Reilly Opelka vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Opelka has a slight edge over Alcaraz on second serve points, winning 48.5% compared to 45.87% for Alcaraz. Could this be a decisive factor?
• Alcaraz demonstrates stronger return stats on both first and second serves with 42.86% on opponents' second serve points and 27.09% on first serve returns, overshadowing Opelka's 40.21% and 18.41%, respectively.
• Under pressure, Opelka saves 65.3% of breakpoints, whereas Alcaraz saves 53.05%. Does this make Opelka a clutch performer?
• Over the past year, Alcaraz shows a superior overall performance with an 86.42% win rate compared to Opelka's 55.36%.
• Opelka excels on indoor hard courts with a 67% win rate, while Alcaraz performs best on grass, boasting a 90% win rate.
• Alcaraz has faced tougher competitors, with an average opponent rank of 54.46, versus Opelka's 103.75.
• Alcaraz outshines in deciding set performance, winning 80% of these crucial sets against Opelka's 58%.
• Alcaraz converts more breakpoints at 30.47%, which is significant compared to Opelka's 20.61% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (August 26, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the upcoming match between Reilly Opelka and Carlos Alcaraz, a few key statistics stand out. Alcaraz leads in return game proficiency and breakpoint conversion, reckoning with Opelka's service game strengths. This edge in returns could prove vital during pivotal match moments.

Despite Opelka's notable ability to perform under pressure by saving a higher percentage of breakpoints, Alcaraz's extensive success rate in matches over the past year cannot be overlooked. His capacity to excel in deciding sets further strengthens his standing as the favorite.

Considering the quality of opponents faced and their commanding overall win rates, Alcaraz emerges as a formidable challenger. In this closely contested showdown, Carlos Alcaraz is the predicted winner, based on his consistent form and comprehensive competitive edge over Opelka.