Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Leandro Riedi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance: Carreno-Busta has struggled with a 44.27% win rate on second serves in recent months, while Riedi has managed a more impressive 49.69%. Does this give Riedi an edge in their upcoming match? It certainly suggests so.
• Return game proficiency: Carreno-Busta outperforms Riedi in returning second serves, winning 46.37% of these points compared to Riedi’s 43%. For first serve returns, Carreno-Busta also leads with 26.47% over Riedi’s 24.9%. Who has the better chance in breaking serve? Carreno-Busta seems slightly favored.
• Pressure resilience: Facing breakpoints, Carreno-Busta saves 56.34% whereas Riedi saves 54.96%. Could such subtle differences influence match outcomes? It's possible, especially during tight games.
• Overall performance: Carreno-Busta has a slightly lower win percentage in the past year (55.93%) than Riedi (57.89%). Can this recent form impact their match outcome? Riedi's slightly better record suggests it might.
• Surface preference: Carreno-Busta shines on Clay with a 66% win rate, while Riedi excels on indoor hard courts at 67%. How might surface play into this matchup? It depends on the surface they're playing on.
• Match level experience: Carreno-Busta has had more success at higher-tier Challenger/ITF events at 72.73% win rate compared to Riedi’s 58.33%. Does this experience offer an advantage? Yes, especially under high-stakes conditions.
• Opponent quality: On average, Carreno-Busta has faced stronger opponents with an average rank of 158.44 compared to Riedi’s 281.42. Does facing tougher competition prepare Carreno-Busta better? Likely, as it can enhance resilience and adaptability.
• Deciding set performance favors Riedi, who has won 57% of these sets to Carreno-Busta's 44%. Is Riedi more clutch in tight situations? The stats suggest so.
• Break point conversion: Carreno-Busta converts more break opportunities at 30.82% compared to Riedi's 27.66%. Who might capitalize more effectively on crucial game moments? Carreno-Busta seems to have a slight upper hand.

Editorial Prediction (August 5, 2025, UTC):

When analyzing recent second serve success rates, Riedi appears slightly ahead, reflecting an enhanced capacity to win points in pressure moments off their second delivery. This could play a pivotal role in the upcoming match.

However, Carreno-Busta demonstrates stronger return games on both first and second serves, highlighting their ability to challenge and perhaps break Riedi's serve, which could be a crucial factor in tipping the scales.

Experience in higher-tier events and facing tougher-ranked opponents might give Carreno-Busta a mental edge. Additionally, their advantage in converting break point opportunities is another critical factor to consider.

Despite Riedi's superior performance in deciding sets and slightly higher overall match win rate over the last year, the comprehensive strengths observed in Carreno-Busta's metrics suggest they may be the slight favorite in this encounter.

Ultimately, while Riedi presents formidable competition, Carreno-Busta's consistent performance in key areas seems more likely to secure them victory in this match.