Sebastian Baez vs Denis Shapovalov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does Sebastian Baez's second serve performance compare to Denis Shapovalov's in recent form? Baez has the edge with a 44.58% win rate over Shapovalov's 43.43% on their second serves.
• In terms of return game stats, Baez also leads by winning 48.54% of his opponent's second serve points, as opposed to Shapovalov's 45.07%.
• For first serve returns, Baez again outperforms Shapovalov, securing 29.80% of points compared to Shapovalov's 25.81%.
• When under pressure, both players exhibit nearly identical breakpoint saving ability, with Baez slightly ahead at 52.17% against Shapovalov's 51.38%.
• Looking at overall performance, Shapovalov boasts a higher match win rate over the past year at 60.00% compared to Baez's 42.55%.
• What is the best surface for each player? Baez thrives on clay with a 69% win rate, while Shapovalov excels on I.hard courts, also with a 69% win rate.
• Shapovalov is more successful in recent main tour matches, winning 73.53% compared to Baez's 55.56%.
• Regarding the quality of opponents faced, Baez tends to play higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 87.83, compared to Shapovalov's 94.53.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Shapovalov clearly has the advantage, winning 57% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Baez stands at a 36% win rate.

Editorial Prediction (October 18, 2025, UTC):

In this upcoming tennis match, both players exhibit strengths that could influence the outcome. Sebastian Baez has shown superior performance in both second serve and return stats, suggesting a formidable presence in baseline rallies and extended exchanges. His slightly better ability to save breakpoints may also provide him with crucial opportunities during tight moments.

Denis Shapovalov, however, has demonstrated a stronger recent match record overall, reflecting his capability to close out matches consistently. His superior success in deciding sets further underlines his ability to handle pressure in critical stages of a match.

Given Shapovalov's track record on the main tour and his proven resolve in deciding sets, he holds a slight advantage in this matchup. Therefore, based on the available statistics, Denis Shapovalov is the likely winner of this upcoming tennis match.