Reilly Opelka vs Denis Yevseyev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Strength: Recently, Opelka has been winning 49.17% of his points on the second serve, while Yevseyev captures only 41.88%. Could this be a pivotal factor in determining the match outcome? Historically, it suggests a potential edge for Opelka.
• Return Game Analysis: Yevseyev has a slight advantage in return game performance, capturing 51.28% of points on opponents' second serves as opposed to Opelka's 40.61%. For first serve returns, Yevseyev also leads with 29.71% versus Opelka's 18.67%.
• Pressure Management: When saving breakpoints, Opelka excels with 66.26% while Yevseyev manages 49.24%. This could indicate a more resilient gameplay under pressure from Opelka.
• Overall Match Success: Over the past year, Opelka has a slightly better match win rate at 51.06% compared to Yevseyev's 42.47%. How does this reflect their current form?
• Surface Specialization: Opelka's best performance is on indoor hard courts, with a 67% win rate, whilst Yevseyev performs best on hard courts with a 55% win rate. Could the surface play a crucial role?
• Player Experience: Opelka primarily competes on the Main tour, winning 54.17% of his matches, compared to Yevseyev on the less competitive Challenger/ITF circuit, with a win rate of 39.62%.
• Head-to-Head Encounters: In direct matchups, Yevseyev leads with one win. The only match lasted over two hours indicating evenly matched performances.
• Pressure Situations: When facing a tiebreak, Yevseyev won their only encounter, suggesting he might have the upper hand in high-pressure scenarios.
• Quality of Opponents: Opelka's average opponent rank is 89.85, significantly higher than Yevseyev's 278.85, possibly indicating Opelka's experience against tougher competition.
• Deciding Set Success: In recent times, Opelka has been successful in 61% of deciding sets, compared to Yevseyev's 34%. If the match goes the distance, Opelka may be more likely to prevail.
• Break Point Conversion: Yevseyev demonstrates a higher breakpoint conversion rate at 35.22% compared to Opelka's 23.91%. This suggests Yevseyev's sharpness in capitalizing on crucial opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (June 8, 2025, UTC):

As we anticipate the upcoming match between Opelka and Yevseyev, distinct performance trends emerge from the statistics. Opelka boasts a more consistent win record over the past year and demonstrates resilience in high-pressure situations, especially when saving breakpoints.

On the other hand, Yevseyev presents a strong return game, effectively converting break opportunities, and has a slight edge from their previous head-to-head encounter.

Considering the playing surface and Opelka's competition against higher-ranked opponents, along with his superior record in deciding set victories, he appears better positioned for success in this match. Based on these insights, Opelka is poised to be the more likely winner.