Sanhui Shin vs Naoki Nakagawa Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing recent second serve performance, Nakagawa has consistently outperformed Shin by winning 48.01% of points compared to Shin's 44.47%. This metric is pivotal for accurate match predications. However, in return game statistics, Shin has an edge, capturing 46.99% of their opponent's second serve points, while Nakagawa trails slightly at 43.66%.

On first serve returns, Shin further demonstrates superior performance with a return rate of 29.78% compared to Nakagawa's 25.4%. This significant difference plays a crucial role in determining who is favored in this head-to-head matchup. Both players have contrasting strengths under pressure; Nakagawa excels by saving 50.63% of breakpoints, as opposed to Shin's 44.07% save rate, a critical factor for in-game betting predictions.

Over the past year, Nakagawa has shown slightly better results, winning 60% of their matches (30 wins and 20 losses), while Shin has won 57.14% of their matches (28 wins and 21 losses). These statistics contribute to an overall head-to-head prediction overview. A closer look at their preferred surfaces reveals Nakagawa performs best on indoor hard courts with a 61% win rate, whereas Shin is strongest on clay, boasting a 72% victory rate.

In terms of match level, Nakagawa has predominantly participated in Challengers/ITF tournaments with a greater than $10K prize, achieving a 51.61% win rate (16 wins and 15 losses). Meanwhile, Shin has mainly been competing in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments with a $10K prize, showing a stronger performance at a 61.11% win rate (22 wins and 14 losses). When these match levels are considered, it becomes essential to see if there’s an impact on prediction.

The direct head-to-head comparison between these players tilts towards Nakagawa, who has won their lone encounter. Their previous match at the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger, on January 5, 2025, saw Nakagawa overcoming Shin 3-6, 6-4, 6-3. In matches reaching a deciding set against other players, Nakagawa has a solid 63% win rate, compared to Shin's 44%, implying an advantage for Nakagawa should the match extend.

Despite not encountering any tiebreaks against each other, the quality of their opponents suggests Shin has faced slightly tougher adversaries, with opponents averaging a rank of 403.92, compared to Nakagawa's 424.44. Recent form demonstrates that Shin is more effective in break point conversion, achieving 37.63%, while Nakagawa manages 27.05% conversion.

Taking all these factors into account, Nakagawa appears to have a marginal advantage overall, especially if the match is prolonged or under intense pressure conditions. Therefore, Nakagawa is poised to claim victory in this matchup based on current statistical trends and historical encounters.