% win rate, contrasted with Baez’s 35%.

Editorial Prediction (October 3, 2025, UTC):

Holger Rune and Sebastian Baez enter their upcoming match with a well-balanced head-to-head record, but Rune's recent performances hint at a competitive edge. While Baez excels at return games and shows formidable skill on clay, Rune's overall superior performance metrics indicate a slight advantage.

Rune not only boasts a higher win percentage over the past year but has also contended with more highly-ranked opponents, which might better prepare him for challenging matches. His robust pressure-handling capabilities, demonstrated by better breakpoint saves, bolster his standing.

Despite their tight history, Rune's mastery on I.hard contrasted with Baez's struggles, along with Rune's noteworthy all-surface adaptability and recent victory, suggest he is poised as the likely victor in this upcoming encounter.