Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Luca Castagnola Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows Castagnola winning 45.55% of points, while Tsitsipas achieves a slightly higher win rate at 49.14%. Could this give Tsitsipas an edge in the match? Yes, it might.
• Analyzing return game stats, Castagnola has a slight advantage on opponent's second serve returns, winning 46.77% compared to Tsitsipas's 46.02%. However, Castagnola excels on first serve returns, winning 33.74% versus Tsitsipas's 25.54%.
• Under pressure, Tsitsipas appears more resilient, saving 54.91% of breakpoints compared to Castagnola's 49.87%, which can influence critical moments in a match.
• Looking at the performance overview from the last year, Castagnola has a slightly better win rate of 49.21%, whereas Tsitsipas has won just 36.67% of matches.
• Castagnola performs better on Hard courts (59% win rate), whereas Tsitsipas's best surface is Clay, with a 42% win rate.
• When examining player level, Castagnola has a stronger performance in lower-tier tournaments with a win rate of 53.33%, while Tsitsipas has won 40% in similar events.
• In opponent quality stats, Tsitsipas has faced slightly stronger competition, with opponents having an average rank of 343.67, compared to Castagnola's average opponent rank of 442.35.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Tsitsipas holds a slight advantage by winning 53% of these sets compared to Castagnola's 50% win rate.
• Break point conversion rates favor Castagnola, who converts 38.59% of opportunities, while Tsitsipas converts 32.8%.

Editorial Prediction (August 19, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the various statistics, this upcoming tennis match between Castagnola and Tsitsipas presents an intriguing clash of styles and strengths. Castagnola's superior performance on first serve returns and higher breakpoint conversion rate could give them an advantage in critical situations.

Conversely, Tsitsipas's slight edge in dealing with pressure, demonstrated by his higher percentage of breakpoints saved, could prove decisive in tight moments. Tsitsipas also generally performs well in deciding sets, suggesting resilience and fighting spirit.

Surface preferences are also a factor, with Castagnola excelling on Hard courts, the surface for this event, potentially boosting his confidence and strategy effectiveness.

Considering all elements, including Castagnola's more successful recent record and preferred surface, Castagnola seems the more likely victor in the upcoming match.