Reilly Opelka vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the past six months, Opelka has a slight edge in second-serve points won at 49.36%, compared to Arnaldi's 47.89%.
• Arnaldi shows stronger return game stats, securing 43.45% of opponent's second serve points and impressively winning 27.26% of first serve returns, while Opelka wins 40.97% and 18.12% respectively.
• How do they handle pressure? Opelka saves 64.65% of breakpoints, better than Arnaldi's 55.41%, which could be crucial for betting predictions.
• Reflecting on the past year, Opelka holds a marginal advantage in match victories, achieving a win rate of 52.73% compared to Arnaldi's 48.98%.
• Surface preferences display Arnaldi triumphing predominantly on clay courts with a 65% win rate, whereas Opelka excels on indoor hard courts with a 67% win rate.
• Arnaldi's year on the Masters series sees a 57.14% success rate, while Opelka's main tour focus results in a 56.25% win rate. Could this influence the match outcome?
• In their previous direct encounter, Opelka emerged victorious, winning 2 sets straight at the Brisbane International on a hard court.
• Neither player has previously been pushed to a deciding set in their head-to-head history, an interesting note for predicting long matches.
• Why is Opelka often favored in tiebreaks? He's won both tiebreaks against Arnaldi, suggesting a mental edge in crucial moments.
• When analyzing overall quality of opponents faced, Arnaldi's average opponent rank is 62.59, notably tougher than Opelka's 93.13 average.
• Considering deciding sets over the past year, Opelka again demonstrates resilience, winning 63% compared to Arnaldi's 47%.
• In their ability to capitalize on breakpoints in recent play, Arnaldi converts more opportunities with a rate of 28.02% against Opelka's 22.81%.

Editorial Prediction (June 22, 2025, UTC):

Evaluating recent form, second serve performance slightly favors Opelka, but Arnaldi shows an advantage in return games.

Opelka appears to excel under pressure, notably saving more breakpoints than Arnaldi, and holds a stronger track record in tiebreak situations.

Consideration of playing surfaces shows each player has different strengths, with Arnaldi performing best on clay and Opelka on indoor hard courts, which may impact the match depending on the surface played.

While Arnaldi faces tougher opposition based on rankings, Opelka’s historical head-to-head record and his superior deciding set win rate suggest a mental and performance edge.

Factoring in all elements, including sprinting ahead in tiebreaks, Reilly Opelka is likely to secure victory in this upcoming match against Arnaldi.