Reilly Opelka vs Mark Lajal Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance: Opelka achieves 49.32% of possible points, slightly outperforming Lajal, who garners 47.52%.
• Return game proficiency: Lajal is more successful, winning 45.37% of opponent's second serve points, compared to Opelka's 41.38%.
• First serve return: Lajal leads substantially, grabbing 26.81% of points versus Opelka’s 18.64%.
• Pressure scenarios: Opelka shines by saving 65.27% of breakpoints, while Lajal lags at 55.91%.
• Overall match outcomes: Lajal is stronger with a win rate of 63.38% over the past year, compared to Opelka’s 52.08%.
• Preferred surfaces: Opelka excels on indoor hard courts with a 67% win percentage, while Lajal prefers grass with a 64% success rate.
• Tour level experience: Opelka competes mostly on the Main tour (56% wins), whereas Lajal frequently plays at Challenger/ITF level (62.5% wins).
• Opponent difficulty: Opelka faces higher-ranked competitors, averaging an opponent rank of 93.71, while Lajal's average opponent rank stands at 256.06.
• Deciding sets: Opelka wins 61% of deciding sets, making him more reliable in critical match moments compared to Lajal’s 52% success.
• Break point conversion: Lajal is more efficient, converting 38.06% of break points compared to Opelka's 23.96%.

Editorial Prediction (June 9, 2025, UTC):

When examining recent trends, Opelka demonstrates superior second serve performance and a robust ability to handle pressure, evident in his high breakpoint save percentage.

Conversely, Lajal's strength lies in his return game proficiency, particularly against first serves, suggesting a potential edge in capitalizing on Opelka’s second serves.

Lajal's consistent performance on grass and overall higher match win rate enhance his competitive edge, despite facing lesser ranked opponents on average over the past 12 months.

Opelka's experience on the Main tour and his higher deciding set win rate could provide the crucial advantage in stressful moments.

Based on these insights, Reilly Opelka is projected as the likely winner of this match, largely due to his ability to handle high-pressure scenarios and his experience at higher competitive levels.