Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Molcan's recent second serve win rate is 40.14%, slightly less than Baena's 42.69%. How significant is this difference? It suggests Baena has a slight edge.
• When it comes to returning second serves, Molcan won 47.11% while Baena managed 47.88% in recent form, indicating a minor advantage for Baena.
• In first serve return stats, Molcan is slightly ahead with 29% over Baena's 28.6%.
• Under pressure, Baena saves 55.87% of breakpoints compared to Molcan's 49.81%. Does this suggest Baena has better nerves during crucial moments? Likely so.
• Molcan has enjoyed a better win rate over the past year at 70.73%, whereas Baena's win rate stands at 53.57%.
• Both players excel on clay; Molcan has a 64% win rate, and Baena, close behind, with 62%.
• Molcan's recent matches are mainly in Futures/Satellites with an impressive 87.5% win rate, contrasting with Baena's 42.86% on the Main tour.
• In direct head-to-head confrontations, Baena leads with 2 wins to Molcan's zero. Why could this be essential? It indicates Baena’s mental and tactical edge.
• If this match requires a deciding set, Molcan holds a slight edge at 54% wins against all opponents, over Baena's 52%.
• The quality of competition faced recently differs; Molcan's opponents averaged a ranking of 364.54, significantly lower than Baena's 133.98, which could reflect on their relative preparedness for top-tier challenges.
• Molcan’s and Baena’s break point conversion rates are close, at 35% and 35.59%, respectively, indicating matched skills in capitalizing on opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (July 10, 2025, UTC):

Assessing recent form in second serve performance and return game efficiency, Baena has a slight edge over Molcan. His ability to win a marginally higher percentage of these crucial points suggests an advantage.

When it comes to performance under pressure, Baena's superior breakpoint saving percentage could prove pivotal in tight situations, hinting at robust mental resilience.

While Molcan boasts a stronger win percentage over the past year, the context of their victories primarily in lower-level tournaments might slightly distort the success rate when compared to Baena’s Main tour matches.

Their head-to-head history unmistakably favors Baena, with two impressive wins, which showcases his historical strategic advantage and psychological dominance over Molcan.

Considering all these factors, Roberto Carballes Baena is likely to emerge victorious in their upcoming match.