Peyton Stearns vs Aryna Sabalenka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 28 Apr at 10:07 PM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

P. Stearns vs A. Sabalenka

Peyton Stearns
Peyton Stearns

Flag USA USA

l
l
l
l
w
l
l
w
l
l
Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

Flag BLR BLR

w
w
w
w
w
w
w
w
w
l

0

Win

2

Played

2

Win

24
Age
27
-
Height
1.82m
67
C. Rank
1
28
Best Rank
1
1
Total Titles
21
0
YTD Titles
4
$1.7M
Career Money
$36.5M
-
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Stearns 0 - 2 Sabalenka

They have played 5 sets in total, with Peyton Stearns winning 1 and Aryna Sabalenka winning 4. The last match between Aryna Sabalenka and Peyton Stearns was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 29-04-2025, Round: R4, Surface: Clay, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-2 6-4.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Stearns0
Sabalenka2
Last 2 H2H Matches:

(R4Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid(04-29-25)

Clay
BLR Flag
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
USA Flag
Peyton Stearns
2
4

(R2BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-09-24)

Hard
BLR Flag
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
7
USA Flag
Peyton Stearns
7
2
6

P. Stearns vs A. Sabalenka H2H Profile

Stats
$1,700,484Career Prize Money$36,531,203
58.22% (177-127)Career Total W/L70.72% (483-200)
0Clay1
0Hard1
6Titles27
0Total H2H Matches2
44.74% (17-21)YTD Win/Loss84.29% (59-11)
0YTD Titles4

P. Stearns vs A. Sabalenka Match Preview:

Recent form in second serve performance presents minimal differentiation between Sabalenka and Stearns, with Sabalenka winning 39.41% of points and Stearns slightly trailing at 39.34%. This similarity in second serve performance might suggest a closely contested match, though the slight edge in precision could influence the outcome.

Examining return game statistics reveals a more telling comparison. Sabalenka's ability to win 50.12% of her opponent's second serve points is overshadowed by Stearns who secures 52.28%. Furthermore, on first serve returns, Stearns maintains superiority with 32.53% compared to Sabalenka's 28.87%. Such return performance often correlates strongly with match prediction accuracy, indicating a potential advantage for Stearns.

Pressure situations could tip the scales slightly, as Stearns has saved 51.67% of breakpoints faced recently, against Sabalenka's 49.7%. These differences in handling pivotal moments are critical for those making in-game betting predictions.

When taking recent career performance into account, Sabalenka has displayed greater overall success, winning 82.5% of matches in the past year with a 66-14 record. Conversely, Stearns holds a less formidable 58.93% win rate, reflected in her 33-23 record.

The favorite playing surface offers vital insights, with Sabalenka excelling on Hard courts at a win rate of 74%. Stearns’s performance is strongest on Indoor Hard courts at 68%, highlighting potential outcomes if surface conditions favor their strengths.

Considering recent competitive levels, Sabalenka has faced tougher competition, taking on opponents with an average rank of 35.33 compared to Stearns’ 104.3. Sabalenka's frequent participation in the Masters series, winning 81.25% of her matches, points to her capability against high-caliber opponents, whereas Stearns features more regularly on the Main tour with a 56.52% win rate.

In-depth analysis of deciding set performance indicates a competitive edge for Stearns, who claims victory in 63% of deciding sets compared to Sabalenka’s 60% over the last year. This could play a crucial role in live match predictions should the contest extend to this point.

Analyzing breakpoint conversion, Stearns is slightly ahead with a 39.62% conversion rate, marginally eclipsing Sabalenka's 38.02%. Such stats are key determinants in in-game live betting scenarios, emphasizing Stearns's slight edge in capitalizing on opportunities.

Taking into account all statistical inputs, Sabalenka emerges as the likely contender to take the win, given her overall superior win percentage and experience against higher-ranked competitors. However, specific in-game opportunities may arise from Stearns’s current return and breakpoint proficiencies.

Peyton Stearns vs Aryna Sabalenka Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

P. Stearns vs A. Sabalenka H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
0H2H Matches Won2
1Sets Won4
21Games Won31
3Aces (Total)13
6Total Double Faults9
2:6:30Average Match Time2:6:30
67% (114/170)1st Serve %60% (103/173)
61% (69/114)1st Serve Win %77% (79/103)
43% (24/56)2nd Serve Win %43% (30/70)
22% (5/23)Break Pts Won %53% (10/19)
37% (64/173)Return Points Win %45% (77/170)
0% (0/2)Best‑of‑3 Win %100% (2/2)
0% (0/1)Deciding Set Win %100% (1/1)
0% (0/1)1st Set Won, Won Match100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)1st Set Lost, Won Match100% (1/1)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Stearns 44%, Sabalenka 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Stearns 55%, Sabalenka 59%.
Break Points Saved %: Stearns 58%, Sabalenka 65%.

P. Stearns Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardChina Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025

R1

USAK. Volynets
L
6-4 2-6 6-3
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

R2

POLM. Frech
L
6-7(6) 6-3 6-2

R1

LATD. Semenistaja
W
7-5 6-0
HardTennis in the Land - Cleveland - 18-08-2025

R1

CHNY. Wang
L
6-4 3-6 6-3
HardCincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025

R2

RUSA. Kalinskaya
L
7-6(4) 4-6 6-1

A. Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardWuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025

SF

USAJ. Pegula
L
2-6 6-4 7-6(2)

QF

KAZE. Rybakina
W
6-3 6-3

R3

RUSL. Samsonova
W
6-3 6-2

R2

SVKR. Sramkova
W
4-6 6-3 6-1
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

F

USAA. Anisimova
W
6-3 7-6(3)
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P. Stearns vs A. Sabalenka Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
58.22% (177/127)YTD Win/Loss70.72% (483/200)
57.28% (405/302)Sets Win/Loss66.60% (1067/535)
53.87% (3548/3038)Games Win/Loss56.17% (8417/6568)
56.04% (102/80)Hard Win/Loss74.00% (296/104)
62.64% (57/34)Clay Win/Loss66.67% (100/50)
68.18% (15/7)Indoor Hard W/L64.79% (46/25)
33.33% (3/6)Grass Win/Loss66.13% (41/21)
0.16Aces Per Game0.39
516Aces Total2821
0.33Double Faults Per Game0.39
1058Total Double Faults2856
1:33:31Average Match Time1:30:54
332.59Average Opponent Rank282.38
66% (12926/19657)1st Serve %60% (27655/45745)
62% (8038/12926)1st Serve Win %69% (19050/27655)
46% (3091/6730)2nd Serve Win %47% (8557/18079)
49% (1159/2365)Break Points Won % (Total)47% (2571/5490)
46% (8742/19033)Return Points Win %45% (20433/45472)
43.48% (10/13)Slam W/L77.78% (105/30)
52.73% (29/26)Masters W/L70.95% (149/61)
0% (0/0)Cups W/L62.50% (10/6)
49.02% (25/26)Main Tour W/L67.93% (125/59)
64.10% (100/56)Challenger W/L64.89% (61/33)
68.42% (13/6)Futures W/L75.00% (33/11)
58% (175/301)Best of 3 Sets Win %71% (480/679)
50% (1/2)Best of 5 Sets Win %100% (1/1)
45% (37/82)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)61% (111/181)
48% (47/98)Deciding Set Win %56% (135/239)
86% (180/154)1st Set Won, Won Match89% (460/410)
14% (180/26)1st Set Won, Lost Match11% (460/49)
19% (124/23)1st Set Lost, Won Match32% (223/72)

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