Prediction of Saba Purtseladze vs Evgenii Tiurnev at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 12-03-25

• Saba Purtseladze has recently claimed 46.53% of points on their second serve, slightly surpassing Evgenii Tiurnev who has achieved 44.10%.
• Is winning the second serve critical in this match-up? Yes, as this statistic is closely linked to successful match predictions.
• In recent play, Saba Purtseladze secured 42.69% of points on their opponent’s second serves, ahead of Tiurnev who won 39.21%.
• On first serve returns, Purtseladze leads with 23.66% compared to Tiurnev’s 15.33%, indicating an advantage in this aspect.
• Facing breakpoints, Saba's defensive capabilities show, as they saved 54.79% of challenges, while Tiurnev managed 49.15%.
• Over the past year, Purtseladze triumphed in 65.38% of matches, outperforming Tiurnev’s 58.06% win rate.
• Each player's best-performing surface is different. Could this impact the outcome? Possibly.
• Purtseladze excels on Hard courts with a 62% win rate, contrasting with Tiurnev who also favors I.hard with a 62% success rate.
• When it comes to matches at the $10K level tournaments in the past year, Purtseladze won 84.62%, compared to Tiurnev’s 64.29%.
• Direct encounters between the two show an even tally, with each player winning once over two matches played, sharing 3 set wins apiece.
• Their latest clash at the Istanbul Challenger saw Purtseladze come from behind to win 5-7, 6-1, 6-3.
• The average match duration between them is 2 hours 7 minutes, suggesting competitive and closely fought games.
• Should this match extend to a deciding set, Purtseladze has a clear edge, having won 75% of such sets over the past year compared to Tiurnev’s 33%.
• Purtseladze faced tougher competition on average, opponents ranked around 396, as opposed to Tiurnev’s average opponent’s rank of 445.
• Although Purtseladze converts 29.47% of breakpoint chances against Tiurnev's more efficient 38.89%, Purtseladze's overall form could outweigh this disparity.

Editorial Prediction (December 3, 2025, UTC):

Saba Purtseladze enters this match with a slight edge in several key areas. They have demonstrated slightly better second serve success, as well as superior performance returning both first and second serves. These statistics reflect a solid all-around game which may give them a competitive advantage.

Purtseladze's recent form in saving breakpoints and a higher percentage of match victories over the past year further enhance their position as a potential favorite. Despite Evgenii Tiurnev's higher breakpoint conversion, Purtseladze's past head-to-head victory and excellent performance in deciding sets underscore a high resilience in crucial match moments.

Considering Purtseladze's slightly superior performance history against higher-ranked opponents and their previous win in similar circumstances, they appear better placed to emerge victorious in this upcoming encounter.

Thus, Saba Purtseladze is predicted to win this tennis match based on their current form and historical head-to-head advantages.