Ryuki Matsuda vs Hamish Stewart Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent play, Stewart exhibits a slightly better second serve performance, winning 46.26% of points compared to Matsuda's 43.58%. Is this edge significant? Yes, as small percentage differences in second serve success can influence match outcomes.
• When it comes to returning opponents' serves, Matsuda leads slightly on second serves with 46.35% versus Stewart's 45.09%. However, Matsuda shows a greater advantage on first serve returns, capturing 31.78% of points compared to Stewart's 21.39%.
• In terms of handling pressure situations, Stewart has saved 54.23% of breakpoints, which is a bit stronger than Matsuda’s 50.2%, making Stewart potentially more resilient in tight spots.
• Over the past year, Stewart has a superior match win rate of 64.52%, outperforming Matsuda’s 50.77%. How much does this historical performance matter? It gives Stewart the upper hand in their head-to-head comparisons.
• Stewart excels on indoor hard courts with a win rate of 68%, whereas Matsuda performs best on hard courts with 59% success. Interestingly, Matsuda struggles on indoor hard courts, winning only 20% of such matches.
• Both players often participate in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events. Stewart boasts a better win rate at this level, winning 70.18% of their matches compared to Matsuda's 53.85%.
• Over the last year, Stewart faced higher-ranked opponents with an average rank of 386.61, while Matsuda's opponents averaged a rank of 473.45, suggesting Stewart has tackled tougher competition.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, both players have a balanced record, winning 50% of deciding sets over the last year, indicating that neither player has a distinct advantage in such scenarios.
• Analyzing recent breakpoint conversion rates, Matsuda holds a slight edge by converting 40.56% of opportunities, while Stewart has converted 36.76% of their chances.

Editorial Prediction (May 29, 2025, UTC):

In assessing the head-to-head dynamics for this upcoming match, several factors appear to give Stewart a potential advantage. Stewart's superior second serve performance and higher match win rate over the past year undeniably contribute to a stronger overall track record.

Moreover, Stewart's capacity to win against tougher competitors, as evidenced by the higher average rank of previous opponents, suggests better adaptability to challenging matches. Stewart also demonstrates greater proficiency in handling pressure, with a higher breakpoint save percentage compared to Matsuda.

On the other hand, Matsuda shows strengths in return games, especially on first serve returns and breakpoint conversions where they slightly outperform Stewart. Despite these advantages, Matsuda's previous competition was generally less challenging, potentially skewing their performance stats favorably.

Given these comparative factors, Stewart is projected as the likely winner of the upcoming match, based on demonstrated resilience under pressure and consistent performance against stronger opponents.